cover of episode Excerpt - Quinn Slobodian responds to listener questions

Excerpt - Quinn Slobodian responds to listener questions

2025/4/13
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Politics Theory Other

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Quinn Slobodian
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我观察到,特朗普的愤怒和不满的核心在于美国无法充分利用美元作为世界储备货币的权力。他似乎认为,如果全世界都在使用美元,美国就应该能够控制这些美元的使用方式。然而,美元力量的本质恰恰在于它在很大程度上不受美国经济政策的影响。美元的稳定性使得各国将其视为安全的资本储存地。 任何试图违背经济规律的计划,我认为只会加速各国放弃美元的进程。这种趋势已经开始显现,美元霸权正出现裂痕。 这种趋势的加速,将直接导致卢布区、新的金砖国家储备货币体系以及人民币的崛起。这些迹象已经初现端倪。如果美国继续表现出对全球经济相互依赖的不负责任,这种转变将会更快地发生。

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the highest stakes is with the sanctity of the US dollar at a global level. And indeed, I actually think this is the core of Trump's sense of resentment and anger is the disconnect between the US dollar as the world's reserve currency on the one hand, and then the inability of the United States to make use of that power as it pleases. So

It seems to Trump that if everyone is using dollars, then the U.S. should be able to tell them what to do with those dollars. But actually, the whole essence of the strength of the dollar is that that's not the case. It's impervious to U.S. economic policy for the most part. And, you know, through thick or thin becomes a place that countries feel like they can stock up their own capital and so on.

Something like a planned attempt to work against economic logic would, I think, accelerate people's movement out of dollars. It's already starting to happen. There are cracks appearing.

And I think something like that would be the fastest way to make that happen in terms of a ruble block, in terms of a new sort of BRICS reserve currency movement to the renminbi. There's already hints of that at the margins. And I think too much more evidence of the U.S. as an untrustworthy steward of global economic interdependence will just accelerate that move.

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