cover of episode George Will: Democracy Rests on Persuasion

George Will: Democracy Rests on Persuasion

2024/11/26
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George Will: 威尔认为,美国总统拥有国会赋予的巨大权力,这导致了总统权力的膨胀,需要重新思考总统权力本身。他希望共和党和民主党都能重新思考总统权力,恢复权力制衡的平衡。他认为国会是政府的首要机构,总统的权力在国内事务中主要在于执行法律,总统应服从国会。如果国会不对总统权力进行制衡,总统可能会通过全面加征关税来破坏贸易体系和供应链,从而引发经济衰退。他还批评了新内阁成员的构成,认为其中一些人缺乏经验或能力。威尔认为,美国领导的国际秩序尚未彻底崩溃,但特朗普的行动可能会促使欧洲加强自身国防。他认为美国面临着来自伊朗、朝鲜、中国和俄罗斯的重大挑战,这可能预示着第三次世界大战的早期阶段。他还指出,美国公众对国际承诺的关注度不高,这可能会影响美国的国际伙伴关系。威尔认为,美国公众在对外政策方面普遍希望尽可能少地参与国际事务,但政治领导层可以通过强调经济繁荣来争取美国公众对国际承诺的支持。他认为贸易保护主义实际上会提高国内物价,损害美国经济繁荣。威尔认为,美国政治存在一种平衡,民主党和共和党都有学习和调整的能力。特朗普的出现改变了美国的政治氛围,但未来可能出现一位能够恢复政治平衡的候选人。他认为大多数美国人并没有被政治激怒,他们渴望平静的公共生活。他还认为贸易保护主义行不通,民主党和共和党都将从错误中吸取教训,美国人通过试错学习,最终会从错误中吸取教训。在尼克松和特朗普时期,他都敢于直言不讳地批评总统,因为他认为这是政治作家的职责。他认为政治作家的最重要品质是对公众舆论的漠视。他还认为小政府时代已经结束,美国人已经接受了大政府的模式,保守主义的目标是使大政府与强大的地方社区、联邦制和州一级实验相协调。如果要消除政府中最愚蠢的规定,他建议废除琼斯法案、美国制造条款,简化税法,并推广学校选择权。他还认为教师工会是美国社会中最邪恶的力量之一,推广学校选择权是改善美国教育的最佳途径。他认为政治并非幸福的主要因素,幸福的关键在于家庭、朋友、工作和积极乐观的心态。虽然大多数美国人不关注时事评论,但少数人的观点仍然可以推动历史发展。民主依赖于说服,而说服意味着改变意见,鼓励人们积极参与政治。他引用麦迪逊的观点,认为一个广泛的共和国能够通过各种派别的竞争来防止暴政。 Tim Miller: 米勒就如何处理与政治观点不同的家庭成员,特别是那些支持特朗普的人,提出了建议。他认为,在特朗普时代,人们对政治的看法更加道德化,导致人们对持有不同政治观点的人的评价更加负面。人们对政治观点不同的亲友的负面评价,源于将政治观点与道德品质混为一谈。面对与自己政治观点不同的亲友,应该尝试理解他们的观点,而不是简单地否定他们的人格。应该尝试理解和包容与自己政治观点不同的亲友,而不是与他们断绝关系。建议在感恩节等家庭聚会上,尝试避免谈论政治,或者选择其他话题。如果不得不谈论政治,可以进行短暂的争论,但要避免说一些会让自己后悔的话。即使无法避免政治分歧,也要尽量保持与亲友之间的联系,避免让自己后悔。如果家庭聚会气氛紧张,建议少喝酒。他还建议人们在关注政治的同时,也要注意保持心理健康,避免过度消费政治信息。建议人们通过阅读报纸、新闻网站或订阅新闻简报等方式获取政治信息,避免过度依赖社交媒体。建议人们选择自己喜欢的新闻节目观看,避免观看那些充满争吵和煽动性内容的节目。建议人们关注正在发生的事情,而不是那些可能发生的事情或威胁。建议人们选择可靠的新闻来源,避免那些会激怒自己的信息。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did George Will choose to be a columnist rather than continue in politics?

He wanted the freedom to express his thoughts without restraint, which he couldn't achieve as a political staffer.

What does George Will believe is the most wicked force in American life?

The teachers' unions, which he thinks should be challenged by promoting universal school choice.

How does George Will view the era of small government in the U.S.?

He believes it ended in 1965 with the passage of Medicare and Medicaid, marking the beginning of a large ethic of common provision.

What does George Will recommend as a solution to the current political divide?

He suggests a 'deep breath candidate' who can calm the nation and remind people that they are not enemies but friends.

What does George Will think about the American public's view on international commitments?

He believes most Americans prefer as little foreign policy involvement as possible, viewing themselves as safe due to geographical isolation.

What does George Will consider the foundation of his optimism about the U.S. political system?

He believes in the capacity of the American people and political parties to learn from their mistakes and adjust their approaches.

What does George Will think about protectionism in the U.S.?

He views protectionism as morally wrong and economically harmful, likening it to a nation blockading its own ports.

What advice does George Will give to those struggling with political differences within their families?

He recommends finding other topics to discuss, reminiscing, and focusing on non-political aspects of life to maintain family harmony.

What does George Will recommend for developing a healthy media diet?

He suggests supplementing daily news consumption with newspapers, avoiding passive consumption of news, and focusing on things that are actually happening rather than potential threats.

What does George Will think about the role of Congress in the current political landscape?

He believes Congress has failed by conferring excessive powers on the presidency, and he hopes for a revival of Congress to restore the Madisonian equilibrium.

Chapters
George Will discusses the potential economic and political consequences of the new president-elect's proposed tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, emphasizing the risks of protectionism and the need for a rethinking of executive powers.
  • Tariffs could lead to a recession and disrupt international trade.
  • Congress needs to reclaim its constitutional powers to regulate trade.
  • The presidency has accumulated excessive powers due to congressional inaction.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
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Hello and welcome to the Bullard Podcast. I'm your host, Tim Miller. Stick around at the end. We've got a mailbag for dealing with Thanksgiving family members coming your way. But first, I'm so thrilled to have George Will, columnist for the Washington Post.

The Post is honoring his writing and his legacy this week on the 50th anniversary of his tenure at the paper with a series of tributes, including by our own Mona Charon. And there was also a delightful quiz with George Will quotes that I'd recommend that you take. I did just so-so on it. His books include American Happiness and Discontents and the Conservative Sensibility. Welcome back to the Bulwark Podcast. George Will, how are you doing? I'm doing very well. How about you?

I'm okay. I'm okay. My puckish impulse required that I wear this denim shirt, so I apologize for that in advance, but I just couldn't help myself this morning. I've written, I don't know, somewhere between 5,000 and 6,000 columns, and that's the one people remember most as my harangue against the ubiquity of denim. Yeah, that's maybe not the one I remember most, but it does stick with you. It does stick with you for sure. I want to spend a bunch of time on your columns and your career, but alas,

We are tormented to live in interesting times, and I need to start with a little bit of news, if that's okay, to get your response to. We have the latest decree from our new president-elect on his social media feed. I'm going to read it to you. On January 20th, as one of my many first executive orders...

So-so on the grammar there. I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% tariff on all products coming into the United States and its ridiculous open borders. The tariff will remain in effect until such time as drugs, in particular fentanyl, and all illegal aliens stop this invasion of our country. Both Mexico and Canada have the absolute right and power to easily solve this long-simmering problem. We hereby demand...

that they use this power, and until such time that they do, it's time for them to pay a very big price. I'm wondering what your thoughts are on that. Well, first thought is, so much for those who said his threats were just negotiating ploys. Second, the country is going to be rudely awakened to the fact that Congress has, through its lassitude,

conferred upon presidents enormous powers that are actually vested by the Constitution and Congress, that Congress has the power to regulate trade with foreign nations. Third, he hasn't even begun to get to the bottom of the bag of tricks the modern president can have because of excessive delegations of power from Congress. That is, I don't know, I think we're operating as a nation under something like 41 emergencies right now,

Congress allows presidents to declare emergencies, at which point they acquire an enormous discretion. My hope for the next four years is that they revive Congress, Republicans and Democrats alike. It's been a bipartisan failure, this encrusting so many barnacles, the presidency with all kinds of discretions and powers they should not have. So my hope is that we're going to have a rethinking of the presidency itself.

And the Democrats particularly who, being progressives, and progressives celebrate executive power, untrammeled executive power and the administrative state and all that, that Republicans and Democrats are going to rethink how we might reestablish the Madisonian equilibrium between the branches. Is that a wish or an expectation? I guess, because it feels more like a wish to me, but I would love to be convinced otherwise.

It is a wish, but what Madison said was that the branches should be rivalrous. He didn't anticipate the coming of the party system and the coming of a presidential-centric politics under which the president's party in Congress is considered mere appendages to salute sharply and tug their forelocks and implement his agenda. My 19th century Whiggish belief was

builds upon Madison's belief in the primacy of the legislature. The Congress is the first branch of government. It's Article I for a reason in the Constitution. The president's powers are basically, at least in domestic affairs, to take care that the laws are faithfully executed. That makes him secondary and responsive to the first branch of government, the Congress. So you ask, is this the wish being fathered to the thought? Yes.

But it's a wish that I think Mr. Trump, by the curious laws of political physics, is apt to provoke every action having an equal and opposite reaction. Yeah, I hope that's right. And I do appreciate your sunny disposition. It provides a nice balance to the more negative thoughts that usually pervade here at the Bulwark.

So I do just kind of want to get underneath the potential negatives. I mean, you implied there in the first answer that this is just the beginning of the potential bag of tricks. If Congress were not to act on the Madisonian impulse and were to decide not to check him, what do you worry about most from the executive branch in a second Trump term? Yeah.

a recession that will cause the grass to grow in the streets of American cities. That is, if he were to implement across the board tariffs, 10, 20 percent, the numbers he's thrown out during the campaign were simply whims and reflexes on his part. But were he to do this, he would wreck the trading system. He would wreck the supply chains.

He would cause enormous disruptions and be a, I was going to say, be a one-term president. He's going to be that anyway. But he could, on day one, as you just read his first threat or promise or fulfillment of his mandate, call it what you will, on day one, he's going to begin to revive the Democratic Party.

Yeah, I should add that in addition to that long post bleat that he sent about Mexico and Canada, he also said that he plans to do an additional 10% tariff on China across the board. So that is our new conservative governance. We're gonna get to that in a second. I'm curious, you're

All thoughts also just on the cabinet from a big picture standpoint. You wrote about, you know, the need to for the Senate to reject Gates, Hegseth, Gabbard and Kennedy in a recent column. I liked that you called Gates a arrested development adolescence with the swagger of a sequined guitarist in a low rent casino. It was nice that you got that one off before he left, exited stage right.

But I'm wondering, since you've written that column, there's been a spate of other picks. I'm wondering your big picture thoughts on what the cabinet choices tell us. Well, it's a sharply divided cabinet. There are the four there who simply should not be confirmed or not qualified by experience or thought. The new Treasury Secretary, from what little I read about him, is a skeptic about protectionism, which should make for some interesting dialogues between

the White House and the Treasury building right next door. The new Energy Secretary, I've forgotten his name, but he gets very good reviews. Agriculture Secretary, if we're going to have one, she seems perfectly adequate. I tend to think that Lincoln's biggest mistake was not sticking with General McClellan too long, but in creating the Agriculture Department.

There it is. It's like the education department. What can you do about it? Was Lincoln's biggest mistake not keeping his first vice president? I believe that was maybe his biggest mistake, sticking with Hannibal Hamlin. That was a big one. We'll take Andrew Johnson, the agriculture department, and McClellan. You can pick the big three of his mistakes. I'm from central Illinois, Lincoln country, and we don't admit to a fourth mistake.

There, there. Chris Wright is the Energy Secretary. I was blanking on his name, too. I worry about the foreign policy picks the most. And I'd throw in there the NATO ambassador, Matt Whitaker, who is an absurd selection for NATO ambassador. I'm confident cannot name the NATO member countries or couldn't, at least before his nomination. And I just I'm interested in your view on no matter how this kind of shakes out.

Do you think that the American-led international order is now permanently broken, I guess would be the simplest way to put it? Not yet. Not yet. And it could be, again, let's go back to the physics of politics. It could be that Mr. Trump is going to, through sheer terror, galvanize a more responsible defense commitment to Europe's self-defense policy.

We shall see. Getting all those nations above the 2% of GDP spent on defense. I share entirely your belief that everything else pales next to the axis we're now confronting, Iran, North Korea, China, and Russia. I believe it is not too much to say that historians looking back on this may might say that we're already in the early stages of a third world war.

A lot of Americans, I think, tend to think the Second World War started at Pearl Harbor. Some others with a more spacious view of history say, no, it was when the Germans invaded Poland on the 1st of September 1939. Others would say, well, it was the great rehearsal in the Spanish Civil War when Germany and Italy intervened there. Or when Italy invaded Abyssinia, as Ethiopia then was in 1935. Actually,

It seems to me a number of historians say that coming together, the clustering of crises that became World War II began with the Japanese invasion of Manchuria in 1931. We can imagine historians several generations from now saying that a serious world conflagration began five or six years ago, began perhaps they would say with the Russia's annexation of Crimea.

What has been made clear, I guess, at this point is that, you know, maybe the American-led world order can maintain, maybe our alliances can maintain. But if you're taking the view from Europe and watching us, looking back at us, you cannot look at us and think of us as a reliable partner, I guess, at this point anymore. And it's very clear that, like, the American public does not care that much about its international commitments, at least a plurality of them.

And so does that not change their actions? And I guess you kind of implied it also is potentially influencing the actions of the Axis powers. I just wonder what you think about that. I don't want to say that isolationism is the default position of the American people. That would be too strong. But against the sweep of American history, if you go back to 1938 and 1939, when Franklin Roosevelt carefully, not to say guilefully, maneuvered the United States military,

into engagement in the Second World War. The American people, what they generally want from foreign policy is as little of it as possible. And you can understand this. It goes way back to the broad oceans and the two placid neighbors that we have in the general sense that predates intercontinental flight and ICBMs and all the rest, that we are somehow safe. The period between

1940-41 and the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 does look like an aberrant period. However, I think it is possible for political leadership to convince the American people that what they do care about constantly, which is prosperity, full employment, rapid economic growth, rapid enough to throw off the revenues to pay the bills for the

on free trade. We're going to have to have an enormous argument now about protectionism, which is, as I and others have said, equivalent to a nation blockading its own ports. The president-elect really seems to believe that if he imposes tariffs on Chinese goods, China pays the tariffs, which is, of course, preposterous. The point of protectionism is to raise domestic prices. That is what they're for.

And the American people, it seems to me, if they get a good jolt of protectionism, might swing back to understanding that the great burst of American prosperity at the end of the Depression right through 2024 had to do with, was absolutely dependent upon international trade.

Yeah, I mean, I believe that to be true. I hope it's true that it gives the jolt people need. My friend Stephen Richer, who acted very admirably as a recorder in Maricopa County amidst all the Kerry Lake and Donald Trump nonsense, he sent a tweet saying,

A couple months ago that stuck with me. I went back and found it said, we've gone from the party of George Will to the party of Cat Turd. I want to upgrade that in kind of a sad way, which is when the party of Cat Turd was successful.

And I do wonder how you process that, right? That this party that you were so central to kind of left you, at least ideologically, principally in what you're just discussing with free trade, but across a number of issues, and dumbed itself down, and that worked. That's got to be a little bit of a depressing realization. Yeah.

I would destroy my reputation if I became a little ray of sunshine, but let me still look on the bright side, which I'm not accustomed to doing. Okay. There is an equipoise in our politics that is going to take hold here. The Democratic Party is capable of learning. It has done in the past. The Republican Party is capable of learning. It has done in the past.

And the good news about the bad news about Mr. Trump is this. The bad news is he showed how one feral candidate can change the tone of the country. I think it is possible that a non-feral candidate, someone with the opposite of his approach to public rhetoric, could change it back. I do think that the country is ripe for, and four years from now will really be ripe for,

what I would call a deep breath candidate. Someone who comes to the country and says, "Deep breath, everybody, relax. Been through worse before." Who says, as Lincoln did at the end of his first inaugural, "We are not enemies. We are friends. We must not be enemies." See, I just don't believe the American people are angry. There are 334 million of us. At any point, 324 million are not watching cable television, not listening to talk radio. They're getting on with life.

They're exhausted and embarrassed by our public life. And someone needs to come along who says, as Bill Lee, the governor of Tennessee said, I'm a conservative. I'm just not angry about it. And I think you're going to find that there's a market out there that our political parties are exquisitely sensitive market mechanisms, and they adjust quickly. The Democratic Party, they're going to learn their vocabulary is going to get cleaned up.

As I say, we've been through worse before. I've just been reading a whole bunch of books about the 1850s. And I recommend that as an anecdote to exaggerating the dangers that we're currently in. I don't know that I'm exaggerating the dangers, but I think I pretty clearly see the sins, the flaws, the darkness that allowed us to get here.

I wonder how you think about that. I'm doing my best to just bring you down from the sunniness into the night here a little bit. And you may be right. Maybe a sunny optimist can take us out of this in 2028. But

It still says something about, I think, us as a country and the conservative movement in particular that we got here. And so I wonder if you look back on that 50 years and think, is there anything you look back on and think, ugh, I should have seen that this was heading to this place? I became a columnist in January 1973, actually, with National Review and beginning to submit columns to the Post.

January 1973 was when Judge Sirica in Washington began to impose draconian sentences on the Watergate burglars in an attempt, a successful attempt, to crack the cover-up. So I dipped my toe into punditry just as the Watergate waves were rising. So maybe I'm inured to the fact that there is much ruin in a nation and we have our fair share of it. But again...

Protectionism doesn't work. It's morally wrong to interfere with free transactions of free people, but leave that aside. It doesn't work. The Democrats have found out what doesn't work. Hectoring people, a kind of hectoring progressivism doesn't work. They will adjust. And we learn as a nation, as individuals, by our mistakes, our blunders.

And the Democrats have made a whopping one, and we're still making one on the Republican side. But we are creatures who learn. That's the foundation, such as it is, of my sunniness. We learn by trial and hard error, but we learn.

One thing I learned about you reading the anniversary columns in the Post that I didn't know, I'm from Colorado, was that you were working for a Colorado senator, actually, around the time that you just referenced, I guess a little before 73, who ends up losing in part, maybe because Nixon's coattails weren't as long as they could have been. And you...

And up in this early period around Watergate and around impeachment, being a young conservative columnist who is harshly critical of Nixon from the right. So there is sort of a bookend there.

element to this, that you are now critical of Trump. Talk to me just about that moment and what gave you the chutzpah to do that? We see now that's a lot harder than it seems. Well, it's funny because with National Review, National Review, which I was writing for at the time, beginning in January 1973, was then, even more than now, I think, supported in part by contributions.

And some of the contributors didn't really warm to Nixon until he got into trouble. And National Review would do, as I recall, it's been a long time, they would do an analysis of the mail they got. And they had a category called subscription cancellations in George Will. They were the same thing.

because I was annoying people. Bill, to his enormous credit, with this financially shaky enterprise, this magazine that he'd started in 1955, Bill never once tried to restrain what I was writing about Mr. Nixon. I'm deeply indebted to him for that, and it's a sign of what a large person Bill was. I appreciate your compliments of him, but this is maybe one moment to give some self-referencing

Congratulations. We'll allow it for just the next one minute. What do you think it was about George Will that gave you the spine to twice speak out in ways that went against the grain of the party? We've seen many of your peers from, just speaking to the Trump era, the Nixon era is before my time, but many of your peers, the columnists,

The commentators who agree with you, who are classically liberal, who believe in enlightenment values, and who succumbed to Trump. I don't need to name them all. We all know them. What do you think it was that made you differentiate from that?

Well, let's go backward to start with Trump. Trump was a, not a close call. Amen. As I wrote at the time with every sulfuric belch from his campaign in 2015, it was obvious that this man was unsuited for what he was trying to be. And at that point I was, I was an established columnist and I didn't need to worry very much. Maybe back in 1973, I was too naive to understand I was taking a risk, but, uh,

What's the point of doing this if you don't say what you think? If I wanted to be in politics, I know how to do that. I could have stayed in politics. I was a Senate staff member, and I had a chance to continue being a political staffer, but I chose to be a writer. And what's the point of writing politics?

If you're not free to express yourself, I just, I wouldn't do it otherwise. Just makes no sense. Maybe you hit the sweet spot, right? You're young and brash for Nixon and seasoned for Trump. Though I guess that does, there are plenty of seasoned people who went along with Trump. So I guess that would let some people off the hook. Most important virtue you can have as a political writer is a certain indifference to public opinion.

Jefferson wrote in the Declaration about a decent respect for the opinion of mankind, implying that there's such a thing as an indecent respect for public opinion. Just try to avoid that. Bill Clinton had famously said in a State of the Union while trying to recover his political fortunes that the era of big government is over. It's hard not to sit here right now and think that the era of small government is over.

Do you disagree with that? The era of small government was over in 1965 with the passage of Medicare and Medicaid. The two most popular programs in America are Medicare and Social Security, and they, combined with Medicaid, are what, 70% of the budget. We have made a decision as a people that we're going to have a large ethic of common provision. There's going to be a safety net of increasing thickness.

That argument's over. I've backed enough lost causes that I know a lost cause when I see one. And the idea that we're going to undo the welfare state is preposterous. Still, there are intelligent ways of having a big government. There are unintelligent ways.

We're still living with the echo of the Great Society of the 1960s in, it seems to me, family disintegration and chaotic neighborhoods. The conservative mission now is to make a government that does embody an ethic of common provision compatible with

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Support our show and check them out at H-E-X-C-L-A-D dot com forward slash the bulwark. Bon appetit. Let's eat with Hexclad's revolutionary cookware. Happy cooking and happy Thanksgiving. I was reading one of your your Auntie Jones Act polemics of about the about the ports and the overregulation of the ports. This is an this is maybe an area where smart, small government conservatism can still exist. And as I was reading the article, I

I'm happy to hear you riff about that if you want, but it also made me wonder if Trump called you up tomorrow and said, okay, or Elon Musk called you and said, I want to get rid of the stupidest things that we have in our government, a couple of really particularly pernicious rules or regulations. I was wondering what you would have picked. Well, the Jones Act, which I won't bore your listeners with, which restricts to certain kinds of ships goods that can be carried between American ports,

That would start the Buy American provisions would be part of them. A radical simplification of the tax code. I mean, if these guys were really radical, they could try and say, let's get rid of the income tax and have a consumption tax. That would be worth considering. I mean, that would be regressive. No, that doesn't give you any down?

You can fiddle it in lots of ways to make it less regressive, but I don't particularly mind regressive taxes. The title of a very famous book about 60 years ago was called The Uneasy Case for Progressive Taxation. I don't know. This is where I might have gone fully native now that Trump might have caused a reaction in me. But here in Louisiana, we've increased the sales tax and cut the income tax by another percent. And I'm thinking...

I don't know. I'd rather not have that extra couple grand and not make people pay an extra few cents on their Coke or on their orange juice or whatever. Am I a hopeless progressive now? No, no, no. The conservative catechism is more elastic than that. So you won't be excommunicated for that. But the one thing that the Trump administration might do, which is take on the most

wicked, I use such language sparingly, the most wicked force in American life are the teachers' unions. And the best thing that can be done, and enormous progress has been made in the last five, ten years, to spread school choice everywhere. Arizona, under Governor Doug Ducey, good Republican, has really shown the way, but other states are not far behind. Universal school choice is the best thing we could do for the United States. I do think...

Sir, that the Trump administration is going to challenge that notion. And I think that they will find some more wicked forces within us, though I don't necessarily disagree with the policy recommendation. I'm concerned about the wickedness ahead. I want to end with a little happier note, though. You wrote this in 1991 about happiness. Politics is not crucial to the principal ingredients of happiness. Cheerful children, feisty friends, fulfilling work, and a strong bullpen were the things that you said were important.

crucial. Many of our listeners, I think, are struggling on this point right now, not letting politics impact their happiness. So I'm just wondering if you'd like to revise and extend those remarks with 33 more years of wisdom. Not really. Look, a good citizen worries about the country, and there's much to worry about here.

But as I say, protectionism and all the rest is going to refute itself. The Democrats have learned just the high risk of crossing certain red lines and the sensibility of the American people. Donald Trump worries about trade deficits. I have a chronic and incurable trade deficit with my barber. Every four weeks, I buy a haircut from her and she never buys anything from me. Somehow it works out.

And we need to have a little more faith in the somehow it works out of life. Because this extraordinarily complicated world we live in, this enormously complicated economy that requires of us what Hayek called epistemic humility. Don't mess with this complicated thing or you're going to get burned. So the great hope for conservatism is, and it's a huge one, conservatism is true.

It works. And the alternatives don't work. So we're going to come out of this. But for the minority of people who read op-ed pieces, what I do, it's a self-selected minority. Most Americans don't read newspapers. Most newspaper readers don't read the op-ed pages. But what that means is we have a small, self-selected, intellectually upscale audience that

of people whose mental pantry shelves are stocked with opinions and facts and worries and judgments. It's a minority conversation, but worth having because minorities, salient minorities, propel history. So for those who you were talking about who are depressed and whose life is under a gray cloud because of what American electorate has done, get out and go to work.

Democracy rests on persuasion, but persuasion means on opinion, it's shiftable sand. Go out and shift the sand. Change the opinions.

I've been doing it for 50 years, and I'd be hard put to name a column of my 5,000 or 6,000 that's made a big difference. But what you do is you keep hoping that the cumulative effect somehow matters. You said your great hero is Madison. You've referenced him several times in our half hour. Might you leave us with a favorite Madison quote or passage? We see throughout our system the process of supplying by opposite and rival interests the defect of better motives.

Federalist 51. And in Federalist 10, he brought off a revolution in democratic theory. Before Madison, the few people who had believed that democracy was possible anywhere at any time believed that it had to be in a small face-to-face society like Pericles' Athens or Rousseau's Geneva, because the enemy of democracy was factions, a plurality of interests and warring factions. Madison said, that's exactly wrong.

He said in Federalist 10 that you want to have an extensive republic because there the government can perform its first duty, which is to protect the different and unequal capacities of acquiring property. So you have a saving multiplicity of factions because what is the great danger in politics? Tyranny. To what form of tyranny is a democracy prey? Tyranny of the majority. Solution? Don't have stable tyrannical majorities.

have majorities that consist of unstable coalitions of factions that don't last very long and therefore can't be a big danger. There's your short...

seminar on medicine in a minute and a half. And well, that's actually a good reason for optimism if you think about it, that hopefully the potential tyranny or the wannabe tyrant that we're dealing with now won't be long lasting from that Madisonian framework. George Will, what an honor. What a treat. Thank you so much for coming on to the Bulwark Podcast. I enjoyed it. We'll do it again. All right. We'll see you soon. Everybody else, stick around. We got a mailbag.

How many people in the world would you guess have been forced to flee their homes? A million? 10 million? What if I told you the number was 122.6 million? If that were a country, it would be the sixth largest in the world. Every day, people all around the world leave their homes because of violence, ethnic, religious, or territorial conflict, persecution, political upheaval, climate-related events. In 58 countries, people on the move look to Jesuit refugee services for help.

JRS is a ministry of the Jesuits, the Catholics you might know best for their schools and universities. Their work in education is especially meaningful here as they operate schools and refugee camps and offer job training, mental health support, and community building programs worldwide to support those who have had to leave behind everything they know to keep themselves and their families safe.

JRS is known for going where others don't and staying long after others have left, standing in solidarity with those experiencing the impacts of world events others have forgotten about. Their mission is to accompany, serve, and advocate for forcibly displaced people so they can heal, learn, and determine their own futures. I talked about this before, but the Jesuits are great. I got my issues with the Catholics at times that I'm dealing with.

You know, I went to Jesuit high school in Denver, Regis. And I think that a big part of my moral formation happened there, happened at home too.

But it happened at Regis. And I think the Jesuits have a view of the world, a view of caring for others and serving others, a view of not putting yourself first, that really speaks to people no matter what your faith background is. We just interviewed George Will today. He called himself a low-impact atheist. I think that's his phrase. Even for low-impact atheists. The Jesuit worldview works in that kind of small-c Catholic sense, the universal worldview.

And I got to tell you, I just, uh, maybe it was a little too late in life. So I took some of the, uh, some of the advice, some of the Jebby teachers I had gave me, but I definitely hear them inside. When I think about the, the turn into the light that I've made over the last few years. So I recommend the Jebbies. I love this particular effort. The refugee services are our wedding. We asked people to donate to refugee services instead of, uh, and live gifts. And, um,

It's something I'm passionate about. That's maybe the number one issue I'm the most passionate about. And so if you're looking for something to support this holiday season, I recommend JRS. So it's been a rough few weeks.

If you want to do something good today, go visit JRSUSA online, read some of the stories about their work, and then make a donation or look at other ways of supporting JRS's work like advocacy or volunteering. To check them out and show the bulwark sent you, visit JRSUSA.org slash bulwark. That's JRSUSA.org slash bulwark.

All right, we are back with the mailbag. I cannot say that my answers to the mailbag will be as sanguine and calm as George wills, but it's nice to have somebody bring that demeanor to this podcast from time to time. I received several emails, not to the actual mailbag account, but from people reaching out wanting to know my genuine thoughts about this. I thought it'd be best to do it on the podcast.

I am going to get back to doing podcast mailbags, though. So if you just email us, bulwarkpodcasts at thebulwark.com, we'll start to do this more often. Obviously, things got kind of busy with the campaign, you might have noticed. So we cut back on mailbag time. So here we go. Thanksgiving mailbag. Buckle up.

I'm a 30-year-old guy, an Obama millennial lib. Dad voted for Obama, mom for Romney. My parents and I are devastated by the Trump win. My two brothers are not devastated. Older brother's at Thanksgiving. He's your classic Ivy League educated Ben Shapiro listening anti-woke, anti-anti-Trump conservative who made the transition to solid Trump supporter. The policies, not the personality.

He brings in real money, bought a great seven-figure house, no economic anxiety. I have trouble talking to him about politics and anything politics adjacent. We used to mix it up, but 2020 got too intense. He said he thinks Biden won, does not believe the election lies, but he told my mom he voted for Trump again this year, and he votes in a swing state. We've lost touch a bit, no outward animosity, but the weirdness is below the surface when we get together.

etc etc makes me sad yeah i hear that the question how do you suggest i handle thanksgiving i'll be with him in a few days and the election will come up my boomer dad will say something do i say little nothing change the topic happy warrior do i get pretty real not sure how to balance the disrespectful devil on one shoulder and the obama pluralism angel on the other shoulder

I had a similar question from another reader. Do you have tips for engaging with people like my brother who watches fake news or non-news, Patrick Beth David, Joe Rogan, etc.? He knows literally nothing about what is actually happening but loves to instigate discussions. He then shuts down and goes into denial anger mode when confronted with counterpoints. I'm actually skipping Thanksgiving with him this year for that reason but have many other meals ahead.

Alright, I just want to start here. This is hard. And it's hard. Everybody's dealing with it at some level. It's different than it was in the past. For younger listeners, it wasn't always like this. And here's what I think that is.

Because in the Trump era, I think that there really a moral dimension to how we view politics has really developed. And there were some people who had very strong, deeply held views about politics throughout all of history. And there were moral elements to it.

But kind of in the modern era, you know, there was a period of time where you felt like your family or your friends, somebody might have bad ideas or mistaken views and that that was okay. You know, it didn't necessarily mean that there was, they were a bad person. You just disagreed. And that's gotten hard in the Trump years. And whether or not we want to admit it or say it, a lot of us have kind of concluded that at some deep level, uh,

The people that we disagree with, the one for Trump, don't just have bad views. Like they are bad at some level.

You know, to get into a little therapy talk here, one of the things you go through when you're dealing with your own issues, as I have, is there's this difference in definition between guilt and shame. Guilt is this feeling that you have done something bad. Well, shame is this kind of sense that you are bad at some deep level. And this is kind of like the external version of that, right? Like rather than feeling like somebody made a bad choice, you're feeling like that they have that there's something deeper there.

That kind of changes the relationship naturally. Like it changes how you view people. I don't know that there's anything that I can say that will like fix that, right? You can't trick yourself into not thinking that. And so what I can say is this, is that fundamentally we all are sinners. We just are like, we all have bad impulses, bad thoughts. We've all made bad actions.

writing off somebody you love over this fucking asshole that's going to be the president like doesn't really serve you like and it doesn't serve them and it doesn't really serve anybody it doesn't do anything of value and that doesn't mean you have to let them off the hook or change your views about them but it does mean that kind of reframing it in your head in the context of

There are certain flaws that you look past in friends in your life, you know, and other family members. It's not like everybody that voted for Kamala Harris is a fucking angel, you know, but you rationalize it, right? You look past it. You look at the good traits. I went through this when I was coming out with family that didn't react well to it. You know, I was resentful and bitter and like thought bad thoughts about them.

And that didn't serve me. And I don't, I got past that and it's been a lot healthier to get past it. I have close family right now that are going through the same Thanksgiving thing as these questioners, how much or whether at all they see their close loved ones is being affected by their political support. And I just, it makes me sad. Yeah.

And it is not the right approach, even though it might feel right. Because cutting people off over this or blocking yourself off from them emotionally is just the worst of bad options. I want to caveat something here. I'm talking about actual loved ones. If you have an Uncle Rufus who's an asshole that you're never that close to, you can feel free to let Rufus go.

but for brothers, for friends, for people that you're close to. My advice is not going to be that satisfying, but here it goes. Try to find other things to talk about. Reminisce. Talk about sports. Watch football. Ask them about some other part of their life. Get them talking. They've got to have other interests.

Ask them about work. Ask them about their dating life. Ask them about whatever. Pick their brain. You know, they have to have other things that they like to talk about. If, you know, your boomer dad or whoever it was in the questionnaire forces the conversation, having a little argument and then cooling off after, that's not the worst thing. Okay, that's fine. That all happens. I've been there. As long as you're not saying things that you're going to regret, having a little argument's okay. Okay.

It's better than not engaging. You know what else is better than not engaging? Just sitting together and being together and eating and being a little bit more distant than you'd wish. That is melancholy for sure. That is not probably what you hoped for that relationship. And that is there's a disappointment there. There's a loss there. But still, you're together. And the alternative is going to lead to regret.

You don't need to compound your torment by adding something you'll regret on top of it. One last thing, speaking from experience.

Less might be more when it comes to alcohol, if things are really fraught. I know that there's a gag about how you're going to be home, you're going to be drinking, you're going to be having wine, going to deal with your family members. That might be right if it's like a low-level disagreement and frustration. But if it's deep-seated disagreement and anger, less is more when it comes to alcohol. So,

Happy Thanksgiving, everybody. Enjoy that. For all of you that are blessed to not have to deal with this, appreciate that blessing and savor it because, you know, this stuff comes for all of us. My other question that I want to get to, which is very relevant for everybody right now. Do you have advice on how to develop a healthy media diet?

I appreciate your conversation with Sam Harris and your reflection on your own Twitter obsession. I'm a fellow political obsessive with TDS, but I had to take a break after the election. I went cold turkey for a week and then I jumped back in. I wish I didn't have to, but as a concerned citizen, I have to devote some brain space to Donald Trump for the next four years. How do you recommend staying informed without going insane?

Okay, for starters, you're listening to this podcast. That's great. I appreciate it. You don't have to. If you need a break from it, I get it.

But by listening to a daily politics podcast, you're pretty up to speed on what's happening in politics already. There's not a whole lot you need to absolutely add on top of it. I would recommend newspapers and actual news as a supplement. There's certain things I'm not covering, policy stuff, local stuff, what's happening in your community. I'll look to my husband as a model. He's totally cut off social media, political social media, and replaced it only with Apple News.

I don't really love the Apple News interface myself, but it works for him. Another option is picking a couple of newspapers, supporting actual journalists that you like and reading their hard news outlet and not just reading opinion. I think that is useful. A newsletter might be right for you. And I think that is a perfectly healthy balance. You know, there is not necessarily a need to do that much more than that.

I'm going to say this next thing with the caveat that I am an MSNBC political analyst. I appreciate the folks at MSNBC for supporting me. And as far as cable TV is concerned, if you like a show, great. I'm going to still go on Nicole Wallace twice a week. If you like Nicole Wallace and you feel like that's a good vessel for you to get info, watch Nicole Wallace. If you like Alex Wagner or Chris Hayes or watch them. If you like Jake Tapper, he's great. Caitlin Collins, whatever.

I don't know about that show on CNN where they do the panel where they're all yelling at each other. I only see the clips of like Scott Jennings yelling at random libs. I'm not sure that that's that nourishing to you. So I don't know if that would be the one that I would pick. The host of that, Abby Philips, seems great. But the show format, not for me. But I'd say this about TV consumption. And it's related to the social media consumption. Passive consumption of this...

You know, having whatever the most recent horror is of Donald Trump just thrust upon your face kind of unwillingly or, you know, as a second order thing while you're doing other stuff. It doesn't seem that healthy to me. I mean, it seems like a lot of people do that, you know.

I like to have sound on in the house. I don't know. I don't like silence. So I have records and music I play or sports. Some people that have news just like kind of on in the background. I think that's probably unhealthy for the next little bit. And part of it is JVL wrote about this in the triad, just about a way to process Donald Trump that I'm trying to work on here on this podcast is to get upset about things that happen, to cover things that happen.

not to wrap yourself around things that may happen or that he's threatening or that he said or that he whatever, that might be a good rubric as well for focusing on things that are actually happening. That's what I'm going to try to do on this show. So unfortunately, I don't actually have the benefit of being able to take this advice that I'm giving everybody. So maybe I'm a little bit of a hypocrite, but in order to do this show and do it well, I need to consume things. It's my job.

But put that burden on me, right? Let me listen to Steve Bannon and watch Fox when I'm in hotel rooms and suffer through social media to know what's happening out there.

And I will filter it for you. And you'll get the stuff that you need to know or that's funny. We can get a laugh out of them or that's scary. And in the meantime, read things that are reported and find other, if there's somebody else, like I said, if there's another show, if there's a show that you like, consume that. And I think that's probably a good starting place for all this.

So, you know, trusted sources, things that aren't inflaming you.

This is going to be a marathon, not a sprint. And there's a bigger world out there. So go and enjoy it. Everybody, I've got one more podcast tomorrow before the Thanksgiving break. Very excited about that. There'll be much Pete Hegseth chat on tomorrow's podcast. You guys know how much I love talking about Pete Hegseth. So please come and hang out with me, especially if you're worried about hanging out with your family. I'll be here. And we'll see you all back here tomorrow. Peace. Oh, my God!

Oh, man.

Turn this TV off. Turn this TV off. Crazy, scary, spooky, hilarious. Crazy, scary, spooky, hilarious. The Bulwark Podcast is produced by Katie Cooper with audio engineering and editing by Jason Brown.