cover of episode The Election is Over
People
D
Doug Hendrickson
G
Gavin Newsom
M
Marshawn Lynch
Topics
Doug Hendrickson：在竞选期间，通过与普通民众（如Uber司机、机场工作人员）的交流，他预感到选举结果不佳。他认为民众希望政治家更务实、更简洁地沟通，而不是复杂的政策方案。他认为特朗普的竞选信息简洁明了，更容易被民众接受和理解。选举结果公布后，他收到了大量的邮件和电话，询问选举结果和民调失误的原因。他认为民调失误的原因可能与人们获取信息的方式转变有关，例如社交媒体的影响。此次选举结果为民主党提供了一个反思和调整的机会。特朗普政府可能采取的政策会对加州产生负面影响。未来几年，需要关注民生问题，弥合民众对经济表现和经济感知之间的差距，需要简化政策，并加强沟通，以更好地与民众沟通。 Marshawn Lynch：他认为应该与更了解当地情况的人交流，才能更好地把握民意。在选举期间，他听到的民意反馈是负面的，认为竞选团队的策略存在问题。他将选举失利归咎于Gavin Newsom的竞选策略。他认为有效的沟通在于平等对话，而不是居高临下。人们更倾向于直接、坦诚的沟通，而不是含糊其辞。在体育比赛中，运动员更希望教练直接坦诚地告知情况，而不是粉饰太平。他接到大量陌生电话，对方试图影响他的投票意向。他考虑竞选奥克兰市长，希望恢复奥克兰市的社区凝聚力。 Gavin Newsom：由于竞选活动主要在民主党的“泡沫”中进行，导致对真实民意的把握不足。他在竞选期间听到的民意反馈集中在通货膨胀、利率、移民、现任政府的责任感以及对乌克兰战争的焦虑等问题上。此次选举失利严重，民主党失去了所有摇摆州，并且在20年来首次输掉了普选票。地方选举的结果也反映了民意的转变，例如奥克兰市长和阿拉米达县地区检察官的罢免。特朗普成功争取到部分黑人男性选民的支持，这与他能够以选民易于理解的方式与他们沟通有关。对选举结果的解读需要谨慎，因为过往的预测常常与最终结果相悖。他试图与特朗普联系，但未能成功。他将继续为加州人民的利益而努力，并反对不公正的行为。加州将采取强硬立场，反对对弱势群体的攻击和歧视。未来几年，需要关注民生问题，弥合民众对经济表现和经济感知之间的差距。人们的共同点比分歧更多，例如对安全、尊重和归属感的需求。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the Democrats lose the election?

The Democrats lost due to a disconnect between performance and perception, particularly on issues like inflation, interest rates, immigration, and incumbency. Trump's simple, understandable message resonated more with voters.

What was the key difference in messaging between Trump and the Democrats?

Trump's messaging was straightforward and relatable, focusing on common-sense solutions and the American dream. The Democrats' plans were seen as complex and not clearly communicated.

How did Trump's approach to black male voters differ from the Democrats'?

Trump spoke directly and in a way that black male voters could understand, resonating with their desire for clear, honest communication. The Democrats' approach was seen as more complex and less relatable.

What is Gavin Newsom's strategy for dealing with a potential hostile federal administration?

Newsom plans to stand firm and protect vulnerable communities, focusing on an open hand rather than a closed fist. He aims to work from a position of strength and prioritize people over politics.

Why did polling results differ significantly from the actual election outcome?

Polling failed to account for the hyper-connected world where people's media consumption is shaped by algorithms. Traditional polling methods didn't reach those influenced by social media and other digital platforms.

What is Marshawn Lynch's potential platform if he runs for mayor of Oakland?

Lynch's platform would focus on community revitalization, public safety, job creation, and improving quality of life. He emphasizes the importance of community leaders and moral authority.

How does Gavin Newsom plan to address the disconnect between Democrats and voters?

Newsom aims to simplify messaging, focus on real people's issues, and rebuild a sense of community. He believes in getting back to basics and making politics more relatable and understandable.

Chapters
The discussion revolves around the factors that influenced the election outcome, including voter sentiment, economic concerns, and the effectiveness of campaign strategies.
  • Doug's pessimism based on interactions with Uber drivers and airport clerks.
  • Marshawn's observations from conversations with 'dope fiends' on the ground.
  • The disconnect between enthusiasm in organized Democratic events and real voter sentiment.

Shownotes Transcript

The guys react to the election results and offer some advice on how to survive the next for years. Plus, we want to hear from you at [email protected]. 

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