cover of episode How Harris, Trump Are Angling For Votes

How Harris, Trump Are Angling For Votes

2024/8/27
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The NPR Politics Podcast

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Deepa Shivaram
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Franco Ordoñez
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Mara Liasson
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Deepa Shivaram: 本期节目讨论了特朗普和哈里斯的竞选策略,以及他们各自试图吸引中间派选民的方式。特朗普的竞选策略侧重于回顾过去,强调美国经济的繁荣和社会秩序,并通过渲染负面情绪来突出他作为唯一能够解决问题的领导人的形象。哈里斯的竞选策略则侧重于展望未来,强调团结和乐观,并通过讲述个人故事来与更广泛的美国公众建立联系。她还强调了爱国主义和国家安全,试图吸引那些并非民主党核心支持者的选民。 Franco Ordoñez: 特朗普的核心信息是回顾美国经济强劲、农村地区就业机会多、制造业更普遍的时期,并将其竞选框架为实力与弱势的对抗,并散布恐惧情绪,认为只有他才能解决美国面临的各种问题,例如失控的成本、非法移民和潜在的第三次世界大战。哈里斯则致力于描绘一条新的前进道路,讲述她个人的故事,并将其与更广泛的美国公众联系起来,呈现对未来的乐观愿景,并通过强调团结和共同努力来与选民产生共鸣。 Mara Liasson: 哈里斯的演讲表明她认为仅靠民主党基础支持者无法获胜,她反复向中间派选民示好,没有强调自己的种族或性别身份,而是强调自己作为移民子女的经历,试图与更广泛的美国公众建立联系。特朗普则似乎认为他只需要发表典型的集会演讲,就能赢得选举,不需要拓展其影响范围。此外,爱国主义是两场党代会演讲中的一个重要主题,但两者的呈现方式和侧重点不同。哈里斯在演讲中强调自己作为三军统帅的能力,并使用强硬的语言,试图吸引那些并非民主党核心支持者的选民。 Franco Ordoñez: 特朗普的竞选策略更多的是基于对过去的怀旧和对未来的恐惧,他试图唤起人们对过去经济繁荣的记忆,并利用对非法移民、社会分裂和国际冲突的担忧来争取选民的支持。他很少深入探讨具体的政策细节,而是更注重情绪化的诉求和个人魅力。哈里斯的竞选策略则更注重对未来的展望和对团结的强调,她试图通过展现个人经历和乐观态度来吸引选民,并强调她将如何改善美国人民的生活。虽然她也谈到了具体的政策,例如控制食品价格和解决住房短缺问题,但她更注重的是整体的愿景和价值观。 Mara Liasson: 哈里斯的竞选策略显示出她对中间派选民的重视,她避免了过分强调自身身份认同,而是专注于与更广泛的美国公众建立联系,并强调她作为领导人的能力和经验。她试图通过展现强硬和果断的形象来赢得那些对国家安全和经济稳定感到担忧的选民的支持。特朗普的竞选策略则更侧重于巩固其核心支持者,他继续使用强硬的言辞和民粹主义的论调,并对对手进行人身攻击。他似乎并不太关注争取中间派选民,而是更专注于激发其支持者的热情。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Former President Trump and Vice President Harris delivered distinct messages at their respective conventions. Trump focused on restoring a perceived stronger past, emphasizing themes of strength, fear, and economic revival. Harris presented a more optimistic vision, connecting her personal story to a broader American narrative and emphasizing unity and progress.
  • Trump's message centered on restoring a perceived stronger past, focusing on economic revival and portraying himself as the sole solution to current issues.
  • Harris emphasized optimism, unity, and progress, connecting her personal story to a universal American narrative.
  • Trump's speech was significantly longer than Harris's, reflecting different campaign strategies.

Shownotes Transcript

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I'm waiting for park rangers to come open the gates so I can start my six mile long run and my half marathon training plan. This podcast was recorded at 1 0 8 PM on Tuesday, August 27th, 2024. Things may have changed by the time you hear it, but I'll still be enjoying watching the sunrise while collecting my miles. Okay. Enjoy the show.

Why are there so many runners who listen to this podcast? I am jealous. I am jealous. Very cool. It's a lot of hard work to do that. I hope that she listens to this episode during training. Hey there, it's the NPR Politics Podcast. I'm Deepa Shivaram. I cover the White House. I'm Franco Adonis. I cover the campaign. And I'm Mara Liason, senior national political correspondent.

Okay, so today on the show, the theories of the case for Donald Trump's and Kamala Harris's candidacies and how they're campaigning for the presidency. In yesterday's episode, we talked about the presidential race being essentially tied. And there are only 70 days until Election Day. But in the meantime, some voters will start getting their early voting ballots in as little as 10 days.

Trump and Harris accepted their party's nominations at their respective conventions, and each addressed the nation while doing so. We're going to talk a little bit about what their messages were. So Franco, we'll start with some of what former President Trump had to say in Milwaukee. Together we will launch a new era of safety, prosperity, and freedom for citizens of every race, religion, color, and creed. The discord and

Division in our society must be healed. We must heal it quickly. As Americans, we are bound together by a single fate and a shared destiny. We rise together or we fall apart. I am running to be president for all of America, not half of America, because there is no victory in winning for half of America. So tonight...

With faith and devotion, I proudly accept your nomination for president of the United States. Thank you. And we should, of course, point out that, you know, Donald Trump was giving his speech at the RNC while Joe Biden was still the candidate running for president. And of course, you know, we might have seen a different rhetoric if it had been Kamala Harris at the top of the ticket. Franco, what was the central message of Trump's speech?

I mean, Trump's central message is, you know, about looking back to a time when, you know, the U.S. economy appeared, you know, or was perceived to be stronger, that rural America had more jobs, that manufacturing was more prevalent.

But also, kind of as you heard in that clip there, it was also about kind of framing this race between strength and weakness. It was also a

message of fear. You know, he went on in that speech to talk about or at least to paint a very dystopian picture of American society where, you know, costs have gotten out of control, illegal immigration is plaguing the country, and that America is on the cusp of World War III and that he is the only one who alone can address the issues of the day.

All right, let's listen to what his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, said in Chicago last week. And so on behalf of the people, on behalf of every American, regardless of party, race, gender, or the language your grandmother speaks, on behalf of my mother,

and everyone who has ever set out on their own unlikely journey. On behalf of Americans like the people I grew up with, people who work hard, chase their dreams, and look out for one another. On behalf of everyone whose story could only be written in the greatest nation on earth, I accept your nomination.

Very different tones, messages, words there you take away from from Kamala Harris's speech. Yeah, I mean, I think for Harris, it was much more about, you know, charting a new way forward, about connecting her story of.

to the greater American public, telling a much more universal story about herself and how it connected with everyone else. It was also about presenting a more optimistic vision for the future. You know, she made kind of a subtle changes from Biden's messages. I mean, Biden would cast Trump as kind of like this existential threat to democracy. She definitely warned against Trump coming back, but it was

It was also in a frame, a much more positive, a much more sunny side, optimistic framing of, you know, the future and looking ahead.

And also, I mean, she picked Governor Tim Walz as her running mate, whose sunny disposition, I mean, he's, you know, his entire persona is pretty jolly, to be frank. Yeah, and Mara, I mean, both candidates here, like we've been saying, different vibes, right, for lack of a better word, but they use the word fight. They talk about being fighters, goblins.

But the difference is still pretty stark, right? The subtext to all of that is not exactly the same. The contrast is stark. Two extremely different theories of the case here. Kamala Harris in her speech showed that she believes she cannot win with the Democratic base alone. She was reaching out to the center again and again. She didn't.

focus on her racial or gender identity. She talked about herself as being the child of immigrants, which is something that millions and millions of Americans can relate to. She also gave a 38-minute speech as opposed to Trump's 92-minute speech. She seemed to understand that undecided people might not listen to more than 38 minutes, and you better give them a reason to vote for you before they start going to the fridge for a snack.

Donald Trump, on the other hand, seemed to think that all he has to do is give a typical rally speech. There were some scripted moments for him at the beginning and the end. You just heard one of them. He didn't seem to have a lot of energy in there. But once he was back to ad-libbing and riffing, he was back to his usual stream of consciousness rally speech, which lasted 92 minutes, because that's what people who come to his rallies love. He doesn't seem to think that he needs to

expand his reach beyond the MAGA base to win. And we'll see whose theory of the case is correct. Let's also just remember for Trump, you know, his speech was just a few days after the attempted assassination on his life, which became a central theme. And he said, fight, fight, fight. All of his

So many of the speakers on stage spoke, you know, said that same theme. It was really part of his message and the Republicans message throughout the week. Another theme I think I wanted to get at with both of you. Patriotism was a big part of both the RNC and the DNC talking about, you know, love of country, dedication to America, American flags being a symbol that were everywhere. It was interesting.

pretty expected, I think, at the RNC, but it sort of came across in this very, very big way for Democrats that we maybe haven't really seen candidates in the Democratic Party lean into as much in recent years. Let's play a piece of tape from Trump's speech kind of speaking to this. Under our leadership, the United States will be respected again. No nation will question our power. No enemy will doubt our might.

Our borders will be totally secure. Our economy will soar. We will return law and order to our streets, patriotism to our schools, and importantly, we will restore peace

stability and harmony all throughout the world. I mean, Trump's entire, you know, so-called MAGA movement is intertwined with patriotism. He's infamous for kissing the flag before, during speeches, at, you know, consequential moments. You know, he calls, for example, the January 6th rioters who stormed the Capitol, patriots,

I mean, it is a huge, huge part of Trump's persona. But at the DNC, Adam Kinzinger, the former Republican congressman from Illinois, you know, turned to kind of Republican viewers and said, hey, Democrats are as patriotic as many Republicans. It was kind of a fascinating moment. Mara, what do you think?

In 2016, I remember sitting in the skybox and talking about how many flags Hillary Clinton had brought out. This isn't new on the part of Democrats, but there's no doubt that historically Republicans have been the one that kind of

owned the patriotism mantle. But it's not new for Democrats. They've been trying to get this back for years. And Kamala Harris worked really, really hard to do it. I mean, she's facing a big hurdle. She has to get people outside the hall, independent voters, swing voters, to imagine her as the commander-in-chief. We've never had a female commander-in-chief. But when she talked about what she was going to do, she did it in the toughest possible language. As commander-in-chief.

I will ensure America always has the strongest, most lethal fighting force in the world. And I will fulfill our sacred obligation to care for our troops and their families. And I will always honor and never disparage their service and their sacrifice.

Most lethal fighting force in the world. Lethal is really key there. She's saying, I'm willing to be a killer, which is what lethal means, on behalf of my country. And she also went on to talk about being an American is the greatest privilege on earth. The privilege and pride of being an American. She...

I really stress that. I don't know if it's going to work, but this is something that was part of her effort to appeal to voters who aren't part of the Democratic base. Right. All right. We're going to take a quick break and we'll be back in a moment.

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We're going to pick up where we left off talking about this commander-in-chief narrative from Kamala Harris, really trying to show her leadership on a world stage and try to bring in voters from across the aisle, not just the Democratic base. Mara, I want to go back to that point because part

of that messaging was also somewhat a way of downplaying, you know, other parts of her identity, like you were talking about earlier. Right. She isn't running on being the first woman or the first African-American South Asian woman as president. If anything, her identity is as a child of immigrants. And I think that's really important. People are not going to vote for you because you're the first anything. They're going to vote for you because you're going to make their lives better. And that's what she understands in a way that I think Hillary Clinton didn't.

And it's also a huge contrast with Trump, who never talks about his

upbringing or his family, she paints this picture of how she was raised by a community. She talked about how her mother lived in an apartment with her and her sister above a daycare center. She said she lived in a beautiful working class neighborhood of firefighters, nurses, and construction workers, all who tended their lawns with pride, and they all loved her as a family. And that's something, that's real old-fashioned democratic rhetoric. We're all in this together and we help each other.

Yeah. Franco, I want to turn to a different element here. I mean, Republicans and Democrats are always going to have different contrasting visions on how to govern. None of that is breaking news here. But the presentation of those visions, of course, very different. What I want to get at, though, is, I mean, how does a campaign get these undecided voters to buy into what they're selling in a very short timeline like we've been pointing out? Yeah, I mean, I think you're right. I mean, neither of these candidates

even dug deep into policy at all during their convention speeches. And I think both campaigns recognize that policy doesn't necessarily move voters during campaigns. Certainly, Trump feels that way when he's the marketing TV guy. He talks about these kind of platforms as boring white papers. No one wants to know that. They want more of the bullet points. They want to know how things are going to change. And I think Harris kind of feels similar, at least

or at least presented herself similarly in this case. I mean, she has really not gone into many specifics either in the speech or before. I mean, she did obviously enter an economic plan. She talked about controls on food prices. She's talked about dealing with the housing shortage and opportunity accruals.

economy. And I mean, when it comes to Trump, I mean, sometimes, you know, you kind of question whether he is trying to tack to the center. You know, you have his running mate, J.D. Vance, coming on TV saying that he would veto a national abortion ban. That is obviously one of the biggest vulnerabilities that Trump and the Republicans have for reaching the middle. So there are those efforts to go to the center.

But they are, I would argue, far and few between considering the amount of personal attacks and red meat and focus that Trump has had on Harris's ethnicity, gender and all the personal attacks that we've heard over and over and over again. I would say Trump is not making much progress.

of an effort to convince people who are on the fence, but he is repeating his greatest hits, which is that under his leadership, everything will be fixed. He said, we will restore peace, stability, and harmony all throughout the world.

And he'll fix inflation. He'll fix illegal immigration. He doesn't tell you exactly how he's going to do it other than to deport millions of people. But this has been a theme from him all along that – and I guess he assumes it will work with undecided voters as well as his base, which is that I alone can fix it. And things were great when I was president. They've been absolutely horrible now. But we're going to make America great again. Okay.

Okay, before we wrap, I want to ask one more question. In the short time that there is left before Election Day, do both of you anticipate, you know, these candidates, the RNC Trump and the DNC Harris being these campaigns and these candidates in their final form? Or do you think there's still some wiggle room? I mean, I think when it comes to Trump, we're absolutely seeing big wiggle room and maybe some more dramatic moves in the near future. I mean, we've

Yeah.

$540 million since launching her presidential campaign. That's a heck of a lot of money. Yeah, I think that just based on these two speeches, it's Trump that we should expect something different, only because Republicans, including his own campaign, thinks that he squandered the opportunity of that speech, that he didn't take advantage of the moment. Democrats think that

Kamala Harris did what she needed to do in that speech. Now she has to build on that and she has to get over the next big hurdle for her, the next big test, which is that debate on September 10th. Yeah, there's still a lot of politicking to be played. We're going to leave it there for today. I'm Deva Shivaram. I cover the White House. I'm Frank Ordonez. I cover the campaign. And I'm Mara Liason, senior national political correspondent. And thanks for listening to the NPR Politics Podcast.

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