Bubble 4.0: Markets Reached ‘Record Levels’ Of Overvaluation, What's Next?
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David Hay and Jeff Dicks, Co-CIOs of Evergreen Gavekal, explain alternatives to a very frothy equities market, the outlook for the bond market, and the growth prospects for the economy under a second Trump term.

*This video was recorded on November 26, 2024

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0:00 - Intro 1:05 - What is the Trump trade? 2:40 - Bond market recap 6:10 - Soft or no landing? 7:28 - Retail sales and the consumer 10:00 - Household net worth 11:20 - Real wages 12:25 - Fed monetary policy 13:40 - Global central bank policies 14:34 - U.S. dollar 17:20 - U.S. vs. emerging markets 18:45 - Deficit level 21:40 - Interest rate vs. Inflation 26:10- Tariffs and economic growth 27:25 - Bubble 4.0 31:33 - Alternatives to stocks 32:43 - Valuations point to lower returns 34:20 - Market cyclically 38:33 - U.S. the “envy of the world” 40:45 - Liquidity and market performance 24:45 - Economy now relies on foreign net savings 44:00 - Savings rate 45:30 - Mortgage spreads 48:22 - Mistakes of fixed income portfolios

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