cover of episode Meta’s AI Promise, Microsoft’s Disappointing Beat & Why Google Should Spin Youtube

Meta’s AI Promise, Microsoft’s Disappointing Beat & Why Google Should Spin Youtube

2024/11/4
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Prof G Markets

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People
E
Ed
参与金融播客,分析和讨论金融市场趋势和变化。
S
Scott
通过积极的储蓄和房地产投资,实现早期退休并成为财务独立运动的领袖。
Topics
Scott和Ed讨论了美国经济的强劲增长,以及科技公司(谷歌、微软、Meta)的财报表现。他们分析了科技公司利用资本作为武器的策略,以及广告支出从传统媒体向数字平台转移的趋势。此外,他们还对即将到来的总统大选进行了预测,Scott预测卡玛拉·哈里斯将赢得大选。 Ed对美国经济增长速度与民众感受的差异进行了分析,并指出Reddit的成功得益于AI技术和谷歌算法的更新。他还讨论了礼来公司药物销售额下降的原因,以及xAI公司估值过高的风险。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Meta's stock falling despite strong revenue growth?

Meta's stock fell due to weaker-than-expected daily active user growth and warnings of increased AI expenditure in 2024.

Why did Microsoft's stock decline after beating revenue expectations?

Microsoft's stock declined because its guidance for the current quarter was softer than Wall Street expectations.

Why is YouTube considered an undervalued asset within Alphabet?

YouTube generates more revenue than Netflix but is part of Alphabet, which dilutes its standalone value and market perception.

Why are tech companies like Google, Microsoft, and Meta increasing their capital expenditures?

Tech companies are ramping up capex to compete in the AI space, viewing capital as a strategic weapon to stay ahead in technology trends.

Why is legacy media struggling despite a strong economy?

Legacy media is losing ad revenue to digital platforms like YouTube and social media, which are more effective at capturing advertiser attention.

Why are podcasts becoming a significant revenue stream?

Podcasts command significant attention, especially from younger demographics, making them a lucrative platform for advertisers seeking to reach this hard-to-reach group.

Why might Vice President Harris win the upcoming election?

Harris might win due to voter fatigue from the intense political discourse of the previous administration and a desire for a less divisive presidency.

Chapters
The chapter discusses Reddit's impressive earnings growth, attributing it to both intentional AI plays and market dynamics shifting in its favor.
  • Reddit's revenue grew 68% year-on-year.
  • Daily users increased by 47%.
  • AI translation of posts into multiple languages expanded the user base globally.

Shownotes Transcript

Scott and Ed open the show by discussing the U.S.’s GDP growth, Reddit’s earnings, Eli Lilly’s third quarter drug sales, and xAI’s new funding round. Then Scott and Ed break down big tech’s earnings and discuss how the tech companies are using capital as a weapon. They also examine the shifting media landscape and explain why advertisers have been cutting their spending on legacy media. Finally, Scott offers his prediction for the Presidential election. 

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