cover of episode A New Era for Democrats (with Astead Herndon)

A New Era for Democrats (with Astead Herndon)

2024/11/14
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Preet Bharara: 本期节目探讨了特朗普再次当选总统,以及民主党在此次选举中的失利。讨论内容包括:拜登领导下的民主党联盟的失败之处;2022年中期选举与2024年总统大选的结果对比;种族和性别因素如何影响了特朗普的胜选;哈里斯的执法背景对其竞选的影响;以及民主党未来的调整方向。此外,还讨论了特别检察官杰克·史密斯及其对特朗普的案件。 Preet Bharara还就听众提出的问题进行了回应,例如关于杰克·史密斯的上诉、特别检察官的任命以及拜登是否应该对杰克·史密斯进行先发制人的赦免等。 Astead Herndon: 民主党在2024年总统大选中失利,部分原因是未能充分倾听其基层选民的意见,以及对选民关心的问题(如通货膨胀和移民)的回应不足。他认为,中期选举的结果不能简单地推断到总统大选,因为特朗普参选本身就改变了选举格局。哈里斯的竞选失败是民主党结构性问题的结果,而不是她个人能力的体现。民主党需要重新审视其与选民之间的关系,并采取更务实的策略,例如更明确地表达其价值观和优先事项,而不是试图迎合所有人的需求。他还批评了民主党内部缺乏政治勇气和对不同意见的容忍度,以及对特朗普的轻蔑态度。他认为,民主党需要摆脱旧的政治策略,并从其基层选民的需求出发制定新的策略,同时需要更注重真诚和真实性。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the Democrats lose the 2024 election?

The Democrats lost due to the party's unpopularity, a rejection of the Biden administration, and voters prioritizing issues like inflation and immigration over other concerns. The party's strategy was also undercut by a lack of urgency and a failure to break explicitly from Biden's policies, leading to a perception of continuity with an unpopular administration.

How did assumptions about race and gender play into Trump's win?

Assumptions about race and gender impacted Trump's win by influencing how Democrats treated Kamala Harris, a Black woman, in her role as VP. The party's failure to recognize and address the specific challenges she faced due to her identity contributed to a perception of inauthenticity and a lack of substantive change, which voters sought.

What role did the Democratic Party's attitude and tone play in the election outcome?

The Democratic Party's condescending and dismissive attitude towards voters' concerns, particularly on issues like inflation and Biden's age, alienated potential supporters. This tone was perceived as arrogant and disconnected, undermining the party's message and contributing to its loss.

What should the Democratic Party learn from the 2024 election?

The Democratic Party should learn to prioritize authenticity, listen to their base, and avoid being dismissive of voters' concerns. They should also recognize the importance of breaking from past policies to signal a clear and substantive change, rather than relying on stylistic adjustments alone.

How did the Democratic Party's handling of Kamala Harris impact the election?

The Democratic Party's handling of Kamala Harris, including her perceived flip-flopping on key issues and a lack of a clear, authentic narrative, contributed to her inauthenticity in voters' eyes. This, combined with the party's failure to address her unique challenges as a Black woman, undermined her candidacy and the party's message.

What does the future hold for special counsel Jack Smith and his cases against Trump?

Jack Smith is preparing to wind down his cases against Trump before Trump takes office, potentially rendering the appeals moot. If the appeals are still pending when Trump takes office, it's likely they will be dismissed as prosecuting a sitting president is generally seen as unconstitutional.

Why did some voters support both AOC and Trump?

Some voters supported both AOC and Trump because they viewed both as outsiders and authentic voices against the establishment. This suggests that for these voters, authenticity and a break from traditional politics were more important than specific policy positions.

Chapters
Astead Herndon, national politics reporter for The New York Times and host of "The Run-Up" podcast, joins Preet to discuss the Democratic Party's failures in the 2024 election.

Shownotes Transcript

Astead Herndon is a New York Times national politics reporter and the host of the politics podcast “The Run-Up.” He joins Preet to make sense of Donald Trump’s reelection. They discuss: 

  • The failures of the Joe Biden Democratic coalition 

  • Outcomes of the 2022 midterm vs. 2024 presidential elections

  • How assumptions about race and gender played into Trump's win

  • Harris's law enforcement background 

  • The future realignment of the Democratic Party

 

Plus, what’s going to happen to special counsel Jack Smith and his pending cases against Trump?

After the election, our work making sense of legal news continues. For the month of November, visit cafe.com/november) to get 40% off your membership for the first year.

For show notes and a transcript of the episode head to: cafe.com/stay-tuned/trump-election-democrats-astead-herndon/

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