cover of episode Excerpt - Richard Seymour responds to listener's questions

Excerpt - Richard Seymour responds to listener's questions

2024/9/27
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Richard Seymour: 以色列对黎巴嫩的袭击必须放在过去九到十个月中华盛顿和特拉维夫之间共生关系的背景下进行解读。真主党在北方的阵线旨在支持哈马斯的谈判地位,通过提高长期战争的成本迫使双方进行人质交换和停火。然而,华盛顿却偏离了人们可能认为的通常立场,它希望以色列取得尽可能具有惩罚性和压倒性的胜利,这不仅仅是一场简单的军事行动之后迅速降级冲突,而是要将悲观和恐惧的情绪蔓延到整个中东地区。 这表明美国的目标并非仅仅是迅速解决冲突,而是要通过对以色列的全面支持,在中东地区制造更大的不稳定和恐惧,从而达到其战略目标。这种策略可能与美国长期以来的中东政策目标相符,即维持其在该地区的影响力,并削弱其战略对手。 同时,这种策略也可能带来长期性的负面影响,加剧地区冲突,并导致人道主义危机。 对加沙地带的影响,以及未来地区稳定性的走向,都将受到此次冲突的严重影响。

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Ultimately, I think this particular action has to be seen in the context of the symbiosis between Washington and Tel Aviv that we've seen over the last nine, ten months. Hezbollah's northern front was designed to support Hamas's bargaining position and force a hostage exchange and ceasefire by raising the costs of prolonged war. But Washington...

departed from what might have been thought to be its usual position because it wanted the most punishing and overwhelming victory for Israel possible. So not just a quick mowing of the lawn followed by a dialing down of hostilities, but something that would spread pessimism and fear throughout the Middle East.

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