cover of episode Third Party Candidates & Nonpartisan Voting Initiatives Falter

Third Party Candidates & Nonpartisan Voting Initiatives Falter

2024/11/19
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Ashley Lopez
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Stephen Fowler
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Tamara Keith
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Stephen Fowler: 第三方候选人在本次选举中表现不佳,得票率远低于主要候选人。Libertarian党的得票率也显著下降。将第三方候选人视为抗议投票的方式在本次选举中效力降低。由于两大党派被视为存在性威胁,选民更倾向于选择其中一方,导致第三方候选人难以获得更多支持。过去第三方候选人被指责为选举结果的“搅局者”,这种影响在本届选举中依然存在。Libertarian党内部存在分歧,一些领导人公开支持特朗普,这影响了该党候选人的表现。Robert F. Kennedy Jr.退出竞选也对第三方候选人的整体表现产生了负面影响。即使候选人发生变化(从拜登到哈里斯),选民对其他候选人的兴趣仍然不高。 Ashley Lopez: 选民选择第三方候选人的动机之一是表达对主要政党的抗议。在初选中,一些民主党选民因为对拜登的不满而考虑第三方候选人。负面两极分化是影响选民投票行为的重要因素,即使对本党不满,选民在关键时刻仍可能选择本党候选人。本次选举的投票率低于上届,这也在一定程度上导致第三方候选人表现不佳。许多州的选民投票否决了取消党派初选或增加等级排序投票的提案。许多提案旨在取消党派初选,取而代之的是所有候选人都在选票上出现,所有选民都能投票的“全面初选”。在州一级,取消党派初选或增加等级排序投票的提案均未获得通过,但在地方一级取得了一些成功。主要政党反对这些提案,这影响了选民对这些提案的态度。尽管选民对现有体制不满,但在面对改革提案时,他们仍然表现出怀疑态度,并在州一级投票否决了这些提案。 Tamara Keith: 对本次选举结果的分析

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did third-party candidates struggle in the recent election?

Third-party candidates struggled because voters perceived the Democratic and Republican candidates as existential threats, making it a binary choice. Additionally, the withdrawal of prominent independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. removed a significant alternative from the race.

How did the Libertarian Party contribute to its own candidate's poor performance?

The Libertarian Party leadership, including the party chair, openly campaigned for Donald Trump, undermining their own candidate, Chase Oliver. This internal conflict highlighted the party's preference for a more conservative option over their nominated progressive candidate.

What were the key reasons voters chose not to support third-party candidates?

Voters primarily saw the election as a choice between two existential threats, making third-party votes seem ineffective. Additionally, the lack of a strong, viable third-party option due to Kennedy's withdrawal further discouraged support for alternatives.

Why did initiatives for nonpartisan primaries and ranked choice voting fail at the polls?

These initiatives failed because voters were suspicious of the changes and received strong opposition from major political parties. Many voters were also unaware of the specifics of these measures, leading to their rejection.

How could nonpartisan primaries and ranked choice voting theoretically benefit third-party candidates?

These voting reforms could force candidates to appeal to a broader electorate, including independents and third-party voters, rather than just their party's base. This could create more opportunities for third-party candidates to gain traction and influence the election outcome.

What role did negative polarization play in the election outcome?

Negative polarization intensified the perception of a binary choice between two major parties seen as existential threats. This dynamic discouraged voters from considering third-party options, as they prioritized preventing the other major party from winning.

Chapters
Despite dissatisfaction with the major parties, third-party candidates struggled to gain significant support in the election.
  • Third-party candidates received less than 2% of the vote.
  • Voters perceived the major parties as existential threats, limiting third-party appeal.
  • Internal party dynamics and strategic decisions by candidates like RFK Jr. impacted third-party performance.

Shownotes Transcript

Even though many voters said they didn't like Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, very few who voted decided to cast their ballots for other candidates. Then, a look at why many ranked choice voting & nonpartisan primary ballot initiatives s)truggled at the polls this November.This episode: senior White House correspondent Tamara Keith, political correspondent Ashley Lopez, and political reporter Stephen Fowler.*The podcast is produced by Jeongyoon Han and Kelli Wessinger, and edited by Casey Morell. Our executive producer is Muthoni Muturi.Listen to every episode of the NPR Politics Podcast sponsor-free, unlock access to bonus episodes with more from the NPR Politics team, and support public media when you sign up for The NPR Politics Podcast+ at *plus.npr.org/politics).Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)