Starts of the Week + It’s Football Time! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/5
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It's football time! Hey! Hey! It's time to play the game! The answers are about to be here. It's time to play the game!

Spectacular. Oh, we ride, boys. Thank you, everybody. We ride at dawn. I hope everybody in their vehicles. Oh, they were all doing it, too. With their eyes closed. Well, not if you're driving. No, no, no. Eyes open, drivers. You can do it for a second. Talking to you behind the wheel of the Prius. It was electric. Open your eyes. It was electric. Boogie woogie. It is football time. Welcome into the show. Yes.

I have a different hat on today than I normally do. You're looking good. Where does one find a foam trophy hat? It goes out of the mainframe. Okay.

And it's spectacular. And my co-manager has a matching one that he'll be wearing today. Beautiful. We have our League of Record draft happening right after the show. Moments from now. Then we have Thursday Night Football. And we have tons of matchups. We've got Super Bowl predictions. This is a big, big show. We've got to start to the week. Yeah.

Oh my gosh, it's football time. And so let's jump right in. Head over to the website if you want the week one rankings and the start sit tool. That's fantasyfootballers.com, thefantasyfootballers.com.

And you guys want to start off just giving your Super Bowl predictions? Because I already tweeted mine. Yeah, I mean, this is the time of year where we call our shots. I had not seen your tweet. I know you had said earlier, you said like a month ago, you had the Lions winning the Super Bowl.

Yeah, I mean, I don't have it. It is the facts. It's what's going to happen. I'm just revealing the future. You're revealing that the Lions are going to win. Like one of those orbs that you look into and you see it, and the Lions will beat...

the Chiefs in this upcoming Super Bowl. And so I think we were just looking at the same orb, but from opposite sides. I think you read it backwards because I have the Chiefs over the Lions in the Super Bowl. So we got the same picks. Yes. So you go Chiefs. I'm going Lions. I'm having them do the – remember everybody wanted the Patriots to finish the perfect season? Not everybody, but –

A lot of people. History. And this would be the three in a row. Oh, yeah, for the Chiefs. And this will be ruined by Dan Campbell. Nice. So you guys are looking at an orb. You forgot that the anchor being for our multiverse is already gone. So you're looking at something that doesn't exist. It is the Baltimore Ravens beating...

The Green Bay Packers. The Baltimore Ravens over the Packers. I'm curious if the Deucers back there, you don't have to give me the whole Super Bowl, but just a winner of the Super Bowl. Kyle is in the house today. Oh, look at this guy. He's in town. And Kyle, do you have a Super Bowl winner you want to reveal? I'm going to say the 49ers finally get it done. Okay. All right. And then Papa John. I have to agree.

Oh, okay. Boring. And, uh, we'll see. We already know the answer here. Yeah. Who's the Superbowl winner there, Al? It's the Green Bay Packers, baby. Oh yeah. Yeah. Uh huh. How's them farts smelling back there? Hmm. Dropping bombs. Smelling like three consecutive franchise quarterbacks. I,

I saw a great tweet. It was really fun that basically charted the Super Bowl odds for teams versus compared to – it was Sam Hoppen who tweeted out, and it compared it and graphed it to their fans' optimism of their chances of winning the Super Bowl. And the two funniest ones to me were the Bears and the Cowboys because the Cowboys have decent-ish odds of winning the Super Bowl. Yeah.

Their fans are like, no, no, absolutely none. And the Bears have really no odds of winning the Super Bowl, and they're like right in line with the Chiefs and the Lions. It's like the Bears think like this is happening this year. Good for you, Bears fans. No, no, no, no, no. I love that they have the excitement, but that's – This is like if you have been –

without food for so long, and then you call a really mediocre meal the greatest one ever made. Let them have their hope. It's just ill-advised. The Bears, don't get me wrong, I think the Bears are going to be great. They have set the foundation for a long run of competing for the division. But the amount of people that have found it very...

to just go out and say the Bears are going to be the Super Bowl winners or they're going to be the NFC representatives with a rookie quarterback. I just find that to be really hard to believe, and it sets your quarterback up to where you're not allowed to have a pretty good okay year without being a failure. And I'm worried about that for Caleb Williams' sake. I think you go out there and the popularity of making the Bears the Super Bowl winner this year is just shocking to me.

Yeah, probably because you're getting a good payout if they win.

You think that's why? And it's just in the hope. I'm all for hope. I just want it to be somewhere in the realm of possibility. I love that they can have that excitement, but you don't want it to become delusion. I do know several Cowboys fans, and you could put the best players of every team on the Cowboys roster, and they will be like, it's going to be a failure of a year. Because it's been 25 years, however long it's been since they made the playoffs, and

Everything always sets up good for the Cowboys. They've made the playoffs more recent. I believe you said it's been 25 years since they've made the playoffs. Oh, correct. I think it's been a couple months. I meant won a playoff game. Winning a playoff game. Dallas is plus 1,900. Chicago plus 3,500 to win the Super Bowl. So there you go. There's our predictions. Lions over Chiefs. Chiefs over Lions. Ravens over Packers.

That would make Al Borland very sad. Oh, that's too bad. We have football on Sunday as well as tonight. Sunday live returns. Is that? I am not speaking out of turn there, right? No, you are not. We will be back. Our faces will be tilted off and we'll have a good time. So what time is Sunday live? 30 or an hour before kickoff. Okay. That is the proper amount of time to tilt. Yes.

Oh, yeah. No, the show doesn't run an hour. No. For those at home who've never attended the event that is Sunday Live, but it's an hour before kickoff. If you want to make sure you're aware of when Mike is going live on Sunday morning, head over to our YouTube channel, youtube.com slash the fantasy footballers. Subscribe, click the bell, and then you'll be alerted when Mike is going live. He normally handles the latest news.

That is going on that morning, including injuries. All of the most popular start-sit questions on the website. Am I missing anything? It'll take questions from the actual people that are in the live stream. So if you've got your specific start-sit, you might get that answered. And then all the actives are based. You go live right after all of the actives and inactives have been officially reported.

All right, let's jump into the news before we get into our starts of the week and the matchups. News and notes from around the league. Presented by USAA Insurance. Okay, Jamar Chase participated in Wednesday's practice. There were quotes from Burrow that really made it seem like

That he's back. That he's playing. I don't have it in front of you. Chase is, quote, ready to go. It's great to have him back. We need him to be at our best. That doesn't mean he's going to be there. I don't know. The ready to go is a vote of confidence. To me, that's just the kind of thing to get him to sit out another practice. Watch what you say, Joe. You're not wrong. For me, we're on practice watch for today. If Jamar practices today, he's going to play.

Maybe. No, that's my official stance. Okay. The Rams wide receiver, Puka Nakua, practiced in full. Okay. Justin Herbert off the injury report. He's going to be there for week one against the Raiders. Brock Bowers ready to go for week one against the Chargers. Would you play Bowers or Schultz?

Asking for a friend. I think I'd go with Schultz. Bowers has been nursing a foot injury the past week or so, I believe. But he will be playing. But again, it's a rookie tight end playing his first ever game. Jordan Addison. Kevin O'Connell said that he feels pretty good about him playing in week one. He had a high ankle sprain on August 14th.

I don't know where you guys are at with Addison right now. Temperature check. Yeah, I mean, I would not be starting Addison in week one coming off of the injury. I mean, Addison is a borderline player right now anyways. Like a borderline flex guy. Yeah, a borderline flex. He's a flex decision every week. I want to see him at full strength before I am automatically putting him into lineups. All right, that was today's News and Notes presented by USAA Insurance. Learn more at USAA.com slash insurance.

And a little bit of a pivot to our Thursday episode. We are moving. I like it. We're moving the starts of the week up to, we're going to reveal them ahead of the matchups for the first time. We don't have to be coy during the matchup. Correct. Instead of us being like, we'll talk more about him later. Hint, hint, wink, wink. We will just share our starts of the week right out of the gate. So let's get to it. Starts of the week.

All right, I'm going to hand the baton off to one of you guys to kick it off at the quarterback position. Let's go with Jason. I'll start. I'm going with Tua. Tua Tungavaiola is awesome. That's how I think I said it. You nailed it. Don't worry about it. Moving on. Jason has always said it properly.

But for some reason today, Kyle chose to write Tua's name in the show doc as Tua Tungo Vailolulua. Yeah, that was me that wrote it in there that way. I didn't want to, I mean, spelling it is a whole nother. It's the first step of saying it correctly, but go on. Look, this is a game I think that we are all very, very excited for. The Miami Dolphins against

against the Jacksonville Jaguars. I think both defenses are mid and both offenses have the ability and the talent to be very, very good. Last year, the third most passing yards ever for an all-time opener was to a

against the Chargers. And so this is a team, I think, at the beginning of the year, we've seen it two years in a row, where they start really hot. It's hard to prepare for this offense. You know, their quick strike offense, now you've got Waddle, you've got Hill. You know, they're saying they're healthy, they're ready to go. I

I really think, I mean, if you drafted Tua, maybe you drafted Tua and Daniels or whatever. Tua would be very hard to keep out of my lineup this week. Yeah, that should be. We'll start with this. It's week one. Start your studs. These are just a couple of, I have some lower tiered guys that maybe I'm trying to give you a confidence boost here. Should you be in a larger league or whatever?

Something went wrong during your draft. But my quarterback, it's Jared Goff. Top five, bold prediction. Apparently the Super Bowl winning team as well. You also made him the MVP of the National Football League in your bold prediction. I certainly did that. He's at home. He's in the Dome. He's playing against the Rams. The Dominator? Okay. Okay.

Just letting you know. No, I'm letting that sink in. I like it. The Dominator? I mean, this year and every year. Yes. So the game, it has the highest over-under of the week. The Lions have the highest implied team total right now. It's a revenge game yet again, and the Rams allowed the seventh most points to the quarterback position last year. So this is a...

Goff is someone you could have drafted later, and maybe he slides right into being a starter. I was the last one to get my names into our starts of the week, and Goff was at the tippy-top, obviously.

Kyler Murray. I'm going to go with Kyler on the road against Buffalo. High over under on the week. Full offseason. A year recovered from the ACL. Nothing but positive vibes. Second year in the offense. And over the last three years, Kyler was already a top 12 quarterback 61% of the time. That is the fifth highest rate among all quarterbacks when he plays and he's healthy.

He is a very, very good fantasy option for your football team. We're going to see Trey McBride out there again after the fantastic finish to 2023, the debut of Marvin Harrison. Michael Wilson begins the sophomore season. Greg Dortch is out there and James Conner, of course. The Buffalo defense is not what it used to be. They gave up a lot of, you know, a lot of

plays you didn't expect them to give up last year and they've lost personnel. So I think Kyler gets off to a really, really good start and Buffalo's fairly heavily favored at home. So I think Arizona with that defense, they're going to be in a position where the way they win this game is a shootout.

Yeah, I mean, their defense is trash, and I think we're all really excited for the Cardinals' offense because of how bad that defense is, which sets up my start of the week really well at running back. It's James Cook. I mean, we saw last year with the change to the offensive coordinator change to Brady, how good Cook was down the stretch, how much they were running the ball. Buffalo averaged 37 rushing plays under Brady. That's number one in the NFL. With an NFL high, 208

and eight of those in that span coming with the game tied or Buffalo leading. They will be leading in this game. James Cook should eat opponents last year. They ran the ball 521 times. Should eat opponents last year. Oh, yeah, eat his opponents. Well, he's a cook. I guess. Right? He's doing the cooking by the book. Cannibalism. But they ran the ball 521 times versus Arizona last year. That is the seventh highest number.

of any team over the last decade, six-point home favorites. It's amazing how punctuation is important even in sentences, like when you say them out loud. James the cannibal cook. All right. Eat him, James. I've got Javante Williams against the Seattle Seahawks. Samajay Pirine is gone. His boatload of targets and receptions are gone.

Yes, Jaleel McLaughlin is going to fill in here, but I think that Javante has a chance to come out and establish himself early as a true workhorse running back for Sean Payton. There are a handful of running backs like Javante, Zemir White, Zach Moss. Yes. In that lower tier drafted that one week.

could change your entire outlook. Like if you got the benefit of one week of numbers, they would probably get moved significantly in the draft tiers. Javante fits into that category. I think people need to hear this from you. So last year, second among all running backs in targets per route run because this is the Peyton offense.

I expect rookie Bo Nix to be checking it down a ton, and this is the matchup. Seattle last year, 32nd in first downs allowed, 28th in points per game, 30th in total yards per game, 31st in rushing yards allowed. This was a really, really bad defense. Maybe they have figured some things out, but it's still week one, and that's the data we have to go on. It's a good matchup.

All right, I'm going to go with one easy start, one hard start at the same position for the same team. It's the backfield of the Miami Dolphins against Jacksonville. Jason mentioned it, one of the highest over-unders of the week. I think if you drafted Devon Achan, you were, of course, going to start him. It should be very good. Jacksonville allowed the most running back receptions in the NFL last year, and Achan involved as a receiver, very positive. Right now they don't really have. You guys have brought up Malik Washington.

That is a rookie in week one. They don't have Beckham. They have Braxton Berrios, but you're talking about the top two targets outside and then probably the backfield. So A-chan is a must start, but I want to bring up Mostert because this was the running back two last year.

He's older, but the beginning of season's very good for the older legs, right? You are not tired yet. In this game, it should be very, very, very positive game script-wise for Raheem Mossert in this offense. You've heard the head coach of the Dolphins come out and talk about

You know, this is going to be a feel the hot hand, feel who's getting you yardage type of backfield. And I think both Miami running backs will be very, very good in week one, which means if you drafted most are late, it's going to be an opportunity for you to either slip him into your lineup or trade him maybe on the

after a good matchup. Yeah, I would certainly be trying to get him in the lineup. The matchup is really, really good. Mostert should have a great game. At wide receiver, my start of the week, it's the rookie, baby. It's Malik Nassimov.

neighbors. This is against Minnesota, who last year gave up the fifth most receiving yards, the sixth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. I saw a quote from Saquon talking about Brian Dayball and his play calling sheet about how on the back of it, he has certain plays designed for specific players. And Dayball took over the play calling duty so that when someone gets hot, they can really start focusing. I think this is he's going to get

The world is going to know after week one that Malik neighbors is a stud is awesome. He's going to have 25 plus percent of the targets just be peppered with them. And, and, you know, you drafted them where you drafted them to start them. I think he proves that he is worthy of that pick right off the bat.

I love to hear that, Jason. I bet you do. I'm going with Christian Watson on the road, a big road far away from home, but they're against the Philadelphia Eagles.

As of right now, he is healthy. Is the hamstring actually fixed? That's TBD, but right now he's going to be going. And the matchup, the Eagles were the team to attack last year. The matchup. Most fantasy points allowed. Most fantasy points to outside wide receivers. Gives you some upside. Where Christian Watson is going in the drafts right now. This is a player that maybe you're looking at. You're worried about needing some real upside in a matchup. I think Christian Watson is the guy for that. And...

But it's just my faith of Watson being the actual number one wide receiver for the Packers. All right. I've got an interesting name to break out as my start of the week at wide receiver. It's Stephon Diggs of the Houston Texans against the Colts. We're obviously nervous about the pass catchers. Nico seems like he's the one.

But Diggs, I've been rising on Diggs over the last several weeks. I've been rising on my fear. Yeah, I think it's very, very –

It's very possible that Diggs, obviously Jacob's situation has changed for him to make us more in his corner. I don't know if it will continue for Diggs each and every week, but I think this week in particular against the Colts, his debut as a Texan, the fact that he is going to be the guy roaming the middle of the field and that Stroud has really looked to his receivers there. 26% of his targets go to the middle of the field, number one in the NFL, and the Colts play a lot of cover three,

The middle of the field is open. And I think you just, with a player of the pedigree of Stefan Diggs, who has been named a team captain, it's very, very important for that locker room to get him going early. I think he's,

Establishing him in this offense is going to be a priority for the head coach and for C.J. Stroud to begin to open up the outside for Nico Collins and Tank Dell. Yeah, I think that is the plan, to get Diggs involved early. The problem is going to be every time that Tank Dell houses it, Diggs can't do any more work. So that's just letting you know the way it doesn't work is...

Your player is... Dell housing it. You could have been on the side with the actual number one wide receiver for the Texans. Just with me. Every time housing it. Yeah, I brought it up. I don't know if I brought it up on the show very much, but just...

Like, the likelihood that all three of those players are making you happy is very low, which means that there's a decent possibility that you're unhappy with some of them quite often. You will be. Whether it's Nico, whether it's Dell, whether it's Diggs, you're going to have disappointing outings. But it's important to remind players. We talk about this in the Truth Series. Wide receivers accept the best of the best, except like Amon Ra and CeeDee Lamp.

They're all inconsistent, so what you want to go for is the ones that can have big performances. All three of these guys can. At tight end, I'm going with a... I mean, I think this matchup is just perfect. I'm going with Evan Ingram, a guy who I haven't been the...

most gigantic supporter of during the draft season. You have been downright a hater. Really like your wide receiver and tight end picks today, Jason. This is good. Thank you. Are these my picks? We talk about the Dolphins. We want that offense. I want this game in the Jacksonville Jaguars.

They're going to have to try to keep up. He's going to be very, very involved in this game. Last year, the Dolphins gave up the fifth most fantasy points per game to the tight end position. The reason why is they run very heavy on cover six. 25% of their defensive looks were offensive.

Cover six. That's the highest rate in the NFL. For context, 9.7% is the average. So it's way above average. Over double. And cover six is generally weak against the flats. That's where Evan Ingram lives. That's why I kind of don't like Evan Ingram is because it's just, you know...

targets, but he's going... Here are drumsticks, no flats. Yes, exactly. And he's going to have... If you're in a PPR, man, he's just going to have so many targets and receptions this week. I love it. Mike... All right. Like I said, start... Mike is going to go last. Oh, am I? Okay. Because...

Oh, it's disgusting. I'm jumping in. It is disgusting. Dalton Kincaid against Arizona is my pick. While we wait to figure out which Buffalo wide receiver emerges. By the way, I was very close to taking a deep

selection of Khalil Shakir in week one. So just throwing that into the ether. For your wide receiver? More of like a DFS dart throw? Yes. But Kincaid, great bet to lead the team in targets. Arizona has no pass rush, but don't worry. They also have no secondary. So they have one player on defense that you can trust. Buda Baker in the middle of the field. Oh, he'll tackle Kincaid several times. Yes, after the catch. So Don Kincaid is my start of the week pick. And Arizona, they gave up the second most

Touchdowns to the tight end last year. All right. Start your studs at the position. By the way, did you notice this trophy? I did. On the top of my head? Yeah, go to Andy's camera. Let's look at this trophy. Perfect. Very nice. It really is brave there. As Mike said before the show, hold on, sit up.

He called and he said, hey, comrade, if you're looking on YouTube, oh, man, it looks like a very different hat on your camera. I love it. So start your studs. And maybe this is more of a DFS. Then start your backups. And maybe this is more of a DFS. Then start some of the guys on the way forward. Dude, this is all about the process. Start your grandma. It's week one. Let's have some fun, boys. Let's do it.

Titanium underpants. We're not even starting at steel. We've got to go right to titanium underpants for this. That helps. It's Zach Ertz. Yeah. I know. I know. Oh, I just threw up. I should have warned people if they were eating food to put it down. Do you know who led the tight end position in targets in week one last year?

Zach freaking Ertz. The matchup is there. People are saying, who does he play for right now? He plays for the Washington Commanders. He plays against the Bucs. They allowed the second most receiving yards and second most fantasy points to the tight end position last year. Zach Ertz?

Let's go. Cliff Kingsbury to Zacherts is Dennis Allen to Taysom Hill. This guy can't get enough of Zacherts. Somehow Zacherts was keeping Trey McBride off the field in part because of Cliff Kingsbury. And if the preseason usage is anything for the Washington Manders and Jane Daniels, it was get the ball out immediately and go.

Who do you think that ball is? If it's going out immediately, that thing's going out to Zach Ertz. This isn't an upside play. I think Zach Ertz is good for like five for 40 or something like that. Start of the week. Look. I would not be surprised if Zach Ertz has a good game. I would be surprised if anybody started him in any situation. But the thing is, you have to drop a player to pick Zach Ertz up because obviously he's not rostered right now. What?

What tight ends, what later tight ends are you willing to drop to? Like I'm in a league where I've got Taysom Hill. I got him very, very late. I would as well. Look, I'm talking bigger leagues, not just 12, like a 14, 32. Look, when Zacherts outscores Pat Fryermuth in week one, don't come crying to me. All right. All right. Well, you put on the titanium underpants. That's the name because that's usually my like last round tight end. So

Are you – Look, name value – If you had Friar Muth – This is already too much time on Ertz. No, but I'm genuinely curious because this is your start of the week. If you had Friar Muth, would you drop him for Ertz and play Ertz? If you don't say yes. I would play Zach Ertz over Pat Friar Muth, yes. We're taking a break. We're jumping into the forecast.

This episode is brought to you by Indeed. Every good athlete has something in common. They're always constantly looking for ways to improve. But it's not just athletes that should be doing this. It's always a good idea to try and do better. Like when it comes to hiring, I know how much of a struggle the hiring process can be for everyone. So make it better with Indeed. It's a hiring platform that receives millions of visitors a month.

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This episode is brought to you by Prime Video. Thursday night football is on and it's only on Prime Video. This Thursday, it's a Sean Payton homecoming as his Denver Broncos take on his former team, the New Orleans Saints.

Coverage begins at 7 p.m. Eastern with football's best party, TNF Tonight, presented by Verizon, live from New Orleans. Not a Prime member? Not a problem. Simply sign up for a 30-day free trial, and you can cancel at any time. Restrictions apply? See Amazon.com slash Amazon Prime for details. All right. Week one of the NFL season. Boys, it is time to jump in. ♪

It's time for Fantasy Forecast, presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. All right, Mike, I got to get back to the Zach Ertz thing. Oh, man. I know it's been too much time, but...

I am in a league. It's deep, very, very deep. I think I got my tight end in round 16 because I went Hawkinson a little earlier. I went with Luke Musgrave. Going into year two, he showed a lot of flashes as a rookie for the Packers last season. I know your answer is you would start Ertz over Musgrave.

The question is, would you drop Musgrave? Because I'm going to make that move right now and play Ertz in that league if you tell me to. Should I drop Musgrave to pick up Ertz and play him? Andy, you're a yes over there? I think that the drop is the hard part because I think over the course of the season,

Musgrave is probably the guy you're going to want to have. But just saying week one, I think that Ertz is going to... Ben Sinnott, for what it's worth, tied in three on the depth chart to start the year. It'll take him time. Zach Ertz is going to be the dirtiest, most disgusting accumulator of catches ever.

I would drop him if it was me. I need to hear from Mike that I should drop Musgrave for Zach Ertz, and I will make that transaction. All right, make it happen. All right. Make it happen. Sound effects. You're not even touching the keyboard. Are you actually doing it? Thank you. No, I am really doing it. Okay. Let's ride. Our first matchup we're going to talk about, we already previewed the Thursday night game. That happens tonight. We did that yesterday. So if you want to hear that preview, go back, click on yesterday's episode.

But we're starting out with Friday night in Brazil. Oh, bonjour. The Green Bay Packers take on the Philadelphia Eagles. Apparently, we chose teams that are green to try to match the flag in Brazil.

Which I think is very courteous of the NFL. Next level thinking. They don't have to get new gear down there? They do not. Just wear the flag. They can wear their own colors and root for both teams. The DraftKings Sportsbook line here, Eagles minus two, the over-under is 49 points in Brazil. We've got two playoff teams. We've got two teams with a lot of fantasy options. We've got one team with Mike Sartre of the week, Christian Watson.

Jordan Love, he got paid this offseason. His DK line right now is, you know,

250-plus passing yards is minus 145 for Jordan Love in this game. Secondary for the Eagles last year was ranked 30th in fantasy points allowed. Are we going to get what we want in Brazil? Yes. Jordan Love is a great play. You can look at his DK line right now. It's already 250-plus passing yards.

I think that he can make that. And on top of that, just real quick, Jordan Love plays the Eagles, the Colts, the Titans, the Minnesota Vikings, the Rams, the Arizona Cardinals. That is the opening schedule for Jordan Love. I think that he is going to start super hot.

Josh Jacobs is the last and only running back remaining for Green Bay. We're very excited about him in this one. Yeah, I mean... Even though it has been a tough defensive front to run against, we know he's going to get everything. Yeah, and you believe in LeFleur. You believe in the system to get him the ball where he needs it. You know, the Packers offense is one that I think we're all really, really excited to watch to kind of see if there's any clarity there.

which I don't believe there will be in this receiving core. I think similar to what you were talking about with the Texans, it's going to be you kind of got to get lucky. You've got to have the right week for whether it's Jaden Reed or Christian Watson. So that means you really should be starting them because if you want to get the big matchups, you have to start them through the duds as well. But then if that passing game is working, I think that the –

We've always seen value from Aaron Jones, and Josh Jacobs will catch the ball more than he did as a Raider. So, yeah, I mean, obviously you're starting Josh Jacobs, but I think it will work out this week. The only thing to really look out for, Romeo Dobbs popped up on the practice report limited with a hand injury. So if Dobbs was one of your later double flex options, you may have to pivot. What in the wide receiver room for Green Bay –

happens this week that would disappoint you? What, what,

What would disappoint you? Yeah, what would disappoint you from, you know, is it Jaden Reed underperforming, Watson underperforming? Is it Dobbs being the leader of the room in week one? Is it Wicks not getting any play? Yeah, it's the most disappointing thing, just to be contrarian, is Dontavian Wicks not getting the snaps that we hope because of his production that he had on a per-route basis last year, like real elite numbers. Not saying Wicks is an elite player, but... He is. Oh, okay. Yeah.

I guess Jason's willing to say it. But if he doesn't get on the field very much, that would be disappointing. On the other side, it's pretty easy from a fantasy perspective. Hurts, Saquon, A.J. Brown, and Devontae Smith. Every week.

Every week. And we'll get to see Jahan Dodson on the field, hopefully. Maybe. Yeah, he should be their wide receiver three, which I think and I hope that role is irrelevant. If Jahan Dodson is good this year, that will really not be good for, I think, fantasy managers. I want to see what the running back breakdown is Philadelphia-wise. Sure. How much do they use Barkley? How much are they trying to manage his workload? Yeah.

What does Philadelphia look like after a really tough end to the season where they lost, I think, five of six or six of seven games, got blown out in the playoffs? They have a whole new offense. They have a whole new defensive coordinator. This game is going to be very interesting from that perspective. Now, Goddard's going to be back out there. A lot had been made of his injury and the fact that whenever he's missing time, Devontae Smith eats.

His opponents, as Jason would say. Gobble him up. So Goddard, though, he should be playing. Are we ignoring Goddard for fantasy because we're tired of it? Yeah, I think I personally am. I mean, Dallas Goddard has not been good in a long time. He's just, you know, he had a big name, and we were hoping for him to break out behind Zach Ertz a long time ago and showed a lot of flashes. But you look at last season, he missed three games.

And then he had four decent fantasy games. The rest were all unusable, awful. Consistency score of a D. So even though the matchup here is fine, Dallas Goddard coming off of an injury, even though he's healthy, he's going to be playing, I'm not going to roll those dice. All right, let's turn the page to the Sunday games. Pittsburgh at Atlanta. The over-under here is just 42 points. Atlanta at 3.5 point home favorites.

And the revenge of Arthur Smith begins immediately. The fact that he can instantaneously use Cordero Patterson against the very team that he used him on last year is incredible. And so, you know, we haven't seen any of Atlanta in the preseason. The offense has been, you know, none of the starters played any offense.

snaps, right? I don't think anybody was out there at all. So Kirk Cousins, the recovery from the Achilles, switching teams, you know, Bijon, London, there's a lot of anticipation. Kyle Pitts came out this morning for what it's worth. It wasn't in the news, but he came out and mocked everybody making a big deal about his hamstring. He said he missed two

reps on the rack or something like that. And that meant that everyone freaked out. He said, see you Sunday. So I don't know who reported what and what mattered, but Pitts is going to be out there. And so I'm going to ask you the same question. What happens on Sunday at home in Atlanta that would disappoint you right out of the gate?

Oh, I mean, there's so many things. I mean, the Falcons are an offense that I'm very excited to see. I wish they had a good matchup for week one. The Steelers, they always find a way to have a good defense, even when they lose players and they're bad for a couple weeks, then they figure it out. I think this is a really tough matchup. So the thing that would

disappoint me the most would be Bijan splitting time more with Algier than we think. That shouldn't be what happens. I mean, Algier will be involved. And I think there's been a lot about Algier at the goal line. Right now, the DK line for an anytime touchdown for Bijan Robinson is minus 105.

I mean, that was like Christian McCaffrey last year. Remember when you were trying to get a touchdown and, you know, and make that bet. It was like minus 200. It's like crazy. The expectation is that you get a touchdown. That is awesome for fantasy. So that will be the most disappointing thing. If Algier comes in around the goal line, I will be so, so upset. All right. On the other side of the ball.

Mike Tomlin came out, talked about the running back rotation. He says, in terms of how we divide the labor up, that's going to be week to week. We have some capable guys. You throw Cordero Patterson into the mix as well. He's talking, of course, about Najee Harris and Jalen Warren. Both guys will be out there against Atlanta. Atlanta was pretty good against the run last year. But if Patterson is getting worked in, are you taking – is Najee a must-start situation? Is Warren a must-start situation, or do you want to feel it out?

I'd prefer to feel it out with Warren for sure. Limited on Wednesday, he's been dealing with a hamstring for some weeks now in training camp. So for Warren, I want to see it. Najee, I'm okay putting him out there just as a pure volume play. It doesn't feel like it's upside at all. The Steelers are, I would...

Kind of rather see what's going to happen here with the new quarterback, with the new offensive coordinator. Pickens is fine. He'll be in my lineup, but everybody else, if I can avoid it, I probably would. You mentioned Pat Fryermuth. If he was the guy you took at the end of your draft, you're obviously going to throw him out there, but this matchup, low over under, a lot of unknown on both sides, two brand-new quarterbacks.

and we don't know a lot of what that's going to look like, and the low over-under makes you less excited about the matchup. Yeah, and the way that the usage is, I have my concerns of how it's going to work out. Because of Smith? Yeah. Yeah, I agree. Arizona at Buffalo. The DK Sportsbook line here, Bills minus 6.5. The over-under is 48. We like that total. Mike's my guy. Kyler Murray was my start of the week.

and I'm a big fan of this game script and the way it should play out. There's a lot of question marks around Josh Allen figuring out who his weapons are going to be, how the offense is going to function. There's a really good chance they look pretty good in week one against Arizona's defense and maybe quell the fears and then maybe don't buy into everything that you see on the field in week one because Arizona's defense is the perfect setup for Allen. Allen, when he's not pressured,

Number one in fantasy points per game on non-pressured dropbacks. Second in fantasy points per dropback. And third in completion rate. He completes 75% of his passes when he's not being pressured. And the Cardinals cannot pressure. They can't bring pressure. They don't have the personnel to make it happen. And they're already dealing with defensive line injuries. So when you talk about getting a feel for the new offense in Buffalo, you could see

My biggest problem is trying to identify what guy I'd roll the dice on. I have this decision in a couple leagues. I could go Curtis Samuel, who's recovering from turf toe. That is not an injury that I really want to mess around with in week one. He could have two routes, and we've seen Curtis Samuel leave the field. For me, it's Khalil Shakir. I mentioned earlier that's kind of what I settled on. But Keon Coleman, how much run does he get with the starters on the outside? If you take the shot,

What's the name for you? For me, it's Shakir. Not the wide receiver. At the wide receiver position, I'll go Curtis Samuel. I get that he's coming back from the toe injury. That's if I have to pick. My pick is actually none of these. Despite the bad defense...

This could be a game where you are also up and you're running the ball a lot. That's why James Cook is your start of the week. Yeah, this could be a Ray Davis game. The rookie backup running back could end up with two touchdowns in this game because you look at what happened last year. And the nice thing is the Cardinals offense might be able to keep pace here and make it to where it is more of a shootout. But if the Cardinals offense stumbles at all, their defense is not good enough to stop the Bills offense, which means –

Last year, what you saw is despite how bad the defense was, wide receivers didn't really do well against the Cardinals. The running backs did because you just get to a game script point where you're not throwing the ball much.

So I love Dalton Kincaid. I love James Cook. Josh Allen will eat in the passing game. I wonder if he'll have any rushing yards. He'll just stand back there for like 12 seconds, find the guy he wants to throw it to. If it's a Ray Davis game, as you called it, that will send panic through the streets. I think more just of they're up and James Cook has gotten his work done. It would be a both and. Yeah, the concern is that Cook gets his work done and that doesn't involve a touchdown.

James Conner's over under right now on DK is 51 and a half rushing yards. It's one of my favorite of the week. James Conner is the workhorse back. When your offensive coordinator has the willingness to call you the bell cow, that doesn't happen a lot in the NFL level. You normally equivocate and say, well, we're going to feel it out. We're going to play different guys. We're going to see what happens. We've got a lot of guys in the backfield. No, this is like James Conner just...

It's his. Yes. It's all his. Yep. That has been what it has felt like all offseason over the summer coming out of Arizona. Trey Benson is a very interesting bench stash, insurance running back, but until James Conner misses time, I think he is – he feels like –

in your draft, which we talked about, the cheapest real bell cow for a good offense that is available in the draft. And Matt Milano is not part of, he's not going to be there for the Bills. Their defense won't be as good as it's been in the past. Yeah, and it started to struggle at times last year. Marvin Harrison makes his debut. If you drafted him, you're starting him. Same with Trey McBride. And I think I'm going to get this out of the way. Ha ha ha ha ha!

Andy's almost upset of the week. I wondered, before the show even began, I kind of wanted to say it, but I don't have...

I don't have the magic powers. If there's a feeling out period on the offensive side of the football for even a while for Buffalo with a high over under and the defense is both like on both sides of the ball. I don't like the defenses. Right. So and I like the quarterbacks. I know more of what Arizona is going to bring to the table, but both teams are figuring it out. So I think it'll be a very competitive game. I think it'll be close. And I think they'll almost upset the. I think Arizona will miss a game winning field goal on the last play of the game.

All right, we'll take a break and we'll jump into another matchup. This episode is brought to you by Rocket Money. Managing finances can feel complicated and time-consuming, but it doesn't have to be. Rocket Money simplifies everything, making it so easy to see exactly what's happening with your finances, track your spending, and give you full control of all of it right from your phone. Rocket Money is a personal finance app that helps find and cancel your unwanted subscriptions.

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I thought the drop did a pretty good job. It's like you're going to almost upset the team, but you're not going to go all the way. I get credit when they do upset and if they get close and cover the line. Right. That's how I've worked that out. And you get credit, despite wearing that stupid hat right now, you get credit from...

Genuinely, your almost upsets historically have been they hit. Do you have some data, Kyle? Do you have that pulled up? I can pull it up, but you are scary good at it. I hate it. It's all very good at it. I find, though, the ones that like this one, you know, it's hard. I know the listeners are going, is this just a Homer things? It's just a Cardinals thing.

I will say that most of the time when you drop this on one that shocks me and I think like when my jaw drops when you hit that. Oh, that's always a good sign. That's always a good sign because I think you hit on 100% of those. Yeah, last year was very good. Yeah, can we get Jason jaw drop into the database? Yeah, do you have some numbers, Kyle? Last year you covered the spread.

80%. That's unbelievable. That is unbelievable. And then it was an outright win on 67%. That's insane. You were flying too close to the sun. Yeah, you are. There's no chance of that happening again. Or will it? All right, Tennessee at Chicago. Very excited about this game. Yeah, this is a fun game. It's going to be a lot of fun. Both teams, they're kind of like new look franchises right now. You've got Caleb Williams, Will Levis.

A lot of players that are relevant for fantasy that have been drafted. You've got the trifecta of wideouts in Chicago. And this game, you know, right now, the DraftKings Sportsbook line bears minus 3.5. They're the home team. The over-under is 44.5. Two young quarterbacks, two new offenses. A lot of excitement, but also a lot of nerves as to, whoa, you know, like can these guys get it done?

I would expect Chicago to win with that defense at home against Tennessee. They should, but very excited to see the Titans as they have been just drained of all testosterone as they made the move away from the last regime of what we do is we grind out games with Derrick Henry.

And this regime said, we're going to have running backs, but we're going to bring in Tony Pollard to go with Tajay Spears. Two not gigantic bruising running backs. Guys who are excellent at catching the ball. Seeing what the turnaround for this team is to be more of a pass team, it'll be fun to watch. It feels like both running backs, Jason, have been tossed to kind of this middle ground, maybe the dead zone, maybe players that...

Nobody has actively been targeting. They settle on Pollard and Swift. Are we in for a surprise here, or is there the potential that we get in here? I mean, Tony Pollard's rushing yard mark on DK is only 43.5. Yeah, I mean, that's not great because I genuinely believe that Pollard and Tajay will be an almost 50-50 split. I mean, someone has to start, so it'll be 50-50.

three, 47. But those guys are going to both be on the field in the exact same situations, be used the exact same as running backs. And that might work for the Tennessee Titans, but that does not work well for fantasy football. Also, the Bears have a pretty solid defense. I'm not sure that I love either of the running backs on the Tennessee side. Swift, on the other hand, he projects like he could get a

a lion's share of the workload there with Herbert and Roshon Johnson just basically being backups who spell him from time to time. So if I had to pick between Pollard and Swift, it would be a pretty easy Swift for me. Is that in your situation too, Mike? DeAndre Swift is just...

It's the devil of a time. I'm sorry. I should never ask you to choose him in this situation. Please don't do that. I'm on the Tony Pollard side for what it's worth. That's not a utmost confidence, but I think he's the better player. I believe he will. I mentioned it last year. He will do what Swift did in Philly. I think we started the year with Gainwell as a starter and Swift as the backup.

This is a co-starter situation. I think Pollard will outplay Spears to the degree that it becomes a 1A, 1B, or a 1 and 2 over time. On the Bears' side, there's something to pay attention to. Keenan Allen did pop up with a heel injury. I'm not going to make any comments about... He's got a lot more to carry around. I'll do it. I'll do it. I mean, that's...

That's a lot of weight on those heels. I was going to be a little more eloquent about, like, gravitation. Are your heels feeling better in the last few months? They are, yeah. Lighten your load. Kenan's really absorbed some of that from me. And, you know, the interesting thing here. Because you look pretty good this year, Mr. Kenan.

Mr. Dead ringer. He's got his league of record Jersey on. He's wearing a hat. Of course. Um, yes, my dead ringer hat. Thank you, Kyle. Uh, I couldn't find it. Kyle found it. Um, anyways, the, the one interesting thing here, uh, Snead came over from the chiefs and he was an absolute legend.

monstrosity for opposing wide receiver ones last season like he became he got to the point where you'd you'd be staring down a superstar and be like can I play him against the Chiefs now that took a whole defensive scheme and all of that we don't know that he can do that here but he is here now so it's like if DJ Moore is locked down that's who I would assume if you were going to shadow you'd kind of put Snead on DJ Moore and Keenan has a heel problem it's like does Odun say

Is he a sneaky okay play week one? You know, I've got neighbors as my start of the week. I like Roma Dunzay. Okay. I like him. I've been down. I like him in this game. I've been down on Roma Dunzay. I still don't like him on a season-long basis for where he was drafted. But if you drafted him, I think you could throw him in your lineup. Let's put it to the test. Dunzay or Brian Thomas, who was named a starter, by the way. Right now, just so you know, the starting wide receivers in Jacksonville

On the outside, it's Gabe Davis on one side and Brian Thomas on the other. Christian Kirk is only playing in three wide right now. So that is very significant to me. Odunze or Brian Thomas in week one? Brian Thomas has the great Miami game. I'm going to take Brian Thomas. I'd go Brian Thomas. Rashid Shahid against Carolina or Rome Odunze? Odunze.

Rome. Dobbs against Philly. Odunze. I need more injury information. I would probably play Odunze for the sake of the big game. Yeah. Which Mike will take as disrespect to Romeo Dobbs. Yeah, I will. He's a touchdown machine. Calvin Ridley? Yeah, play him. I'm kind of excited about Calvin Ridley. And we should have DeAndre Hopkins back to help take some pressure. Hopkins or Romo Odunze?

Ooh. I'd play Roma Dunze. I think I would as well. Coming off of the injury, yeah, I lean that way. It's more fun, too. Less fun. New England is playing football this week against Cincinnati. Guys, this one's a bummer. The DraftKings Sportsbook line, Bengals minus eight. Why do we got to start the Bengals against the Pats? The over-under is 41, which means...

The implied point total for Cincinnati is 24 and a half. Okay, that's totally good. That's fine. New England is 16 and a half. That's not. I don't know how New England moves the football on a regular basis in this game with Jacoby Brissett throwing the football to Mad Libs. I mean, I. Yes. You know. Jacoby Beef Brisket. If you punted your DST to the end of the draft, as you should, but maybe you were at the end of the line and you don't.

you don't like what your current matchup looks like the bangles week one is gonna work it's tough it's tough it's gonna work i don't think it will work from a dst standpoint simply that offensive line is horse dude they are horse doo-doo and i will i will certainly stream against them a lot but

I'm not sure that the Bengals defense isn't horse doo-doo too. So it's, it's, uh, that doesn't, that doesn't bother me. A huge lead against the team. They're at home. Super favorites. The other team has a bad offensive line. They're going to have to start chucking the ball in the second half. Okay. That's turnover city. Have you been, I've been convinced. I think they will commit to remand rate early and often in this game. He is the most reliable offensive piece that they have.

So I think you're going to see a lot of Ramondre. What can he do with the touches? I mean, that's the question. His DK line right now is 49 and a half yardage wise. Can he catch the football in this game? That's what you're hoping for. For Ramondre, like storylines that you're looking for for the Pats. Number one, I mean, Jalen Polk, watch. Is he a starter? Like, yeah.

Is he earning targets right away? I think that's interesting to watch. And then this team that they're going to be in negative game scripts, which is part of why I haven't loved Ramondre in the draft process. But it's when they are down and they're trying to come back,

I know Ramondre got the money, but is it him or is it Antonio Gibson who they brought in pretty early in the process and his specialty is catching the ball? That will be the number one thing to watch in this game is who is the pass catching back and how involved is Gibson. I am on the side where I believe it will be Ramondre. I think he will catch a ton of passes and be absolutely fine in PPR leagues. On the other side of the football, Joe Burrow, will he have Jamar Chase? We are still waiting to find out. T. Higgins will have.

And, you know, you got to remember that New England has lost their defensive coordinator. So people expect them to be the same kind of defense they've been in the past.

Yeah, I think they'll be pretty good. TBD. TBD with the departure of Bill Belichick. That's one area that he had kept it on lockdown. Zach Moss, Chase Brown, seeing that distribution of work will be very, very interesting. Very important. I mean, this is one of the biggest debates of draft season is which guy is it? Or is it neither guy? What about neither guy? Is it neither or neither? It's either one. It's either or either? Yeah.

Neither or neither can be either or either. Are you kidding me right now? Oh, my God. Swoosh! Yes, it can be both of those things. I'm on the Zach Moss side. Are you starting them in this game? I would start. Because of game script. I would start Zach Moss. Because New England was a very good defense against the run last year. Very good. Yeah, but Zach Moss, it depends on how you draft it. If you went...

you know more of a hero or zero running back type of an approach at the beginning Zach Moss was one of the targets that I've been trying to get on those teams so he's probably playing at least as an RB2 I think if I yeah I mean obviously if you went zero RB you're going to be having to start Zach Moss but where he was drafted I think most of the time he is going to be in flex consideration I would love to hold off in week one it's a it's a tough it's a tough defense against running backs

and then you have the wrinkle of what if it's a 50-50 time split or if he's the backup. Most or most. Easy most. A little harder. Moss or Gus Edwards. I think I would go the Gus boss. Yeah, I'd probably lean that way. One more matchup for today, and we'll wrap it up. We'll do the rest of them tomorrow. Houston at Indianapolis. Fun divisional game to start the season. The DraftKings Sportsbook line Texans.

minus three, the over-under is 48.5. Colts at home. We'll see what Anthony Richardson has in store. We'll see if the beefed-up Houston Texans personnel on defense can bring a better performance than they did at times last year. Mike, you had kind of a guttural reaction right there. Is it about Richardson and what

What he's going to be capable of in this game? It's going to be, I mean, Anthony Richardson is one of the biggest fantasy storylines of the season. Really polarizing of people being all the way in or just watching him play in the preseason and going, nope, I'm all the way out. It's not going to work. It's just how healthy is he and how much does he run?

You can be a bad quarterback and put up big numbers. Yes, you can. That is in the realm of possibility. C.J. Stroud against Indianapolis last year, 384-2, 264-2. Beautiful. Yeah, play that Nico Collins guy. I mean, you should genuinely play all three. I know. But it was Nico last year against the Colts, week two, 24.1 points. He was the widest year before. And then in week 18...

He was the wide receiver one against the Colts. At least last year he had their number. We're going to see Joe Mixon with a new uniform and a big workload. So that'll be a very interesting one. The Colts last year were one of the worst teams in the league against the run. So I think Mixon is obviously a must start. He'll be cruising for what, 3.9 in this matchup?

Don't care. That's fine. 3.9 because of a couple of goal line carries. But I hate it, guys. I hate it. Mix is going to be very, very good. Yes. Start mixing. And probably the whole year. Yeah, I mean, really, I don't love the personnel on the Colts' defensive side of the ball. So there's no Texan that I am unwilling to start, even going down to Dalton Schultz. Obviously, all of these guys are not going to work out. But there will be points here to have –

And I think you can start all of them and hope that it goes to your guy. On the other side, though, this will be very interesting. The Texans made a lot of investment on the defensive side last year. They had a terrible defense last year, and they went out and they said, hey, I think we've got a Super Bowl window. They went out, spent big money. And so I'm interested to see if the Texans' defense is good. Are you willing to play –

Adonai Mitchell no I don't think so I Josh Downs still he did not practice on Wednesday with the high ankle sprain it seems like he is unlikely to play I think the only wide receiver for the Colts I'm starting is Pittman okay yeah it will be you know that's a dart throw situation Taylor is in Mitchell and Pierce I think we'll both get play both dart throws Jonathan Taylor

He good. You're obviously playing him, and we'll see what the – we haven't got to see him and Richardson together very much. What is your actual Michael Pittman confidence? His DK line right now is five and a half receptions, and I am – I think I would – I got the heebie-jeebies. I would go – I mean, I think he ends up with five, so I would go under. Yeah, I'm probably on that side too.

So is he even a wide receiver two for you this week? I think he's a wide receiver two. I'm outside the city. Oh, no. He's a wide receiver two. He's a wide receiver two. Oh, man. Please, Richardson. Don't forget you have the start to sit tool on the website, thefantasyfootballers.com. We're going to cover all the rest of the matchups tomorrow. That was Fantasy Forecast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app and use the code BALLERS. That's the code BALLERS. You can bet $500 and get $250. Bet $500.

Bet five and get two-fifths. That's a way better deal. You said $500. Yeah, you don't have to bet. No, I said $500. No, you said $500. Al. You won 100%. I didn't catch it. Bet $5. There you go. Get $250. The crown is yours. Now, that's a good deal. That's a great deal. More matchups on tomorrow's episode. Check out the community and the new ultimate dashboard at jointhefoot.com. And good luck tonight, Foot Clan. It is football time. Goodbye. Goodbye.

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