cover of episode Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!

Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!

2024/11/1
logo of podcast All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

Key Insights

Why is the US GDP growth rate of 2.8% in Q3 2023 considered inflated?

The GDP growth is largely driven by government consumption, with private sector activity remaining stagnant. This indicates that the economy is not growing sustainably, as the government's role in consumption is masking underlying weaknesses in industry and private demand.

Why did YouTube and Google Cloud perform exceptionally well in Google's recent earnings report?

YouTube surpassed $50 billion in total revenue over the past year, with a significant portion coming from premium paid products like YouTube TV and YouTube Premium. Google Cloud had $11.4 billion in revenue, showing 35% annual growth and $1.9 billion in operating profit, indicating strong performance and profitability.

Why has trust in the media significantly declined in the US?

Media companies have shifted from providing objective information to becoming content businesses that prioritize emotive and opinion-driven stories to drive engagement and ad revenue. This shift has led to a perception of bias and sensationalism, eroding public trust.

Why did Joe Rogan's interview with Trump not appear in YouTube search results?

The interview was initially suppressed due to a high number of users flagging the content as inappropriate, triggering an automated response to hide the video from search results while it was investigated. This was not a deliberate action by YouTube but a consequence of their content moderation system.

What are the key factors influencing the upcoming US election?

The election is influenced by early voting trends, particularly the shift in early voting patterns favoring Republicans. Polling data shows Trump ahead in key swing states, and the perception of inflation and economic hardship under the current administration is a significant factor affecting voter sentiment.

Chapters

The discussion revolves around the real GDP growth of 2.8% and the underlying issues with government spending and debt.
  • Real GDP grew 2.8% in Q3, but government consumption is driving most of the gains.
  • Federal debt is at $35 trillion with $1 trillion in annual interest payments.
  • Government employees make up 1% of the country, with 25 million people working for the government.

Shownotes Transcript

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues

(29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google?

(36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks

(42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US

(54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results

(1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats

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Referenced in the show:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10)

https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908)

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S)

https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update)

https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png)

https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf)

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html)

https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926)

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130)

https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx)

https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx)

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust)

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255)

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1)

https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026)

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189)