cover of episode National Guard On Standby For Election, Trump v Kamala w/Ben Shapiro & Jeremy Boreing

National Guard On Standby For Election, Trump v Kamala w/Ben Shapiro & Jeremy Boreing

2024/11/5
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Ben Shapiro
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Jeremy Boreing
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Tim Pool
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Tim Pool: 报道显示,大选前夕,华盛顿特区等地加强安保,国民警卫队待命,社会弥漫着紧张气氛。各种民调、预测模型和博彩市场数据都显示出异常,暴力事件的担忧日益加剧。同时,还有关于民主党利用非法移民改变选民结构的言论。 Ben Shapiro: 左翼人士发起的暴力事件屡见不鲜,他们甚至会事先准备应对措施。美国主要城市治安状况恶化,暴力犯罪事件频发。民主党执政下,犯罪率数据被操纵或延迟公布。虽然官方经济数据看似良好,但普通民众的生活水平并未得到改善。不同类型的犯罪率变化趋势不同,官方数据可能掩盖了某些犯罪类型的上升。警察为了避免被指控,对轻微犯罪的执法力度有所下降。 Jeremy Boreing: 近年来,右翼暴力事件的报道有所增加,但左翼暴力事件长期存在且被忽视。左翼暴力事件通常不会被大规模报道,但实际上也存在暴力行为。近年来,左翼暴力事件有所升级,包括袭击政府建筑和个人。 Phil Labonte: 对合法权威的抵制行为在历史上屡见不鲜,未来也可能出现。 Mary: 媒体对内战的炒作可能会影响公众情绪,需要保持理性,避免被情绪化言论所影响。 Ben Shapiro: 两党都认为对方是国家安全的威胁,这加剧了社会紧张局势。右翼的暴力事件通常由特定事件引发,而左翼的暴力事件则更多源于情绪化的表达。右翼暴力事件发生的可能性高于左翼,但也有例外情况。1月6日事件并非大规模的暴力事件,大部分参与者是去抗议选举结果和规则。左翼暴力事件具有预谋性和组织性,参与者会提前准备应对措施。 Jeremy Boreing: 两党都拒绝承认候选人可能因为自身原因而落败,这导致社会矛盾加剧。两党都将选举失利归咎于外部因素,而不是候选人自身的问题。 Tim Pool: 虽然社会矛盾日益加剧,但全面内战的可能性较小。在现代化战争条件下,全面内战的可能性较小。如果哈里斯当选并废除阻挠议事规则,可能会引发各州的抵制。各州可能会抵制联邦政府的政策,这可能会加剧社会矛盾。 Ben Shapiro: 如果特朗普以微弱优势获胜,可能会引发法律诉讼,甚至上诉至最高法院。2020年人口普查存在错误,这可能会影响选举结果的合法性。如果选举结果非常接近,佛罗里达州可能会提起诉讼,最高法院将面临裁决的难题。最高法院可能会将此案视为政治问题而不予受理。第五巡回上诉法院裁定,即使在选举日之前邮寄,选举日之后收到的选票也属非法。如果特朗普领先但最终落败,共和党可能会提起诉讼,最高法院将面临裁决的难题。民主党可能会声称选举结果被操纵。民主党在认证选举结果方面与共和党采取双重标准。美国各州的投票程序不统一,这造成了混乱。 Jeremy Boreing: 无论选举结果如何,都应该遵守既定的制度程序。美国民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。拜登政府的政策并未带来正常的生活秩序。特朗普政府时期,美国经济和国际关系相对稳定。民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。如果特朗普当选并恢复正常秩序,可能会带来社会稳定。民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。 Ben Shapiro: 如果特朗普当选并立即执行大规模驱逐非法移民政策,可能会引发社会动荡。短期内发生内战的可能性较小,但社会冲突可能持续存在。左翼暴力事件的可能性以及媒体对内战的炒作是值得关注的。如果选举结果争议上诉至最高法院,民主党可能会采取行动。如果特朗普当选并执行大规模驱逐非法移民政策,左翼可能会采取暴力行动。特朗普可能会动用军队驱逐非法移民,这可能会引发左翼的暴力反抗。未来可能发生小规模暴力事件,而非大规模内战。政治领导人谈论内战可能会加剧社会紧张局势。在某些情况下,可能会出现对合法权威的抵制。选举结果可能需要一段时间才能确定,这可能会加剧社会紧张局势。需要保持理性,避免被情绪化言论所影响。 Jeremy Boreing: “国家分裂”或“内战”的想法可能会破坏宪法。无论左右两派,对选举结果的质疑都可能导致社会动荡。无论选举结果如何,都应该遵守既定的制度程序。美国民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。拜登政府的政策并未带来正常的生活秩序。特朗普政府时期,美国经济和国际关系相对稳定。民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。如果特朗普当选并恢复正常秩序,可能会带来社会稳定。民众渴望恢复正常的生活秩序。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is the National Guard on standby in several states ahead of the election?

The National Guard is on standby due to concerns about potential violence and civil unrest surrounding the election, particularly in Democrat-heavy districts.

Why are businesses in Washington, D.C., boarding up in anticipation of the election?

Businesses are boarding up in anticipation of potential election-related violence, with fears that major protests could occur if Donald Trump and his supporters refuse to accept a loss.

What is the significance of Ann Seltzer's poll showing Kamala Harris leading in Iowa?

Ann Seltzer's poll showing Kamala Harris leading in Iowa is significant because it contradicts other polling data and suggests a potential upset, though some question Seltzer's methodology.

Why did Joe Rogan endorse Donald Trump for president?

Joe Rogan endorsed Donald Trump after being convinced by Elon Musk, who he considers the most important living human, and due to concerns about the potential negative actions of a Kamala Harris administration.

What are the potential consequences of a Kamala Harris presidency on social media censorship?

A Kamala Harris presidency could lead to increased social media censorship as platforms come under greater pressure to suppress 'disinformation' and 'misinformation' to avoid regulatory action.

How does Donald Trump's foreign policy differ from Kamala Harris's potential approach?

Donald Trump's foreign policy is characterized by a credible threat of force to deter aggression, leading to peace deals like the Abraham Accords. Kamala Harris, as a woman and perceived as weak, could invite more aggressive tests from hostile nations, potentially leading to overreactions and global instability.

What is the Refugee Resettlement Program and why is it controversial?

The Refugee Resettlement Program is a government initiative to relocate refugees to various states, which some argue is a strategy to change the electorate and favor Democrats, though the government denies this.

Why is the issue of abortion a significant factor in the 2024 election?

Abortion is a significant factor because it is a top issue for the left, with Kamala Harris being particularly passionate about it, and it represents a key difference in values between the left and right, influencing voter decisions.

What is the significance of the Abraham Accords in the Middle East?

The Abraham Accords are significant as they represent the first peace deals in the Middle East in 40 years, brokered by Donald Trump, and they have led to economic stability and international cooperation among participating countries.

Why is the open border policy of the U.S. controversial?

The open border policy is controversial because critics argue it is a strategy to import voters who will support Democrats, change the demographic landscape, and potentially rig elections in favor of the left.

Chapters
The discussion covers the potential for election violence, the role of the National Guard, and how businesses in D.C. are boarding up in anticipation. The conversation also touches on the unpredictability of polls and the fear of violence.
  • National Guard is on standby in several states due to anticipated violence.
  • Businesses in D.C. are boarding up in anticipation of potential unrest.
  • Polls and forecast models are seen as unreliable and confusing.

Shownotes Transcript

Timcast IRL LIVE at The Daily Wire!

Tim & The Timcast Crew are joined by Ben Shapiro & Jeremy Boreing to discuss DC boarding up businesses in anticipation of Election Day, betting markets placing disclaimers warning users ahead of Election Day, Ann Selzer's shock poll in Iowa, and Joe Rogan officially endorsing Donald J Trump for president.

Hosts: 

Tim @Timcast (everywhere)

Phil @PhilThatRemains (X)

Mary @PopCultureCrisis (YouTube)

Elaad @ElaadEliahu (X)

Seamus @FreedomToons (YouTube)

Guests:

Jeremy Boreing

Ben Shapiro

https://www.dailywire.com/

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