Key Insights
Why are women in Iowa supporting Kamala Harris?
Women in Iowa, particularly those over 65 and independent women, are supporting Kamala Harris due to the state's six-week abortion ban, which they oppose. This issue has driven a significant shift in support towards Harris, with women turning out at a rate of two to one in her favor.
Has Kamala Harris made a mistake by using celebrity endorsements?
Some critics argue that Harris' use of celebrity endorsements, such as a star-studded concert in Philadelphia, could alienate non-elite voters. This mirrors concerns raised during Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign about the effectiveness of such events.
Why is Donald Trump often late to his rallies?
Trump's lateness to rallies is partly due to his focus on retail politics, spending extra time with attendees to maximize engagement. This approach, while effective, often leads to delays in his schedule.
What impact did the Madison Square Garden rally have on public perception of Trump?
The Madison Square Garden rally, where Trump's supporters made controversial statements, may have highlighted the extremism of his inner circle, causing unease among voters who were previously immune to Trump's rhetoric.
How does the machinery in states like Nevada and New Hampshire influence election outcomes?
In states like Nevada and New Hampshire, the Democratic machinery, including unions and organized labor, plays a crucial role in mobilizing voters. This machinery can significantly impact voter turnout and election results, often favoring Democratic candidates.
Why might Republicans in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin oppose early ballot processing?
Republicans in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin may oppose early ballot processing to create a delay, allowing time for potential legal challenges and claims of election fraud, which could benefit their candidate, Donald Trump.
What is the significance of the Supreme Court's decision on Pennsylvania's provisional ballots?
The Supreme Court's rejection of the Republican emergency appeal against provisional ballots in Pennsylvania ensures that thousands of ballots will be counted, potentially affecting the tight race in the state.
Chapters
- Kamala Harris leads in a recent Iowa poll with 47% to Donald Trump's 44%.
- The poll indicates a swing towards Harris since the summer, especially among women.
- Ann Seltzer's poll methodology is highly regarded in Iowa.
Shownotes Transcript