cover of episode What Matters Most This Close To An Election

What Matters Most This Close To An Election

2024/10/24
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The Fox News Rundown

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People
A
Alyssa Slotkin
B
Brian Kilmeade
C
Colin Reed
D
Dave Anthony
J
Jessica Rosenthal
M
Mike Rogers
Topics
Jessica Rosenthal:距离2024年总统大选越来越近,时间就是金钱,资金对特朗普和哈里斯的竞选至关重要。但信息和势头更为关键。目前来看,哈里斯的竞选似乎遇到了瓶颈,而特朗普则占据了优势。特朗普近期在关键摇摆州举行了多次集会,而哈里斯则在一些民主党占优的州活动。 Rosenthal还提到了特朗普和哈里斯竞选团队的筹款情况,以及民主党在筹款方面的优势。虽然资金很重要,但信息和势头更重要。哈里斯的竞选活动似乎失去了夏天的活力,而特朗普则似乎重新获得了势头。尽管还有时间,但已经有很多选民提前投票了,所以每天的投票都在积累。特朗普改变了对提前投票的态度,这表明共和党人正在重视提前投票。共和党人倾向于在选举日投票,而民主党人倾向于提前投票。 共和党策略师Colin Reed认为,竞选广告已经饱和,因此在竞选后期,更有效的策略是通过电话和上门拜访等方式接触选民。上门拜访对选民非常重要,尤其是在选情胶着的州,因为许多选民希望被问及他们的投票意向。 Dave Anthony:密歇根州不仅是总统大选中的关键摇摆州,参议院的竞争也势均力敌。密歇根州有三大核心选民群体(黑人男性、汽车工人和阿拉伯穆斯林)对民主党的支持正在减弱。 Colin Reed:哈里斯在离选举还有这么短的时间内没有参加竞选活动,这是一种政治上的失误。候选人应该将时间集中在需要争取选票的州。哈里斯应该将时间集中在密歇根州、威斯康星州和宾夕法尼亚州等关键摇摆州。特朗普应该将时间集中在少数几个关键摇摆州。哈里斯竞选活动面临的挑战是,他们尚未以美国公众能够理解的方式定义她的竞选纲领。哈里斯竞选活动似乎专注于否定特朗普,而不是定义她自己。哈里斯竞选活动面临的挑战是,她很难在不批评拜登总统的情况下,明确说明她与拜登总统的不同之处。如果这次选举成为对拜登总统的公投,这对哈里斯竞选活动不利。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why does Colin Reed think Vice President Harris has hit a wall in the campaign?

Reed believes Harris has hit a wall because she hasn't defined her candidacy clearly, and her message has focused more on negative attacks on Trump rather than her own vision for the country.

Why is door knocking considered important in a close election?

Door knocking is important because it allows candidates to personally ask for votes, which can be impactful, especially in tight races where margins are small.

Why is Michigan considered a pivotal battleground state in the 2024 election?

Michigan is a pivotal battleground state because it has a tight presidential race and a crucial Senate race that could determine which party controls the Senate.

Why does Mike Rogers think the Harris campaign is imploding?

Rogers believes the Harris campaign is imploding because Democrats are starting to run like Republicans, contradicting their previous stances, and voters are becoming disillusioned with high costs and economic issues.

Why is early voting significant for the Trump campaign?

Early voting is significant because it allows the Trump campaign to track and confirm that likely Republican voters have already cast their ballots, reducing the need for intensive get-out-the-vote efforts on Election Day.

Why is the issue of EV mandates a concern for Michigan autoworkers?

EV mandates are a concern because they could lead to significant job losses in the auto industry, with estimates suggesting up to 40% of manufacturing jobs could be at risk.

Why does Mike Rogers think the coalition of Democratic voters in Michigan is fraying?

Rogers thinks the coalition is fraying because black males, auto workers, and Arab Muslims are becoming disillusioned with the Democratic Party's policies and economic performance.

Why is the issue of abortion rights significant in the Michigan Senate race?

Abortion rights are significant because Michigan voters recently approved making abortion legal in the state constitution, and Rogers' stance on the issue is being used against him by his opponent.

Why does Brian Kilmeade think Trump is focusing on Joe Biden's exit from the presidency?

Kilmeade thinks Trump is focusing on Biden to highlight how Harris obtained the nomination, suggesting she skipped the primary process and was chosen by party elites, which could undermine her credibility.

Chapters
With the 2024 election looming, both Trump and Harris campaigns are focusing on their closing arguments. Republican strategist Colin Reed analyzes the momentum of both campaigns, discussing the effectiveness of campaign spending, strategies for reaching voters, and the importance of early voting.
  • Trump campaign raised $63 million in September, while Harris campaign raised over $220 million.
  • Reed emphasizes the importance of door-knocking and targeted spending in a close race.
  • Harris's campaign faces criticism for lack of clear messaging and declining momentum.
  • Trump's focus on early voting is a strategic shift from previous elections.

Shownotes Transcript

In the last stretch of the 2024 presidential race, time is money, and cash is king for both the Trump and Harris campaigns trying to make their final case to voters. Former President Trump has been in the swing states of North Carolina and Georgia, sometimes holding more than one event in a day. Meanwhile, Vice President Harris has been moving across the blue wall states with plans to soon campaign in Texas. Republican strategist and co-founder of South & Hill Strategies, Colin Reed, joins the Rundown to discuss what he sees as political malpractice from the Harris campaign and why he sees the momentum behind the Trump campaign.

Michigan has become a pivotal battleground state in the race for the White House. Both candidates continue to drum up support as the campaigns near the finish line. However, the Great Lakes State is also home to a crucial Senate race that could determine which party will be in control come January. Former congressman and Republican Michigan Senate Candidate Mike Rogers joins to discuss his campaign, the current state of the race, and whether he thinks Michigan will flip red.

Plus, commentary by Brian Kilmeade, Host of One Nation with Brian Kilmeade and The Brian Kilmeade Show.

Photo Credit: AP

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