cover of episode The Stakes of a Harris vs. Trump Debate

The Stakes of a Harris vs. Trump Debate

2024/9/10
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The Run-Up

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C
Charles Graham
F
Fitzwilliam Vandermark Geary
J
Jerome Enders
J
Johnny Reed
R
Ruth Igielnik
Topics
Ruth Igielnik: 本次民调显示,哈里斯和特朗普的支持率非常接近,未决定的选民比例虽然较小,但在关键摇摆州可能决定选举结果。未决定的选民群体主要由年轻、少数族裔和政治中间派组成,他们最关心的问题是经济。虽然他们投票意愿较低,但仍是决定性因素。对哈里斯和特朗普的了解程度也存在差异,更多人表示对哈里斯的政策了解不足。 本次辩论对哈里斯至关重要,因为未决定的选民希望更多地了解她的政策。历史上,未决定的选民不太可能观看完整的辩论,他们更可能通过片段或朋友的转述来了解辩论内容。民主党选民的热情现在与共和党选民不相上下,甚至更高,这使得说服未决定的选民变得更加重要。为了说服未决定的选民,候选人应该重点讨论经济问题。 Jerome Enders: 我对哈里斯和特朗普都不确定,需要更多信息来决定投票给谁。我最关心的是候选人将为美国公民做什么,特别是住房、经济和教育问题。我希望通过辩论了解哈里斯的性格、处理问题的能力和表达能力,也希望特朗普更多地关注政策问题,而不是人身攻击。 Fitzwilliam Vandermark Geary: 我不喜欢主要政党的候选人,因为其中一人过于粗鲁,另一人在任期间的表现让我难以理解。我对哈里斯的边境政策和能源政策以及特朗普的堕胎立场感到不满。我希望候选人能够坚定地支持他们的承诺,而不是根据选民的喜好改变立场。 Johnny Reed: 我对拜登在任期间的表现感到失望,对哈里斯也不确定。我希望听到哈里斯为普通民众提出的具体政策,特别是关于住房、汽车和保险等高成本问题的解决方案。我不信任特朗普,认为他可以不受惩罚地做任何事。 Charles Graham: 我曾经投票给奥巴马和特朗普,但对两位候选人都感到失望,2020年没有投票。我对两位候选人都缺乏信心,认为他们都不是最佳人选。我批评特朗普不会闭嘴,以及哈里斯在任期间未能解决民生问题。

Deep Dive

Chapters
With the 2024 presidential race neck and neck, a small percentage of undecided voters hold significant sway. These voters, who tend to be younger, more racially diverse, and focused on economic issues, could be influenced by the upcoming debate. Many undecided voters express a need to learn more about Harris's policies, while others question Trump's character.
  • A small percentage of undecided voters could determine the election outcome.
  • Undecided voters prioritize economic issues.
  • Many seek more information on Harris's policies.
  • Some question Trump's character.

Shownotes Transcript

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris will face off in Philadelphia on Tuesday night for the second presidential debate of 2024. It will be the first time the two candidates meet on a debate stage.

They enter the debate in a neck-and-neck race, with Mr. Trump leading Ms. Harris, 48 percent to 47 percent, according to the latest national polling from The New York Times and Siena College.

That means the people still on the fence — those unsure about whom to vote for or whether to vote at all — are potentially the most important audience for the debate.

Today, “The Run-Up” talks with Ruth Igielnik), a Times polling editor, about the 5 percent of voters who are still undecided. We then speak with four undecided voters to ask what they are hoping to hear tonight.