cover of episode Class, Gender & the 2024 Presidential Divide | 10.26.24

Class, Gender & the 2024 Presidential Divide | 10.26.24

2024/10/26
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Batia Ungar Sargon
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专注于电动车和能源领域的播客主持人和内容创作者。
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John Bickley和Georgia Howe:就2024年美国总统大选,特朗普和哈里斯在经济、移民和社会议题上的立场进行探讨,并邀请Batia Ungar Sargon分析其背后的阶级和性别因素。 Batia Ungar Sargon:认为媒体对特朗普的负面报道是老调重弹,民主党最初试图将哈里斯塑造成一个全新的形象,以摆脱"特朗普是希特勒"的论调,但失败后又回到了这一策略。她认为将特朗普与希特勒进行比较是对历史的亵渎,也降低了希特勒罪行的严重性。她分析了性别差距实际上反映的是阶级差距,哈里斯吸引的是受过高等教育的女性,而特朗普吸引的是男性工人阶级。她详细比较了特朗普和哈里斯在经济政策、移民政策和能源政策上的差异,认为特朗普的政策更倾向于工人阶级,而哈里斯的政策则存在一些缺陷。她还指出,哈里斯在堕胎问题上的立场,虽然与美国民众的普遍观点有所不同,但却成功地动员了精英阶层女性的选票。最后,她总结说,特朗普在许多重要议题上的立场都更符合美国民众的普遍观点,这才是对民主党构成真正威胁的原因。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Kamala Harris's campaign focusing on abortion?

To mobilize the elite, over-credentialed, educated female vote.

Why is Trump's appearance at McDonald's significant?

He showed dignity in a working-class job, resonating with working-class voters.

Why is Trump's economic policy appealing to working-class voters?

It focuses on protecting labor and reshoring manufacturing, addressing economic insecurity.

Why is the media's portrayal of Trump as Hitler seen as problematic?

It cheapens the impact of historical atrocities and engenders violence against Trump.

Why is there a gender gap in the 2024 presidential race?

Harris appeals to college-educated women, while Trump appeals to working-class men.

Why is Trump's energy policy focused on drilling?

Energy independence is crucial for national sovereignty and controlling inflation.

Why is Harris's economic agenda criticized?

It focuses on redistribution rather than creating better-paying jobs for the working class.

Why is immigration a contentious issue in the 2024 race?

It impacts wage growth and job competition for working-class Americans.

Chapters
The episode introduces the contrasting policies and rhetoric of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election.
  • Trump focuses on economy and immigration.
  • Harris shifts back to the Democrat message of Trump being a danger to democracy.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

In the final run-up to Election Day, the two presidential candidates are sharpening their pitch to voters. Donald Trump remains focused on the economy and immigration, while Kamala Harris seems to be shifting back to the Democrat message of Trump being a danger to democracy. But whose vision for the country resonates with more Americans?

In this episode, we speak with Batia Ungar Sargon, Deputy Opinion Editor at Newsweek and author of Second Class, about the stark contrast between the rhetoric and policies of Trump and Harris. I'm Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley with Georgia Howe. It's October 26th, and this is a Saturday edition of Morning Wire. ♪♪

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Joining us to discuss the current state of the presidential race, including the gender and class divide, is Batia Ungar Sargon, author of Second Class, How the Elites Betrayed America's Working Men and Women. Batia, great to have you back on. Thank you so much for having me. It's always such a pleasure and an honor to be with you. Well, we certainly love hearing that and having you on. So first, we've seen an article this week from The Atlantic that the legacy media and the Democrats have really given a lot of weight to.

It levels some ugly claims against Trump about supposedly praising Hitler's generals and disparaging a slain soldier. It's based on unnamed sources. Everyone on the record has said it's total nonsense. What are we to make of this story and how the legacy media is approaching it just days out from the election? It's amazing, right? We're right back where we started. Trump is Hitler, right? It's just they just can't keep away from it. And it's

When they first trotted Kamala Harris out in what was nothing short of a coup against President Biden, replacing him with her on the ticket at the top of the ticket, I think they thought that she was going to emerge as some sort of, you know, phoenix from the ashes of the Democratic Party, as if we had never met Kamala Harris before, as if we didn't know who she was. They really acted like this was a person no one had ever met. And I think they believed that she was going to invigorate

the base so powerfully that they could retire the Trump is Hitler, Trump is a fascist, Trump is a threat to democracy. She really did not make those arguments for the first two months of her candidacy. And very much to her credit, she also retired the sort of

Hillary Clinton, vote for me, I'm a woman, vote for me, I'm a woman of color. In Kamala Harris's case, I would be the first black woman president. You really did not hear her talk that way, although her surrogates made a really big deal about the quote unquote historic nature of her candidacy. Now that they are seeing that actually she is just the Kamala Harris that we all know from her forays into politics over the last two decades,

They've fallen back on what they think is their winning argument, which is Trump is Hitler, which they had sort of promised to do away with, I think, in the wake of the first assassination attempt on his life. So, you know, it really does smack of desperation. The fact that, you know, these are all unnamed sources, the fact that the allegations are exactly the same. The Atlantic had an article a couple of weeks ago arguing, you know, Trump is Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin, right? Yeah.

You know, they're trying to up the ante. And and of course, it's it's so depressing because what it does is it cheapens the impact that Hitler actually had in this world. It cheapens what these people were, Mussolini and Stalin, by comparing them to somebody who is at the end of the day a patriot and somebody who just wants the best for his country. And I think that you're really seeing both on the left and on the right an inability to comprehend why Hitler was that bad. I mean, that's really what we've gotten to. It's not just

that it engenders attempts on Donald Trump's life, but it also really cheapens the history that, you know, a lot of people have really suffered through. And meanwhile, we have Trump on the campaign trail serving fries to Americans and looking like a very relatable, not threatening at all, man who's having a great time on the campaign trail. A lot of times you can see who's winning by who's having the most fun, right?

Look, we keep hearing about the gender gap. You mentioned the identity question. Women for Harris, men for Trump. And a lot of polling does show this to be true. What do you see as the motivations behind that?

It's so interesting because what we're really seeing here is the class divide mapping onto the gender divide. Harris is appealing to college educated women and Donald Trump is appealing to working class men. And of course, this has a lot to do with the aesthetics of the campaign. You mentioned Trump at McDonald's. And what I found so amazing about that moment was he

He showed up in his suit and did not take off his tie. He put the McDonald's apron over his the costume of Donald Trump. And I think what that did was it really showed that he did not think that this was a degraded job. He did not think that you had to sort of dress down.

and be humiliated to take this job. He acted the part of a McDonald's worker with a lot of dignity. And I think that that is why people really responded to that image of him. He looked proud to be doing it. He looked happy to be doing it. And I really cannot think of another politician who could have pulled that off in that way. He stands with workers and you see the way in which his policy

His economic policy is designed for the working class. No tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on Social Security. He promised that he would reduce the corporate taxes of any company that reshores manufacturing from 21% to 15%. This is going to encourage radical reshoring of manufacturing. He said he's going to appoint a czar to entice American businesses back to the United States.

These are all jobs that are, of course, women work in factories. Of course, women do service industry jobs. Of course, women work jobs that have overtime. But they are jobs that require physical brawn and physicality, the kinds of jobs that used to deliver the American dream before the Democrats became the party of the college educated. And meanwhile, you look at the Harris campaign and she really

is targeting that female college educated sector of the population, people who have less economic insecurity, less economic struggle, and who are very, very invested in the question of abortion. Honestly, to an extent that does not represent where the vast majority of Americans are at, the middle and the working class who have a much more moderate view on abortion, this idea that abortion should be legal in all

Hmm.

Now, we've seen millions of dollars from the Harris campaign put into abortion-focused advertising. Do you think that's having a positive effect for her campaign?

I think that elites care more about cultural issues and the working class cares more about economic issues at this point. And the elites have more money and more time and more commitment as a result of that privilege to showing up and voting. So it was a very smart thing for her to do, even

though Donald Trump has promised that he would veto a national abortion ban, the Democrats are a much more natural party for people who believe in late term abortions because Democratic politicians are unwilling to say what the upper limit on the right to an abortion should be. They refuse to give that. So even though it is Republicans whose view at this point, namely Donald Trump, reflects more where the American people are at.

because of this question of the bans that she has been able to, I think successfully, tar Republicans with, she's really been able to mobilize that elite movement

over-credentialed, educated female vote. Yeah. Now you mentioned the economic policies of Trump. Harris has presented some of her own policy proposals. Can you walk us through the differences there? Absolutely. She came out about a month in with an economic agenda that she's been calling an opportunity economy.

And she had three main promises there. The first was a massive investment in small businesses by way of tax cuts. And people have sort of poked holes in that and said, well, a tax cut for a new business is not really going to help those people because they're not going to have a lot of revenue those first few years, which means that a tax cut is not going to help them very much.

The second plank was she promised a $25,000 tax cut for first-time homeowners, as well as cutting a lot of regulation around housing. And I think that that was actually a very smart plan from the cutting deregulation point of view, because of course we need much more housing. The reason that people are finding it so hard to buy a home is just a sheer lack of supply. The problem

with giving a $25,000 tax cut to first-time homeowners is that it will increase demand. So there's a real problem there. And the experts on housing have said this is actually only going to make the problem worse because when you're doing that, you're actually making more people of...

to buy homes, which means that this dwindling stock is going to become even more expensive. And the third idea that she had was just cribbed right from JD Vance. And it was a $6,000 tax cut for children for the first year of a child's life. Of course, JD has said $5,000 for, I believe it is unlimited for parents. So it was very interesting to me because from one point of view, this is not a great plan.

It does reflect the Democrats' overall view of how to help people who are struggling, which is instead of creating an economy that pays better to working class people, you sort of raise taxes on the rich and then redistribute that, which, of course, working class people don't want that. They don't want somebody else's tax cuts. They don't want welfare. They want much more of what Trump is offering, which is a protectionist

protectionist economy, an economy that looks at the economy as a whole and says, how can we protect the labor of workers? And Trump, of course, does that through tariffs, through getting rid of free trade, and then, of course, through limiting the supply of labor through immigration control. Yeah. Speaking of immigration, I wanted to ask you about that next.

There's a stark difference between these two candidates when it comes to immigration. This issue converges with the economy instantly. And we've seen this playing out in all kinds of very specific ways with the Haitian migrants in some of these small towns. How is Harris trying to counter the immigration message? Is she doing an effective job at all?

I think she's sort of thrown up her hands, honestly. She was sort of caught between a rock and a hard place because she was second in command in the Biden administration, which has been an absolute disaster for immigration, opening the border and effectively allowing in 10 million undocumented immigrants to compete with Americans at the bottom.

end of the wage spectrum. And what's actually worse is when they finally, finally, after three and a half years, decided to take executive action, what they did was they created legal pathways to parole a whole bunch of people. So you don't have the mess at the border anymore. They have actually paroled hundreds and hundreds of thousands of people into the country to compete

legally with American workers. And of course, that is why the gains that working class Americans had been seeing throughout the Trump presidency and then in the post-pandemic labor crunch were halted immediately. And there's just been precipitous wage losses now, wage theft

to be honest, from working class people because of all of these paroled people. So the Haitians in Springfield are part of that group. They were paroled into the country by the Biden administration, I believe, because he thought that halting working class wage growth was the only way to tamp inflation down and to get that stigma off of his administration. And so when Trump shows up and says, you know, they're eating the cats, they're eating the dogs,

They're eating the pets of the people in Springfield. They're probably not eating their cats and their dogs. They're not doing anything to the pets. What they're doing is they're taking the jobs. And to me personally, that's much more outrageous than eating the pets. Yeah, a lot of folks would agree. Now, final question. Energy was a focus for Trump in 2016 when he won. It's a focus again now. Can you lay out the contrast between these two candidates when it comes to energy policies?

It's interesting. That's Trump's answer when people ask him, how are you going to get inflation down? And he says, I think accurately, energy is one of the biggest drivers of inflation because, of course, there's energy at stake in everything to do with groceries, everything to do with food, whether it's growing it and transporting it, feeding cattle, you know, transport everything. Energy, the cost of energy is going to be a huge driver in the cost of everything else.

Trump wants to drill baby drill. He wants to use every method available. He wants us to be energy independent, which of course is a huge, huge contributor to the sovereignty of our nation. Kamala Harris was at one time a very big Green New Deal extremist, but like immigration, she sort of tried very hard

Not to talk about this topic because her party, even the voters in her party are no longer there. Everybody wants to get back to this sort of very moderate center. So she has not been able to express where she stands on this issue like many other issues, because in order to win now, she has to pivot far,

far away from commitments she's made in the past. And I think, of course, again, at the end of the day, this is why they call Trump Hitler day in and day out, because it is Trump who has the moderate middle position on every issue. You look at where Trump is at, whether it's abortion, whether it's unions, whether it's courting black voters, whether it's energy, whether it's immigration, even mass deportations.

Every one of these positions where Trump has eked himself out, that is where 50, 60, 70 percent of Americans are at. And that is the real threat to the Democratic Party. Batia, great to have you on again. Thank you so much. God bless you. And thank you for everything you do. That was Batia Ungar Sargon, author of Second Class. And this has been a Saturday edition of Morning Wire.