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@主讲人 : 我认为在未来十年内,一些地区具备成为新国家的潜力。我将探讨格陵兰、布干维尔、新喀里多尼亚、索马里兰和库克群岛等地的独立前景。虽然这其中存在不确定性,但我会分析它们各自的独立进程和面临的挑战。我不会讨论那些已经事实独立但未获国际承认的地区,也不会涉及发达国家内部的分裂运动。我的重点是那些已经走在独立道路上,只需完成最后步骤的地区,它们能否成功独立,主要取决于自身的意愿以及与当前所属国家的谈判结果。
Deep Dive
The number of countries in the world is fluid, changing over time due to various political and historical events. The count has fluctuated significantly, decreasing in the 19th century due to colonization and increasing dramatically after World War II with decolonization and the breakup of the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia. While there haven't been many changes recently, there's potential for more in the coming years.
- The number of countries has fluctuated between the low 200s and the mid-50s over the last two centuries.
- Decolonization after World War II led to a significant increase in the number of countries.
- The breakup of the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia also resulted in a rise in the number of countries.