The Story of the First-Ever Trump Rally
2024/11/2
The Charlie Kirk Show
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Cliff Maloney
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Terry Dittrich
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Tyler Bowyer
Cliff Maloney：宾夕法尼亚州的选举结果至关重要，共和党需要全力以赴才能获胜。2020年大选，民主党获得了超过140万张邮寄选票，而共和党只有60万张，这导致共和党最终以8万张选票的差距落败。目前，民主党候选人哈里斯仍然领先，但领先优势已缩小至不到40万张选票。为了赢得选举，共和党需要动员尽可能多的选民参与投票，目标是获得270万张选票。共和党需要特别关注那些在2020年申请了邮寄选票但未寄回的选民，以及那些居住在人口稠密地区，例如费城和匹兹堡的选民。此外，共和党还需要关注那些可能因为各种原因而没有投票的选民，例如时间紧迫，投票站排队时间过长等。只有这样，共和党才能在宾夕法尼亚州赢得胜利，并最终赢得白宫。
Deep Dive
Why did Tyler Bowyer agree to host the first-ever Trump rally in Arizona?
He hated the establishment and wanted to fight against it.
What was the turnout for the first-ever Trump rally in Phoenix?
4,170 people attended.
What is the current lead for Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania according to Cliff Maloney?
394,000 votes.
What is the estimated turnout target for Trump voters in Pennsylvania to ensure a win?
2.7 million votes.
Why does Terry Dietrich feel better about Wisconsin's voter turnout compared to 2020?
There has been a concerted effort to reach low-propensity voters and new movers.
What is the Commit 100 program by Turning Point Action?
A program where volunteers are assigned custom lists of 100 people to chase in key target states.
How is Turning Point Action contributing to voter turnout in Arizona?
By chasing nearly the entire delta between Republicans and Democrats, focusing on low-propensity voters.
What is the significance of the weekend before the election in Arizona and Nevada?
Democrats plan to dump a large number of ballots to create chaos at tabulation centers.
What will determine the outcome for Carrie Lake in Arizona?
The voter turnout over the weekend before the election.
Cliff Maloney discusses the crucial role of Pennsylvania in the upcoming election, analyzing past voting patterns and predicting the necessary turnout for a Trump victory.
- In 2020, Biden received 2 million mail-in votes to Trump's 600,000.
- The current Democratic firewall is less than 400,000 votes.
- A turnout of 2.7 million votes is projected to secure a Trump win.
Shownotes Transcript