cover of episode E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner

E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner

2023/6/16
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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
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B
Brad Gerstner
C
Chamath Palihapitiya
以深刻的投资见解和社会资本主义理念而闻名的风险投资家和企业家。
Topics
Chamath Palihapitiya: 本期节目主要围绕人工智能的投资和发展,以及Reddit的抗议事件展开讨论。他分享了自己乘坐西南航空廉价航班的经历,并谈到了参加扑克锦标赛的感受,以及在比赛期间没有连接社交媒体的体验。他还表达了对AI领域投资的看法,认为需要谨慎,并关注个股表现。 Brad Gerstner: 本期节目讨论了美联储暂停加息、IPO市场状况、科技股反弹以及AI对市场的影响等问题。他分析了ARM的估值、数据中心市场以及AI对不同行业的影响。他还谈到了Reddit版主罢工事件,认为这反映了内容创作者对数据控制权的需求。此外,他还对AI初创公司的巨额融资提出了质疑,认为许多投资实际上是在补贴资本支出,而非投资具有可持续竞争优势的创新技术。他强调了限制对于初创公司成功的重要性,并分析了风投基金规模对投资决策的影响。最后,他还澄清了关于比尔·盖茨在哥伦比亚投放转基因蚊子的说法,并讨论了人类改造地球以改善生活条件的必要性。 Chamath Palihapitiya: 就AI投资而言,他认为需要谨慎,并关注个股表现。他认为,目前市场对AI的热情可能存在过热现象,需要仔细评估投资风险。同时,他也分享了自己在投资方面的经验,例如专注于高确定性投资,并强调了在投资决策中保持理性、避免情绪化的重要性。他还谈到了Reddit的抗议事件,认为这反映了内容创作者对数据控制权的需求,以及平台需要平衡自身利益和用户创造的价值之间的关系。

Deep Dive

Chapters
La FED pausó las subidas de tipos, lo que llevó a una subida del mercado. Se discuten las OPV de ARM y Databricks, y se analiza el impacto de la IA en el mercado.
  • La FED pausó las subidas de tipos de interés.
  • ARM y Databricks planean salir a bolsa.
  • El mercado está subiendo, impulsado por las acciones tecnológicas.
  • La IA está teniendo un impacto significativo en el mercado.

Shownotes Transcript

(0:00) Bestie intros: Chamath flies public + Poker recap

(8:12) FED pauses hikes momentarily, IPO window status, state of the market

(25:10) Film, cold plunge, and sauna talk

(33:25) AI's impact on tech and growth stocks surging, Google's position, AI's "$20T question"

(50:27) Jay Trading beating the market, how Brad formulates and sizes public bets, how GPs should handle distributions, CalPERS mistakes

(1:04:22) Reddit moderators in revolt and how this issue might reshape the future of social apps

(1:15:11) Funding landscape for AI startups is overheating: Mistral's $100M+ Seed round, importance of constraints, and more

(1:44:17) Science corner: Understanding the Bill Gates-funded mosquito project in Colombia

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath)

https://linktr.ee/calacanis)

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks)

https://twitter.com/friedberg)

https://twitter.com/altcap)

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod)

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast)

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl)

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg)

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect)

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/fed-rate-decision-june-2023.html)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS)

https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/intel-talks-be-anchor-investor-arm-ipo-source-2023-06-13)

https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbanks-arm-registers-blockbuster-us-ipo-sources-2023-04-29)

https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-to-acquire-arm-for-40-billion-creating-worlds-premier-computing-company-for-the-age-of-ai)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-13/databricks-hits-1-billion-in-annual-sales-while-adding-data-warehouse-tool)

https://www.gamesindustry.biz/nvidias-acquisition-of-arm-cancelled-due-to-significant-regulatory-challenges)

https://bard.google.com)

https://coda.io/@presh-dineshkumar/jay-trading)

https://www.ft.com/content/86b49e10-3dd2-4427-b70b-993bad47b061)

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/calpers-to-increase-venture-capital-investments-despite-tech-turmoil.html)

https://www.theverge.com/2023/6/12/23755974/reddit-subreddits-going-dark-private-protest-api-changes)

https://reddark.untone.uk)

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/18/technology/reddit-ai-openai-google.html)

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-20554441)

https://digiday.com/media/twitters-third-party-app-problem)

https://www.wired.com/2015/07/reddit-ceo-ellen-pao-steps-down-huffman-replacement)

https://www.platformer.news/p/meta-is-building-a-decentralized)

https://www.ft.com/content/cf939ea4-d96c-4908-896a-48a74381f251)

https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266)

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/1523379957/oculus-rift-step-into-the-game)

https://openai.com/blog/function-calling-and-other-api-updates)

https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1667616444996104196)

https://www.womenshealthnetwork.com/hormonal-imbalance/sunscreen-ingredients-that-mess-with-your-hormones)