cover of episode So You're Saying There's a Chance?

So You're Saying There's a Chance?

2023/9/28
logo of podcast Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen

Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen
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Scott Rasmussen
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Steve Kornacki
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Scott Rasmussen认为，特朗普在民调中领先并非因为他支持率上升，而是拜登支持率下降，这主要源于选民对经济的悲观情绪。他指出，美国政治严重分裂，2021年1月20日之后并未恢复正常。他分析了通货膨胀调整后收入下降对民众的影响，特别是对那些靠月薪生活的民众的影响。他还强调了接触那些对政治不关心、不关注新闻的潜在摇摆选民的重要性，并建议竞选活动应像体育赛事解说一样，向选民解释政治局势。他认为，两党在输掉接近的选举后，都倾向于认为对方作弊，这是一种普遍的党派现象。他预测，2024年中期选举的结果将很大程度上取决于经济形势，而堕胎问题对共和党在众议院选举中的表现构成挑战。他认为，2024年大选很可能会出现党派性投票，选民会根据党派归属投票，而非根据候选人个人特质。

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The podcast introduces a panel discussion on the potential of GOP candidates unseating Trump in the 2024 race, featuring experts Scott Rasmussen, Steve Kornacki, and John Ralston.

Shownotes Transcript

Donald Trump looks like he’s running away with the GOP nomination, but several impressive opponents keep flailing away trying to catch him. Is this an exercise in futility or can one of them actually unseat him from his throne?To discuss the complicated feat facing 2024 hopefuls, Henry welcomes RMG Research Founder and President Scott Rasmussen for the Polling Barometer; NBC’s National Political Correspondent Steve Kornacki on the Republican Rumble; and Nevada Independent CEO Jon Ralston on all things “Silver State”.And stay tuned til the end for Henry’s breakdown of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s well played ad attacking challenger Daniel Cameron’s position on abortion.