2024 U.S. Open Betting Preview
01:17:22 Share

We're driven by the search for better. But when it comes to hiring, the best way to search for a candidate isn't to search at all. Don't search, match with Indeed. Indeed is your matching and hiring platform with over 350 million global monthly visitors, according to Indeed data, and a matching engine that helps you find quality candidates fast.

Ditch the busy work. Use Indeed for scheduling, screening, and messaging so you can connect with candidates faster. Leveraging over 140 million qualifications and preferences every day, Indeed's matching engine is constantly learning from your preferences, so the more you use Indeed, the

better it gets. Join more than 3.5 million businesses worldwide that use Indeed to hire great talent fast. And listeners of this show will get a $75 sponsored job credit to get your jobs more visibility at indeed.com slash blue wire.

Just go to Indeed.com slash BlueWire right now and support our show by saying that you heard about Indeed on this podcast. That's Indeed.com slash BlueWire. Terms and conditions apply. Need to hire? You need Indeed.

This episode of Inside Golf Podcast is brought to you by The Rabbit Hole on Betzbertsgolf.com. This is where I make my models. This is where I go to aggregate and accumulate all my data. It's a very helpful resource if you are serious about betting and playing DFS golf. It has been great.

For me, at least, I credit it as a crucial piece in any of the success that I've been able to have. So if you want full access to the model that I make, my Pinehurst model is already up there right now.

If you want to make your own models, if you want to try and research for yourself, who are the best golfers on long golf courses in the Southeast, firm and fast conditions, golf courses with a high miss fairway penalty. It's a specific favorite of mine. Difficult to hit green, strong field, scrambling off of Bermuda short grass. You can only do that at the rabbit hole, not to mention

especially in a U S open week, uh, with the live players, uh, we have data from the masters, um, and other places just don't right. Not going to be in the models, particularly at a golf course like Pinehurst where around the green performance at Augusta is going to be a lot more indicative of your short game success at Pinehurst than, you know, your regular PGA tour around the green stats. Um, we have that, um,

That master's data, I think, is really, really important, especially because with the live guys, we don't have that much of a sample size to begin with. And I think I genuinely believe that that allows you to build the most comprehensive, accurate models where other places are going to act like these tournaments don't exist. We also, for what it's worth, have Myrtle Beach data in there. You're just running a model with an incomplete data set. So

Bettsbertsgolf.com, the place to build the most accurate models. That is where you want to go. I have just been given word as well that we are running a summer promo. That's right. 50% off for a monthly or weekly pass. So the promo code, new promo code for you guys is InsideGolf50. So for the week pass, for example, if you want to build a Pinehurst model, you're

And to get full access to my model, you type in code INSIDEGOLF50, same name as this podcast, and it's $7 for the week. Monthly is $15. I would recommend just getting the month because that will take you all the way to the Open Championship for a grand total of $15.

$15 with code INSIDEGOLF50. So take advantage of it now, INSIDEGOLF50. That is your code for 15% off the week or the month pass. BetSportsGolf.com. We would love to have you as part of that community. Also for the majors, as always, we'll be doing a giveaway. I'll be giving away a $200 single entry ticket, 100K up top this week.

Probably my favorite contest for major championships is that $200 single entry. The $100 single entry is a banger too. But all you have to do to enter, super easy. Follow Inside Golf Pod on Twitter. Retweet this episode. Post it 10 a.m. Eastern Sunday morning if you really want to leg up.

leave a review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. I'm not saying that's not going to help your chances. But last major, my guy Ted Janky did quite well on his entry. He actually, he, I think, yeah, he turned it, he 3X'd his money and then kind of, we kind of just let it roll for a couple weeks where we would kind of build the lineup together. So I'm happy to help with the lineup construction too, if you want, but

If you win, all the money is yours. Not even going to split it with you. So all you got to do follow inside golf pod on Twitter. We are trying to get that Twitter account up over three K and retweet this episode. And I will be in touch with you probably Monday night, Tuesday morning. I appreciate the support as always. It means a lot on these weeks. I rev up the content. I put a lot of effort into breaking down these golf courses and, and,

developing an edge and I try and make a very large portion of that free. Despite this being my full-time job and doing content full-time to make a living, it's important to me that

Most of the stuff I do is free. So being able to keep doing that means a lot on weeks like this more than ever. If this podcast helps you at all, share it around, leave a review on Apple Podcasts. That stuff takes you 30 seconds. It really makes a difference. And like I said, means more than you know for somebody grinding on this full time, particularly on a week like this. So let's do it. US Open Week, favorite week of the year? I feel like

I say that I've said that a couple of times. I say that for a couple of tournaments. My favorite week of the year is either the masters us open or British open. Now I know that's not really fair, but it's golf course dependent, right? I love the masters. That's the most consistently good tournament every year, particularly when it's playing firm and fast. And I thought the masters this year in terms of how the golf course played was, was,

One of the best golf tournaments of the last decade in terms of what I am looking for in a professional golf tournament, in terms of what I like to watch. So Pinehurst has a high bar to clear and it remains to be seen with Troon. I haven't spent much time on that golf course yet. I haven't played Troon the way that I've played Pinehurst. So I would say that this probably has the opportunity to be the first or second best tournament of the year. I like Pinehurst a lot.

It's not my favorite U.S. Open venue. I would still put it behind Oakmont and Shinnecock. I like more. Oakmont and Shinnecock are my favorites, and Marion. I would put Marion above it, too. I like LACC more. I like the golf course at LACC more to play. I think LACC is a better golf course for amateurs than Pinehurst, personally, but...

I think I like Pinehurst as a U.S. Open venue more because we don't got to deal with that marine layer. So it's probably right there as I think, yeah, maybe after Shinnecock, Oakmont, and Marion as my fourth favorite U.S. Open venue. I like this as a U.S. Open venue more than Pebble Beach. I don't think that we will see a great test of professional golf at Pebble Beach until they roll the ball back and change some of the mowing lines. And I think that

This week at Pinehurst, we have the opportunity to see one of the great historically relevant U.S. Opens of all time. I think that there is obviously I'm not breaking any news here or going out on a limb, but the massive favorite at this tournament, Scotty Scheffler, is

has the ability to start getting into some super, super rarefied air if he wins this golf tournament in terms of what he's accomplishing right now. Not going to do a whole golf pyramid history podcast. That can be for another time. But I think if Scottie wins this one, it's going to be really historically significant. And I think...

The second and third most likely players to win this tournament, and there's a gap, by the way. I think there's a big gap between these two players and Scottie's chances, but I think the second and third most likely players to win this tournament are Brooks and Rory, in my opinion. And so when you have the three, in my opinion, most likely players to win this tournament...

All playing for something extremely historically relevant. I mean, keep in mind, I know that Brooks is, I don't know if he, is he flying under the radar this week? We'll talk a lot about Brooks in this podcast. Cause again, I think he is the second most likely player to win this golf tournament, but anytime Brooks tees it up at a major, he's going for becoming like one of the 12 best golfers ever.

Anytime he tees it up at a major at this point, if he gets to six, he becomes like one of the 12 to 15 greatest golfers ever. And kind of same thing with Rory. Like if Rory gets to five with his, if Rory gets to five majors and up over now 50 wins, five majors and 50 wins for Rory, he's one of the 10 to 12 best golfers of all time as well. Let me look.

Yeah, if Rory would get to—yeah, he's got 37 wins, five majors. That would put him right there with, yeah, Faldo, Seve, Byron Nelson, Phil. And Brooks with sex, even though he doesn't have the wins, he'd get to sex and be right there with Phil and Nick Faldo and Lee Trevino. So anyway, back to Pinehurst.

I love this golf course for professional golf. I love this golf course to play too. It's probably a top 10 public access golf course in the country. But for professional golf, I think it nails it. I think it gets what you're looking for in terms of a modern professional golf test about as well as you can ask for. This is not a golf course where

we are necessarily going to get a bunched leaderboard like Valhalla. So if that is your cup of tea, like if, if that's what you're looking for, just a, a tournament where it's really bunched and it really comes down to who's, who's making those 15 footers and who's not making those 15 footers. If that's what you're looking for,

You might be disappointed this week. This is a golf course that is really, really conducive to separation because it is such a separator of great golf shots and mediocre golf shots. Just, you know, the way the greens are crowned like a great iron shot to 15 feet.

at Pinehurst could result in a birdie and a mediocre iron shot to 30 feet could spin off the green, roll 30 yards down a hill into a bunker and give you an impossible up and down that results in a double.

And that, in a nutshell, is the type of setup that creates separation in a golf tournament. At Valhalla, a shot to 15 feet, a shot to 30 feet, maybe that just misses the green. The range of outcomes on both shots is par or birdie. The range of outcomes on those shots at Pinehurst is

is birdie par bogey double, maybe more than double. We will see some seven and eights on these, on these holes this week. So, you know, I can't promise that Sunday at Pinehurst on the back nine is going to provide as much quote unquote drama as there was at Valhalla. But what you will see is high leverage golf shots that are,

You really need to step up and have confidence over. And you will get that feeling that I love as a golf viewer, that I look for when I watch major championships. That was sorely missed at our last major championship, where on every single golf shot that you watch on the back nine of a major, you

That feeling of, oh, if he screws this up, he's dead, right? That feeling that until the final putt drops and everyone signs their scorecard, that no one is safe from ejection, right? A drive, particularly at Pinehurst, that misses the fairway by two yards could result in an unplayable lie, right? Yeah.

And that mental examination that I talk about so much where your brain needs to be on, you need to be engaged on every single shot. And as a viewer, you have no idea whether the player is going to make birdie and birdies are available on this golf course. Like you can score on this golf course, but you,

That range of outcomes being now between not to just continue to dump on Valhalla, but it was like really hard to make a double of Valhalla and pretty hard to make a bogey to that.

range of outcomes being back between birdie, bogey, double, triple, and that feeling as a viewer of tension, of high leverage, of consequence, of this fine line on every single golf shot where you

Every single golf shot, you have to sit and watch on the back nine like, oh, this could go right or wrong. Like he could make a very costly mistake here. I can't wait. That's my shit. That's the good stuff, right?

And that, you know, like I said, was sorely missed for me last major championship and, and is sorely missed for me in general and professional golf outside of a couple of weeks a year. And, and, and this is one of those weeks I am so fired up. You probably hear it in my voice. This is like the most excited. The solo pods are my least favorite part of the job. Like they're really hard to do. Honestly, like I don't, the,

The degree of difficulty on doing an hour-long podcast where you talk for an hour straight about agronomy is really hard. Not to pat myself on the back, there are a lot of things I'm not very good at, but-

This aspect of my job is tough and not a lot of people can pull it off. I don't know if I can pull it off sometimes. So I generally – this is like my least favorite part of the week. But the only reason why I do it is because I know that people love these episodes and get a lot from these episodes, right? And it is like the deepest that I ever go on a golf course. Like I mentioned that I always want to keep –

keep free. So I begrudgingly have to do them, but I never am excited to do them. I'm like, I got to do this, especially on a Saturday afternoon, Saturday evening. I was so excited to get in front of the microphone and talk about Pinehurst. I'm such a fan of this golf course. I've played it. I went to the US Open here in 2014. I would not say that I have

the deep connection to it, like I did at Oak Hill or, or LACC, you know, those are two golf courses that I know inside it out and have this deep resonance and, and memories with. Um, and I get, get to play routinely in this, you know, in this, in, you know, every year. Right. Um, but Pinehurst, I haven't been back to, gosh, I haven't been to Pinehurst in a decade. Um,

But Piners is a type of golf course that it really leaves an impression. I went to college in the area. So I went to go play Pinehurst twice with my dad, both before. Well, okay. The first time before I was in college, kind of when I was like a junior golfer before college. And then again with my dad, like right before my freshman year started. And then the 2014 U S open was the summer after my freshman year. And I,

We were all in summer classes mainly to get our grades up. We kind of opted out of the whole going to school thing in our first year there. But we all, a bunch of my buddies and I went to that 2014 U.S. Open in that summer after our freshman year. And I remember a lot from viewing that U.S. Open. I remember even more from playing the golf course. I can still remember playing every hole at Pinehurst and playing

Again, what it was like to watch pro golf on that golf course too. It's just a golf course that is really unique and leaves a distinct impression on you, you know, which is interesting because it doesn't really have any signature holes. It's not on a dramatic piece of land. It doesn't have any...

golf holes that get imprinted in your mind the way that, I don't know, some of the holes at Augusta or Pebble Beach do. It's more of a some is greater than its parts golf course. But, you know, I'm fortunate to play a lot of great golf courses and it can be easy for them to blend together, especially the ones that I haven't been back to in a while. And I can still remember specific shots that

I hit on certain holes at Pinehurst, specific things that I felt walking off some of those greens. And I'll get a little bit into why that is. But, you know, this is a golf course that the USGA wants us to become very familiar with. And if you're not familiar, all that familiar with Pinehurst yet, we are getting this as a US Open event.

Five times in the next 25 years. And, you know, as much as I love Pinehurst, I think that's a little bit more than I would like. But I understand what the USGA is trying to do here with anchoring a site like Pinehurst. It has a really high floor in terms of what this golf course is able to deliver. It's easy to get to. It's public. It's

It's a tremendous golf resort with a lot of great American history that really feels like it fits as a U.S. Open venue. It was a tremendously influential golf resort, right? I think—gosh, I don't want to do a whole thing on Bandon Dunes, but it was really one of the first golf resorts that—

um, shaped American public access golf in, in a lot of ways, which again is a whole, whole other podcast. And of course, in a more cynical light at, you know, the main reason why USGA is going there so much, it drives a tremendous amount of business to the golf resort, very mutually beneficial for all, all organizations involved there. And, you know, you get a golf course that will undeniably stand up to modern technology and test the best players in the world. I don't

think it will play quite as difficult as in 2014. The winning score might be higher. You might see somebody win at minus six or minus five, and then second place is minus three. You know, in 2014, there were only three guys under par. We may see a little bit more than that. Um,

but not much. I mean, there's two factors that I think are working in favor of the golf course being harder. And one factor in favor of the golf course being easier. Now they may cancel each other out. My prediction is that the easier factor slightly outweighs the harder factors, but not demonstrably. So, so,

Let's do it. Let's dive in. I already did a ton on this golf course with Steve Bamford. So if you want more of my extensive thoughts on the golf course, you can check out my preview with Steve Bamford in this podcast.

I'm going to say a couple quick things about the golf course that I didn't get to cover in the Bamford pod, just a few lingering points that I think are important, and then mainly focus on the players and who I am betting. So let's take a quick break and then share a couple thoughts on Pinehurst and get into my model. Okay.

We're driven by the search for better. But when it comes to hiring, the best way to search for a candidate isn't to search at all. Don't search, match with Indeed. Indeed is your matching and hiring platform with over 350 million global monthly visitors, according to Indeed data, and a matching engine that helps you find quality candidates fast.

Ditch the busy work. Use Indeed for scheduling, screening, and messaging so you can connect with candidates faster. Leveraging over 140 million qualifications and preferences every day, Indeed's matching engine is constantly learning from your preferences, so the more you use Indeed, the

That's Indeed.com slash BlueWire.

Terms and conditions apply. Need to hire? You need Indeed. Ryan Reynolds here from Intmobile. With the price of just about everything going up during inflation, we thought we'd bring our prices up.

down. So to help us, we brought in a reverse auctioneer, which is apparently a thing. Mint Mobile, unlimited premium wireless. How did it get 30, 30, how did it get 30, how did it get 20, 20, 20, how did it get 20, 20, how did it get 15, 15, 15, 15, just 15 bucks a month? Sold! Give it a try at mintmobile.com slash switch. $45 upfront payment equivalent to $15 per month. New customers on first three-month plan only. Taxes and fees extra. Speeds lower above 40 gigabytes each detail. In terms of the nuts and bolts of the golf course...

Pioneers number two, Pioneers North Carolina, designed by Donald Ross in 1907 with the Bill Corr and Ben Crenshaw restoration in 2010.

It's a par 70 measuring 7,540 yards. Water does not really come into play on any hole in this golf course. Save one pond. It doesn't really come into play. Fairways are ultra dwarf Bermuda grass measuring 35 yards wide on average. The rough is natural native sand areas with wire grass.

Fun buzzword that you're going to hear quite often throughout the week. Greens are 6,500 square feet featuring ultra dwarf Bermuda grass running 11.5 on the stimp. Okay. Weather.

Weather conditions look pretty ideal next week in North Carolina. There's no rain in the forecast between now and when players will tee off on Thursday. The wind will be down, but this is never a part of the country that gets windy to begin with, and Pinehurst does not need breezy conditions to defend its golf course. We may see a touch of rain on Friday evening, which is not overly dissimilar from 2014, but

The course should bake out optimally over the weekend with a small chance of rain on Sunday morning as well. Okay, some agronomy changes, some course changes. Now, since the 2014 US Open, no new tees or bunkers have been added, nor has there been any redesign or relocation of greens. The 2014 version of Pinehurst was...

Everything that players could handle and then some, and there was not really any necessity to beef this golf course up further ahead of its next opportunity to host. Yes, players have gotten better and longer since 2014, and I would still expect 2024 to play slightly easier from what we saw last time in terms of an overall scoring average that

Doesn't mean that somebody's going to get to nine under par and win by seven, eight strokes like Martin Keimer. But I still think the overall scoring average might be a little bit down, like marginally. So, you know, advancements in player length and skill have increased. I think that's going to be offset though, by some changes to the wire grass that is going to increase the miss fairway penalty. And I think that is,

The biggest difference in terms of how we look at the golf course in 2024 versus how it played in 2014 is that the Sandy waste areas this year will be even more penal than they were in 2014. Here's a quote from a recent USGA article outlining some of the changes.

The maintenance team has developed an effective and ever-changing management program to preserve the desired vegetation and control plants that have negative impact on playability. But golfers in this year's U.S. Open will find more vegetation and potential trouble in the sandscapes than there was in 2014. And much of this is thanks to this selective management.

wire grass planting over the past year. So as Pinehurst number two superintendent John Jeffries explained, when other golf courses host a U.S. Open, they typically make the rough taller than it is for normal play. We don't have that option here because we don't have any rough, but what we can do is add wire grass. And additional wire grass plants were established near the landing areas for U.S. Open competitors.

which essentially increases the likelihood that players who miss the fairway are going to end up in a precarious position. In addition to wiregrass plantings,

The native areas will also have some extra challenge because of the plants that have emerged naturally. One example is pine weed, a native plant that began popping up in the landscapes over the past several years. It has wiry stems that make it hard to make solid contact with a ball lying below its canopy.

This is the only podcast where you are going to hear pine weed talk. But the addition of pine weed, that specific plant, is going to be so much more challenging to hit out of this year. And the warm—I mean, this is super inside baseball, but if you're listening to this solo podcast, you know what you signed up for—

Warm weather is actually going to be more conducive to pine weed growth. And the maintenance team, from what I've heard, is not going to be doing anything to thin it out prior to the U.S. Open, which is...

going to make the adjacent fairway native areas like even more perilous, uh, in conclusion, like if I'm summing up what all of this means, if you don't care about pine weed and you just want to know, okay, how is this going to affect how I make my bets and DFS lineups? I think accuracy off the tee is going to be even more paramount this year than in 2014. And, um,

you know while most narrow fairway thick rough major championship venues highly accentuate distance over accuracy uh pinehurst is is far more of an accuracy over over distance course and in my opinion uh and then also the switch to bermuda greens is really notable too uh first of all it just i

It changes the, there are certain players that love Bermuda, certain players that raise their baseline significantly at Bermuda versus others that don't. But, you know, in 2014, it featured Beck grass greens and they were converted to Bermuda shortly after Bermuda. Again, a little inside baseball here, but like it's Bermuda's way easier to maintain throughout the year. And again,

It's going to allow more leeway in course conditioning, like during the championship, if they get rain, if they get super high temperatures. With backgrass, on the other hand, you get a lot of stress during the championship. You get a lot of

you worry about the recovery afterwards, right? So this made a lot of sense for them with the ultra dwarf Bermuda, you're going to get like really ideal growth conditions, which is why you see so many golf courses in that area. I went to college in the area. It's all Bermuda down there and you're going to get ideal growth conditions during and after the championship, which is going to give them more freedom and,

to get the playability that they want during the U.S. Open. Again, that's more about a whole other podcast than what goes into setting up these championships, why they choose the places that they do. And Superintendent Jeffries also talked about how the Bermuda grass greens are going to play firmer than bent grass, if all things equal. They also stay more consistent throughout the day. So, yeah,

Like for example, you know, I'm back grass in the heat. The greens are going to get really trampled on and, and firm and, and tough to put on in the afternoon. They get a lot of wear and tear. And you might see like a, in the past, you might see a kind of a big wave advantage in terms of like the, the afternoon playing tougher to put on Bermuda is going to mitigate that. Um,

you know, the dense, it's just a denser grass. It produces a tight, firm surface. It's players will have all they can handle. And ultimately, you know, this change is notable in the sense that, you know, I think we now want to be looking at players who raise their baseline on Bermuda grass greens, you know, Pinehurst greens now feature the same agronomy as Sedgefield country, cool of Jackson, quail, hollow, Congaree, TBC, Southwind, all of these Southeastern Bermuda courses. And, and,

I guess the way I would sum up Pinehurst because I want to get right into the players, but it's a distinctly unique U.S. Open venue, both aesthetically and in practice. It does not feature thick, rough and narrow fairways like Winged Foot, Torrey Pines or the Country Club. It

rather bears more in common with golf courses such as Shinnecock and LACC and certainly Augusta National. By the way, I've been just through the wire of some of my group chats. I do my best not to consume other major breakdowns because I don't want to get triggered. Some of the golf courses comps I'm hearing are like,

Really wild this week. Just some totally off the wall stuff that I'm hearing. So I don't know. Maybe I'm the idiot, but I view this golf course very differently, I think, than this golf course is like Shinnecock meets Congaree.

Um, there's no mid irons here. Like it is a complete long iron test with very sandy soil and a high missed fairway penalty. That isn't rough at all. Like it's way more Augusta national than like any PGA tour course that anyone is going to give you outside of congaree because it's

The name of the game here is long irons and chipping off of short grass. You know, if anything, it's even less distance bias than golf courses like LACC and Augusta due to the higher Miss Fairway penalty. But,

The reason why Keimer was able to separate in 2014 is the same reason why players are able to separate at Augusta when it plays firm and fast. Pinehurst accentuates the difference between mediocre and great shots. And instead of poorly struck irons stopping a few yards off the green and rough, like I said, it could roll into bunkers, closely mown areas, or native grass. And

you know, the reason why it was so challenging for a player like Scotty to separate at Valhalla is because it did not penalize mediocre shots. And it was an incredibly easy golf course to get up and down from Pinehurst is opposite of that. And a fractional miss could result in a massive number. This is,

Not your dad's U.S. Open where the emphasis falls on power off the tee. Pinehurst is a highly strategic golf course that rewards brain players and those who can exercise patience. Positioning off the tee takes precedence, in my opinion, over brute strength and particularly with the higher Miss Fairway penalty with all the added pine weed and wire grass and

Just like Augusta, it's precision, long iron play, chipping off short grass, and lag putting will all be super, super invaluable. Anything else on the golf course I wanted to touch on? No. I think we should just dive right into the model. I think we should dive right into the players because there's going to be a lot of guys to talk about. So I...

I broke all this down in a model. You can find a far more detailed version of that in my Rumpier Sports article. My model is up on the rabbit hole right now, but let's run through the top 20 guys and talk about who I'm betting. Number one in my model is not Scotty Scheffler. And I will tell you right now, it should be. That's a...

It should be Scottie Scheffler. The only reason why it's not is because Scottie has some really bad long-term Bermuda numbers. Back when Scottie was not who he is right now in terms of who he is on the greens pre-Mallet Scottie,

He put up some really dramatically poor Bermuda putting splits, some really poor long-term whack putting splits, some really poor long-term poor putting splits on difficult three-putt golf courses and some difficult undulating greens that I was looking at specifically. And if you

Take the version of who Scottie is now with the putter. He's number one by a mile. But even still in a vacuum, like Zander's, if you're looking for any reason to not think Scottie is going to win, like Zander's probably still a better putter than him. So Zander one, Scottie two, Rory three.

I'm going to talk about Rory a decent bit. I think he's pretty interesting here, but I want to run through the top 21st and then I will get to Rory. For John Rahm, who just withdrew from live Houston today. That's an uncomfortable click if I've ever seen one. Number five, Tyrell Hatton, who I really love at this golf course. I think it's a really good Tyrell Hatton spot. Number six, Cameron Smith.

Another great fit. Another great golf course for Cameron Smith. He's going to be super, super buzzy this week. Not playing that great in West Houston, though, for what it's worth. Number seven, Russell Henley. Love this golf course for Russell Henley, especially with the switch to Bermuda. Number eight, Hideki Matsuyama. I'm a huge Hideki fan this week. Nine, Tony Finau.

10, Victor Hovland, 11, Colin Morikawa, 12, Matt Fitzpatrick, 13, Wyndham Clark, 14, Brooks Koepka, 15, Tommy Fleetwood, 16, Keegan Bradley, 17, Ludwig O'Bear, 18, Will Zalatoris, 19, Shane Lowry, 20, Tom Kim. I think some of the biggest surprises in there, really high on Hatton. My numbers really love Hatton this week. My numbers really love Cam Smith this week.

My numbers really love Russell Henley this week. My numbers really love Hideki this week. They really like Matt Fitzpatrick this week. They really like Tommy Fleetwood this week. Really like Tom Kim this week. Okay, so let's go through the odds board and start at the top with Scotty Scheffler. I'm recording this on a Saturday night. Scotty leads the Memorial by four strokes. He's gained over 11 strokes on approach.

And he is four to one to win this golf tournament. Okay. Scotty Scheffler. I believe with every ounce of my body that Scotty Scheffler is going to win this golf tournament. I have been saying this for months. I have been making allusions to this and in other podcasts for, for months, I made allusions to this in, in,

December when I first started looking at Pinehurst, and I have explained many times why Pinehurst, outside of Augusta National, might be the best possible fit that you could possibly put Scottie Scheffler on.

And the abridged version of why you are going to hear a million different, like lazy reasons why Scotty Scheffler is going to win the U S open at Pinehurst. I think everybody's kind of just came to that conclusion. And for good reason, it is the right conclusion. I will try and analytically break down the reasons why he is going to win this golf tournament. Um,

And I talked about this a little bit at Muirfield Village too because Muirfield Village, I didn't bet Scottie. I played him heavily in DFS, a core play for me in DFS, 75% of my lineups. Should have gone heavier. Should have been 100% of my lineups. There was no 5K range. But...

There are three things that Scotty is the best at in the world right now. He is the number one player in the world in three specific skills. Number one is total driving, right? Scotty Scheffler is the best driver of the ball in the world right

when you combine distance and accuracy, right? There's other players that are longer than him. There's other players that are more accurate than him. But if you combine distance and accuracy, Scotty Scheffler is the number one player in the world at that skill, at driving the ball long and straight. I think...

The fact that this is a U S open where it's not like wing foot, it's not like Torrey Pines. It's not like Oak Hill where there is that huge bias towards distance over accuracy. I think that is a good thing for Scotty Shuffler, right? Like at Valhalla, Valhalla was a better off the tee golf course for Bryson than it was for Scotty because straight didn't matter as much, right? It was easy to hit those fairways and the penalty for missing the fairways was not grave for,

This is a golf course where the penalty for missing is grave, right? And if you, with the amount of variability that comes in with the wire grass and the pine weed, the safest bet is to just take players that are consistently not going to put themselves in that position. And of all the players that I'm looking at on the odds board, I

Rory, Xander, Hovland, Bryson. You need to get down to Morikawa to get somebody who's as accurate as, as Scheffler. Um, Scheffler's the most accurate of those players off the tee. So that is a huge way for Scheffler to separate on this golf course. Like it's,

Scotty could win this golf tournament with his driver, right? It's, it wouldn't be the only way for him to win this golf tournament. There's easier ways for him to win this golf tournament, but there's a universe where Scotty hits the ball, the longest and the straightest and gives himself the shortest clubs in, um,

in the fairway when other players are hitting longer clubs in from wire grass and he just gained six strokes off the tee. Like he can do that on this golf course. The number two thing that Scotty Scheffler is the best in the world at is long iron play. And this is a golf course with a high, high amount of long irons. That's why, you know, some of the, the mid iron comps of some of these golf courses that

heavily accentuate mid iron play. Like there are virtually no mid irons at Pinehurst. Like this is a golf course where upwards of 60% of approach shots are going to come from over 175 yards. And I know that's like a six, seven iron for some of these guys. Now that's still what I would define as, as long irons, 175 plus. There's not a lot of shots from Pinehurst.

125 to 175 on this golf course. Now, Scottie's great at that too, but it's actually easier for him to separate on long iron golf courses because he hits the ball so high and he hits the ball so accurate. And, and,

There are a couple of high leverage wet shots too, but it's a lot like one, three, but it's a lot of long irons on this golf course. And the penalty for not hitting good long irons on this golf course is severe. Just like the penalty for not driving the ball straight on this golf course is severe. The penalty for not hitting great long iron shots on this golf course is probably amongst the highest that you're going to find on a golf course that we see all season. So again,

If you're really good at this and you're hitting five irons to 15 feet and two putting like you, I cannot understate the advantage that you have on this golf course. And Scotty is the best in the world at that. It's not a golf course like Valhalla or Oak Hill or winged foot where, or Bay Hill or VDOT of IARTA or TPC Craig Nansen, where, where,

TPC Craig Ranch, where there are a lot of long irons, but if you don't hit your long irons very well, you can still easily get up and down for par. Pinehurst is not that. The penalty for not being a great long iron player is severe here. And then number three, Scottie is the best short game in the world. He's unbelievable chipping off of short grass. And basically the reason that he won the Masters was because he gained six and a half strokes around the green. Now,

He doesn't need to gain any strokes around the green to win a golf tournament. Like Scottie's losing strokes around the green at the Memorial right now. And he's winning by four.

But this is just another way for Scottie to be able to yield a massive advantage on this golf course. And just like he did at the Masters, when the greens and regulation percentage is so low, not only is he the best iron player in the world, he's got the best short game in the world. So he has two outs, right? Like he can win this golf tournament by just hitting the most greens when nobody hits enough greens. And he could also win this golf tournament

By not having a peak iron performance and doing exactly what he did at Augusta, which is gain six and a half strokes around the green on a golf course with a 52% greens and regulation percentage. And that was part of the reason why I thought Muirfield Village was such a great fit for Scotty Scheffler as well. You think about...

Scotty's gained 11 strokes on approach at Mirafield village, which is another incredibly different, difficult approach course. Like just to put some data behind this Mirafield village. And I think Pinehurst will be even harder. Mirafield village was the number one golf course to gain strokes on approach. Um, because really firm, small greens, um,

And a lot of long irons, right? A lot of approach shots, again, from 175 yards plus. So when you have a golf course like that, that is so penal for poorly struck irons, it is so easy for the best long iron player to separate. Like, I do not believe that Scottie would be able to gain 11 strokes on approach the way he's doing at Muirfield Village at an easier golf course. Okay.

he wouldn't be able to do that at Valhalla because there would be too many good iron players that would hit okay iron shots and not get penalized the way that they do at Muirfield Village and to a greater extent what will be the case at Pinehurst. So there are these three ways for Scotty Scheffler to win this golf tournament, and if he putts well, which is...

He doesn't need to putt well to win this golf tournament, but if he putts well, he wins it by five, six, seven, eight strokes. Right. And, you know, he's been putting a lot better recently. Like he's putting really well this week at Memorial. Okay. He probably wins the Memorial right now with a neutral putter, the way that he's hitting his irons. But right now, you know, he gains a couple of strokes, but he's think he's gained three strokes putting through three rounds at the Memorial and he's winning the tournament by four.

So, you know, his best putting performance this year came on Bermuda at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. So I bet Scottie at four to one. I've never done that before. I've never bet a golfer in my life. I track every tournament. I started doing this seriously about four and a half years ago. I have tracked every single bet that I've ever made in my entire life. I've never in my life bet a golfer before.

I bet a golfer eight to one three times in my entire life. I've never bet a golfer under eight to one. Actually, I bet. Okay. I have one seven to one and two eight to ones. And I'm actually two for three going this low. DJ seven to one at the November Masters.

Xander Shoffley and Patrick Cantlay 8-1 to win the Zurich Classic a couple years ago. That was a win. And Xander 8-1 to win the Zozo Championship a couple years ago. That was a big miss for me. But I've never gone close to 4-1. And the reason for that is

I believe in a sustainable ROI. I believe in risking one unit each week to return over seven. And that, again, gives me the leeway to hit an outright once every seven or so weeks and be sustainable and make money. I've only hit two outrights since January, Jaeger and...

and Wyndham Clark, but I hit four outrights during the fall swing in the months from September to December. And that I'm still up over 13 units on over 13 units because I've hit six in 28 tournaments. So is my math right? I think so.

What's my number at? I am at... I could be getting that a little bit wrong. I'm at... Yeah, 13.8 units. So point being, I like to take a smaller risk each week and not put a ton of pressure on myself to hit an outright every four weeks, which is if you bet...

Scotty, every single week, if you bet a four to one golfer every single week, then you would need to hit an outright every four weeks to just be above water. Okay. And so, yeah, that's weird. Why is it? Oh, there are a couple hedges in there where I was saying, if I hit six in 28 weeks, I actually shouldn't be. I should be under. Now, sorry, this is a very boring spreadsheet stuff, but there are a couple of times where I've had a second place hit.

and hedged on and made like four units from it. So second places can be valuable too. But at the end of the day, if you're not hitting, you know, one, one in every seven weeks is what I like to shoot for the seven X ROI. So it takes a lot for me to do this with Scotty. And I bet two units this week to win eight. It's double the exposure that I would have on a normal day.

outright golf tournament. And I broke down the reasons why I think he's going to win this golf tournament. But at the end of the day, I felt pretty similar about Scotty's fit at Muirfield Village. And I didn't bet Scotty to win Muirfield Village. And the reason why I didn't is because there were a lot of players. There were a lot of Muirfield Village guys where they

I was just really excited about their course vet. Like I was really excited about making a case for Colin, really excited about making a case for Victor, really excited about making a case for Fitzpatrick and Zala Taurus and Benny on and, and see who Kim and Shane Lowry and Zala Taurus. And, you know, it was really fun to build this betting card of guys that could do it if they get into the mix. And yeah,

That did not work out for me this week. I thought Hovland maybe had a chance heading into today. He had a pretty disastrous back nine. And I still think you can do that. I still think if you want to be responsible and stick to the 7X ROI model, returning over seven, I think you could hit the non-Scotty market and who knows? Maybe you just

take on scotty in a regular card i i don't listen he's four to one he it the field is more likely to beat scotty i think this is the first time he was this same odds pretty much at valhalla and um

yeah, I was widely talked about. Like I would hammer if it was the field minus 600 or Scotty four to one, I would hammer the field minus 600. And anytime we see a golfer three, four to one, I'm always taking the field. This is the first time I think ever where I'm like, I'd rather take Scotty four to one than the field at, at minus 600 or, or whatever it may be. And, um,

A lot of that is because I just thought about all of the other guys that I would bet. And every single guy, I really just couldn't see it. I really couldn't, couldn't see it. And I will talk about, I think that if you are not betting Scottie, I think the

The three most likely guys to beat Scottie, and I don't see any of them beating Scottie this week, but the three guys that are playing the best that make the most sense are Brooks, Rory, Morikawa. And I would rank them. Brooks, I would rank them in that exact same order. Brooks, Rory, Morikawa. I want to start with Brooks because I love Brooks this week. I will most likely play him in DFS.

Probably use him in one and done. I think that he is a phenomenal option at this golf course, and he's actually driving the ball really straight in live Houston right now. But I've talked about in December how if there was one major championship this year that Brooks was going to contend at, it would be Pinehurst because Pinehurst is such a cerebral golf tournament. It's a golf tournament that is so much about

pacing right like i think the reference points that you want to look at here are like kiowa and shinnecock right um these golf tournaments where first of all the sandy soil right brooks finished fourth these firm fast wide open non-thick rough golf courses fourth at pinehurst in 2014

Second at the Masters. He's had a lot of great success at the Masters. Short iron, chipping off short grass and long irons. Second at concession. Okay. Concession was this golf course with a very high missed fairway penalty where you're chipping off of tight Bermuda all day. Second at Kiowa Island. Okay. I know that played a little bit softer because of the past pollen, but in terms of like the long iron test, okay.

The firmness and undulation of those green complexes and all of the short grass, the lack of rough, the waste areas. 17th at LACC after winning the PGA. So that was kind of a letdown performance and he still played great at LACC.

Plus wins at Shinnecock and Aaron Hills, right? Two golf courses with firmer turf, with less thick rough, with more wide open, bigger greens where you're chipping off of short grass and lag putting. And the brain piece, right? As I mentioned, I think that Pinehurst is a thinking man's golf course. I think it's a lot about pacing. I think that

It's a lot about decision-making, and I think that Brooks raises his baseline significantly. We knew that he was screwed at Valhalla because that's turn your brain off golf. I think he raises his baseline significantly on these tougher golf courses that you need to win. He can do it in both ways. He won Belle Reve and Aaron Hills at 17-under, but to me, I really think of Brooks as

I think of like Shinnecock and the tougher masters and Kiowa and that he won Shinnecock at one over. He won O'Kill at eight under, right? But that range of, you know, single digits under par to even par, I think those golf courses where you have to make aggressive swings to conservative targets, you know, you're going to hit bad shots. You're going to make bogeys.

You're going to get bad breaks. You're going to find yourself in waste areas. It's not driving range golf. It's not turn your brain off golf. Brooks has talked about like he understands the pace of a major. He understands that if he starts out two over through six, he's not dead. And he understands that a tougher golf course is better than any other. So I think Brooks is the second most likely player to win this golf tournament. I don't think like I've always talked about

this year that like, if you're doing a draft of players that you feel most confident in being in a final pairing with Scotty to take down Scotty, Brooks is the number one draft pick. And I still think he is the number one draft pick. It just feels like a little bit less likely because it's tough when you don't, and this will transition us into, into the Rory conversation. It's really tough when you,

you don't have a lot of evidence of other players doing it against this version of Scottie. Okay. And that kind of brings us to the Rory discussion. Now, I don't think this is the perfect golf course for Rory, but I think it is a damn good golf course for Rory. I really do. And I really like the angle that there is nothing, um,

There's nothing tying Rory to this golf course, right? Like you think about so many of these major championships in the past, obviously Augusta is like the boogeyman for him and he's always going to be a major storyline at Augusta, but Royal, uh, Royal Liverpool, right?

At last year's Open, he had won there in 2014. Valhalla, he had won there in 2014. Oak Hill, he's got now the ex-wife connection to Oak Hill. St. Andrews, where he first broke onto the scene. He's got all of these major championships with this deep, distinct resonance to them.

where like Rory is supposed to win. Wouldn't it be so poetic and serendipitous if Rory broke the major drought at one of these golf courses, because there's history here. It would just make sense. There's really none of that at Pinehurst. I mean, he finished, he played here in, um, he played here in 2014 and finished like 23rd. He played. Okay. But, uh,

He's not remote. Nobody expects him to win this major. He's not remotely the storyline. I know that he is the second favorite, but it's Scottie or bust for everyone. And as it should be, Scottie is in a different league as a golfer right now than Rory McIlroy. But in terms of Rory McIlroy's course vet, I mean,

He won at Kiowa in 2012. He was sixth at concession. He won at Congaree, which I think is the best PGA Tour comp. He was second at the U.S. Open at LACC. He's quietly turned into the best U.S. Open that's quietly turned into like his best major, these U.S. Opens. He talked to Jeff Shackelford in his newsletter about how now he likes firm and fast better. He likes shot options. He's got a really underrated –

Um, he's a really underrated chipper off of short grass. Like I said, like he's had all these amazing finishes on firm, uh, courses where you have to chip off short grass, like amazing finishes at Kiowa, amazing finishes at concession wins at Congaree second at LACC. Like these are all firm, fast, not thick, rough golf courses where you have to chip off of short grass all day. Okay. So, um,

This is absolutely a great golf course for Rory McIlroy. A hundred percent. I mean, like, yeah, he's, he needs to drive the ball straight, but he has been driving the ball straight. He's been driving the ball. He's been driving the ball a lot better from an accuracy standpoint this year than he has been in terms of previous versions of Rory. He's a great Bermuda putter. Like some of the best putting performance of his career have come on Bermuda greens, these champion Bermuda greens like quail hollow.

He's putted incredibly at Quail Hall. He's putted incredibly at Bay Hill, putted incredibly at Congaree. Like he's been, he's been really solid on, on Bermuda before. I think the problem I have with Rory and, you know, I,

I'd said that I was done betting Rory at majors at this number, below 20 to 1 at majors. I'm just done. I'm done. And I'm going to stick to that. I'm going to stick to that for a little bit longer, at least, for the foreseeable future. But the main problem that I have with Rory is that

It would be so much easier for me to get behind Rory if we just had one piece of evidence over the last seven to eight months of him showing that his best stuff was better than this version of Scottie Scheffler's best stuff. Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler have played in the same golf tournament nine times this season.

And Rory has not beaten Scotty in a golf tournament that they've played in together once this entire year. In fact, most of the time he is not coming close. Okay. And now in my brain, in my head,

I want to believe that Rory's A-plus game can hang with this version of Scheffler. Of course I want to believe that. Rory's like the 17th best golfer of all time.

But there is no evidence. We have no evidence, not once in nine tournaments, that Rory's A-plus game can go toe-to-toe with Scottie Scheffler. And now the best performance that we have seen from Rory McIlroy all year came at Quail Hollow when Scottie was not in the field.

Is that a coincidence? Listen, I have no idea. That's an alternate universe. If Scottie was in the field at Quail Hollow with Rory, would Rory probably win? Yeah, I think so. I like to believe that, but—

We really don't know. There has been, I just need from Rory that one time where it's like, Oh, we got the, we got the Rory Scotty duel right now. Oh, this is Rory. That is like, and he had opportunities to do it, man. He had a lot of opportunity, a great opportunity to do it this week too. Like, I think this is a great golf course for him as well. And Mirafield village and Scotty's beating him by 10 right now. And yeah,

Valhalla, another spot. God, if you want to give Scottie adversity, talk about the perfect opportunity for Rory to stun on Scottie. Turn up the adversity machine for Scottie to the max and Scottie still beats him. If you are betting Rory McIlroy or saying that Rory McIlroy is going to beat Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament,

You are doing it based on a belief. And don't get me wrong, I do not fault anyone for that because I have held on to that Rory ceiling belief for so long. And a part of me still wants to believe in that, right? I would gladly, in a heartbeat, trade in the $500 or whatever that I bet on Scottie this week for Rory to win. In a heartbeat. Nothing would make me happier than that.

than Rory breaking through here and getting his first major in 10 years. But there is no evidence that Rory can go toe-to-toe with this guy. There is no evidence, not one time. I think the last time Rory beat Scottie in a golf tournament was August of last year in Memphis. And to be honest with you, if you really go back and look at it,

This is Rory's biggest foe. This is the toughest guy. This version of Scotty right now is the toughest guy that Rory McIlroy has ever faced in his entire career as a top 20 golfer of all time, proverbially at worst, the third best golfer over the past 10 years.

He has never gone up against a guy as good as Scotty Scheffler before. And Brooks has been more accomplished in major championships. Of course, Brooks has beat Rory in major championships. Rory has beat Brooks in major championships. Brooks is a more accomplished player, in my opinion, because he has that extra major despite all of the Rory non-major domination. But yeah,

Rory has never gone up against statistically this good of a golfer in his career. If you go back and actually look at, at Rory, he never really intersected with a peak tiger. Like it's gone. It's gone in waves. Tigers had, had stints of it, had, had comebacks. It's, it's,

It's never, there's never really been a time where like Rory and tiger separated themselves as the best players in the world. And it was everyone else. Their careers just never really intersected in that way. And this is the, this is, this is the best guy in terms of like a strokes game baseline right now that Rory's really ever had to face. And, um,

Do I believe like in my, in my heart that Rory's a plus game can go toe to toe with Scotty and beat him? Yeah, I suppose. I, I suppose I do, but it's just a belief at this point. Like you're, you're just, there's nothing you could point to that, that gives evidence that Rory McIlroy can beat this version of Scotty Scheffler in a golf tournament. Yeah.

And that's a pretty scary thing because I think Rory's playing some of the best golf of his career. And I think based on course fit and the way that he's playing, I don't think Xander's going back-to-back majors. I think Rory's the third most likely to win this golf tournament outside of Brooks and Xander. I think he's the third most likely player in this field to win this golf tournament than Brooks and Scotty. And at the same time with him being

in my opinion, the third most likely player to win this golf tournament, the gap between one and two has, has never felt greater. It's never felt greater. Um, so I don't think this golf tournament is over before it starts. Uh, Scotty's four to one for a reason. I think there are many possibilities of, of outcomes where Scotty does not win this golf tournament. Uh,

So a lot of variability when you start missing fairways, you could get just like a smorgasbord of terrible breaks one after the another, where you just, you get the terrible pine weed lie after the terrible pine weed lie. But I think Scotty is going to be close to the top of the field and fairways. So he's going to, and he's going to have the highest scrambling percentage too. So I just, I think there's other guys who maybe could win this tournament, but ultimately they,

When I pictured it on Sunday, I just felt like, like, I think this is an amazing golf course for Tommy Fleetwood. I think there's an amazing golf course for Hideki Matsuyama. I think he's an amazing golf course for Russell Henley. I like Colin. I don't think he's getting to three majors this soon, but I like calling a lot. It just felt clown emoji.

when it just felt the meme of drawing the clown makeup, which I think is what a lot of myself included golf betters have felt betting against Scotty Sheffler this year. And I do not think Scotty is invincible. He will not win every golf tournament that he enters. He peak tiger did not win every golf tournament that he entered and peak Scotty will not do that either. I think there will be tremendous, tremendous,

opportunities to fade Scotty Scheffler down the stretch based on golf courses. I will likely play zero Scotty at the Travelers Championship because that is a wedge in putting fest, regardless of how he plays at Pinehurst this week. I'm not sold on Scotty at Open Championships, right? Like there will be

I'm not the Scotty is just going to bulldoze everybody every single week. I was banging the drum for why I thought Valhalla was a bad setup for him. I also banged the drum for why I thought Heritage was a bad setup for him and I was wrong.

But I still maintain the belief that I think Scottie Scheffler is very beatable on certain golf courses. And whether you play him, whether you bat him or not, is completely golf course dependent. And I have been saying for months on end, this is the golf course to do it. You just do it at this golf course.

And you take your chances down the stretch. You have fun at the open. That one might be wide open. There's going to be PGA Tour tournaments down the stretch that some birdie fests, maybe the BMW Championship that are driver distance and bent grass putting heavy that he'll be beatable. This is just the week to swallow it. And I understand if you're in that camp of

you know, the without Scotty market. I just, that kind of felt like kind of anticlimactic to, to do. Like, I don't, I want to be rooting for the guy winning the tournament. Like, I don't want to bet a, you know, the, the other leaderboard like at Eastlake, I want to bet the guy that is going to win the tournament. And I will still have a tremendous amount of, of, you know, top tens and matchups and, and DFS on, on some of these guys that I love that I'll, I'll talk about far more in, um,

in the show with, with Kobe on, on Monday and, and DFS for Scott, he's going to be fascinating too. Like, uh, he could be the highest owned player that we've ever seen in a major championship. I think like I, in, in the Millie maker, does he near 60, 70%? I, you know, it's interesting, interesting to think about. So, uh, Scott, he's my guy this week. I hope this helped. I hope you enjoyed this. I, um,

I feel very good about this golf course. Now, it's easy to say that I feel good about my winner. Of course I do. I feel really good about some of the diamonds in the rough that I've been able to identify, which I'll talk about way more on the podcast I do on Monday night. We'll get into the

the elite plays. I think I've got some elite plays in the sixes and sevens and, and low weights and even the fives. I think I've got some real bangers, but we've already gone long. This is not the podcast for that. So this was basically to tell you who I was betting, uh, talk a little bit about why I'm not betting anyone else and some more thoughts on the golf course and why Pinehurst is so awesome. Um,

It's going to be an amazing week. I think that this has the opportunity to be the golf tournament of the year, the golf week of the year. And I say that thinking that the masters was one of the best tournaments I've ever seen. If you're down in the Pinehouse area, going to the tournament, enjoy it. Spent a lot of time in North Carolina over the years. I love it. You're going to love it. It's a good golf course to watch golf on. There's not a ton of elevation changes. It's pretty flat. It's going to be hot, of course, but it's,

They have really good local food options and restaurants. The town, the resort, there's really good food down there. There's really good barbecue down there. There's really great people down there. I know a lot of folks that are going to be on the grounds, both from the media perspective and the fan perspective. And you're going to have a blast. Even if you're watching it at home on television too, I think you're going to...

I think most of the people listening to this podcast are more in the camp of me that likes this style of golf as opposed to Valhalla. And I think we're in for a treat this week. So best of luck with your bets this week at the Memorial as that wraps up.

If this podcast helped you at all, if you could give a quick review or on Apple podcasts or retweet that helps more than, you know, remember retweet this episode on Twitter and follow inside golf pod to be entered into the draw to win a $200 single entry. We're given those away for every major. And yeah,

And that will do it for me. Enjoy the rest of the weekend. Like I said, enjoy that final round of the Memorial. And we will be back on this podcast feed with Kobe breaking down the entire DraftKings slate for the 124th U.S. Open at Pinehurst. Cheers!

Drinking and driving is a decision that could change your whole world. Things will never be the same if you ever get a DUI. Because legal fees and time in court are just the beginning. Getting into a crash is another way that your world can be turned upside down. Your vehicle may not be the only thing that gets damaged in that crash. You can face a life altering injury or

or even death. But you're not the only one that can face those consequences. Your decision to drink and drive can permanently impact not just your world, but someone else's world as well. Whether you injure them or leave their loved ones grieving. The next time you're out drinking, call a ride share, a taxi, a sober friend,

or a designated sober driver. The only decision that will change your world for the better is the decision to call for a sober ride. Drive sober or get pulled over. Paid for by NHTSA.