cover of episode Trump's Triumph and the Legacy Media’s Blind Spots | 11.23.24

Trump's Triumph and the Legacy Media’s Blind Spots | 11.23.24

2024/11/23
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Gerard Baker
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John Bickley: 本期节目讨论了传统媒体未能从特朗普的压倒性胜利中吸取教训,以及由此导致的媒体公信力下降和内部调整。 Gerard Baker: 媒体在2016年特朗普胜选后进行了一些反思,但并未真正理解特朗普的支持者,并在2024年再次犯同样的错误。媒体试图了解特朗普支持者,但方法如同19世纪的人类学家探索非洲一样,缺乏深入了解。媒体未能理解驱动众多美国人投票支持特朗普的原因,这是一个严重的失败。媒体主要集中在东西海岸,缺乏对美国其他地区的了解,导致对特朗普支持者的误解。媒体从业人员大多来自狭窄的社会群体,缺乏对特朗普支持者的了解和接触。特朗普的支持者范围比以往更广,包括一些媒体从业人员所居住地区的人群。特朗普的支持者群体扩大到少数族裔,特别是居住在大城市中的少数族裔工薪阶层,他们对城市治理和民主党感到不满。媒体对特朗普的负面描述,以及对支持者的妖魔化,达到了前所未有的程度。媒体将特朗普描绘成法西斯主义者,并以此来攻击其支持者,但这种说法与实际投票结果相矛盾。媒体对特朗普的种族主义指控与实际投票结果不符,他们未能理解特朗普的支持者。 Gerard Baker: 媒体长期存在偏见,但近年来这种偏见加剧,原因在于从业人员的背景变化和新闻业商业模式的改变。过去,记者更注重事实报道,而现在,许多记者拥有高等教育背景,更倾向于表达观点。互联网的兴起改变了新闻业的商业模式,导致媒体更依赖订阅用户,从而更关注读者的政治观点。订阅模式使得媒体更加关注读者的政治观点,加剧了党派偏见。左倾媒体不太可能转向温和的中间立场,因为其员工的政治立场过于坚定。市场竞争可能会迫使左倾媒体更加平衡,因为新的媒体平台满足了人们对更客观新闻的需求。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the legacy media fail to predict Trump's landslide win in 2024?

The media underestimated Trump's support due to their narrow geographic and demographic focus, primarily on the coasts, and their lack of understanding or interest in the broader American electorate.

What significant changes did the media observe in Trump's support base between 2016 and 2024?

Trump's support expanded to include significant gains among Hispanic, Black, and Jewish voters in urban areas like New York City and Chicago, indicating a broader appeal than previously understood.

Why did the media label Trump as a fascist, and what does this reveal about their understanding of his support base?

The media used the 'fascist' label to vilify Trump, but this mischaracterization reveals their failure to grasp that his support includes diverse ethnic groups who see him as standing up for their interests.

How has the shift from advertising to subscription-based revenue affected media bias?

The shift to subscription models has made media outlets more attuned to the political views of their paying readers, incentivizing them to cater to specific ideological audiences, often leaning left.

What role does the market play in potentially moderating the political bias of legacy media outlets?

Market forces may drive legacy media to become more balanced as new digital platforms offer alternative, less biased news sources, compelling traditional outlets to appeal to a broader audience for business reasons.

Chapters
Gerard Baker discusses the media's persistent failure to understand the Trump phenomenon and the broader electorate, despite significant electoral outcomes.
  • Media predicted a 90% chance of Hillary Clinton winning in 2016.
  • Trump won again in 2024 with more votes and a higher share.
  • Media's vilification of Trump continued without understanding his support base.

Shownotes Transcript

Gerard Baker dissects the media's disconnect from the American electorate. Get the facts first on Morning WIre.

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