cover of episode Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire, Protests in Pakistan, Trump Threatens Tariffs

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire, Protests in Pakistan, Trump Threatens Tariffs

2024/11/27
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Aisha Khalid
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Brian Mann
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Lawrence Fyfe
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Rubs Hz Martinez
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Rubs Hz Martinez:报道了以色列和黎巴嫩之间达成的60天停火协议,巴基斯坦首都因要求释放被监禁的前总理伊姆兰·汗而爆发的抗议活动,以及特朗普总统当选人威胁对加拿大、墨西哥和中国征收关税以阻止芬太尼和非法移民涌入美国的事件。 Lawrence Fyfe:详细描述了黎巴嫩南部停火协议后的情况,包括民众庆祝、家园重建的挑战以及持续的安全担忧。他采访了一位南部村庄的妇女,讲述了她家在战争中的经历以及对未来的担忧。他还解释了停火协议的细节,包括以色列撤军、真主党限制活动以及联合国维和人员的部署。他指出,黎巴嫩南部部分地区遭到严重破坏,重建工作将需要数年甚至数十年时间。 Aisha Khalid:报道了巴基斯坦首都的抗议活动,抗议者要求释放被监禁的前总理伊姆兰·汗。她描述了抗议活动中的暴力事件,包括安全部队的镇压以及造成的伤亡。她采访了一位目击者,讲述了抗议活动期间的暴力和混乱。她还分析了政府的强硬立场以及由此可能引发的未来冲突。 Brian Mann:分析了特朗普总统当选人威胁对加拿大、墨西哥和中国征收关税以应对非法移民和芬太尼危机的事件。他指出,专家认为这一策略不太可能奏效,反而可能引发贸易战,并损害与这些国家在打击贩毒和移民问题上的合作。他讨论了这些国家做出的回应,以及关税对美国消费者和企业可能产生的经济影响。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why was a 60-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon brokered, and what are its key terms?

The ceasefire was brokered by the U.S. and France to end the fighting across the Israeli-Lebanese border, which has killed thousands since the conflict was ignited by the war in Gaza last year. The key terms include Israel withdrawing its ground troops from Lebanon and halting air strikes, while Hezbollah moves its fighters and weapons north of the Litani River, about 20 miles from the Israeli border. The Lebanese army and UN peacekeepers will deploy in southern Lebanon, and an international committee will monitor the agreement.

Why did security forces disperse protesters in Pakistan's capital, and what were the protesters demanding?

Security forces dispersed protesters in Pakistan's capital, Islamabad, who were demanding the release of jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan. The protesters defied tear gas and climbed over shipping containers to reach the city center, leading to violent clashes. Six people were killed, including four security personnel, and dozens were injured during the crackdown.

Why is President-elect Donald Trump threatening tariffs against Canada, Mexico, and China?

Trump is threatening tariffs to pressure these countries to do more to stop undocumented migrants and fentanyl from crossing into the U.S. He claims these issues are major problems and that the countries could easily solve them. However, experts say it's not feasible for these countries to completely stop the flow of fentanyl or migrants.

Why is the situation in southern Lebanon described as looking like Gaza, and what is the scale of recovery needed?

Southern Lebanon, particularly areas in the south and Beirut's southern suburbs, has been completely destroyed, resembling the aftermath of the conflict in Gaza. The scale of recovery is massive, with reconstruction expected to take years or even decades. Parts of the region are described as being orders of magnitude more devastated compared to the last war in 2006.

Why are some Israeli officials opposing the ceasefire, and what are their concerns?

Some Israeli officials, particularly mayors in the north, are opposing the ceasefire due to real security concerns. They fear a resumption of Hezbollah attacks and the possibility of another major attack like the one on October 7. They are concerned about the safety of their residents and the stability of the region.

Why is the government in Pakistan taking a tough line against the protesters, and what are the implications?

The government in Pakistan is taking a tough line against the protesters, interpreting the dispersed protests as a victory. They are playing on the anger of protesters who feel their leaders fled during the crackdown. This could lead to a cycle of increasingly violent encounters, reflecting a crisis of legitimacy at the top, including a loss of confidence in public institutions and the army.

Why are experts concerned about the potential impact of Trump's tariff threats on international cooperation?

Experts are concerned that Trump's tariff threats could unravel growing international cooperation targeting drug traffickers. A trade fight could lead to less pressure on gangs smuggling fentanyl, and it could also distract from public health responses that have been effective in reducing fatal overdoses.

Chapters
A 60-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has gone into effect, marking the start of a conflict that has lasted for decades. The deal aims to end the fighting across the Israeli-Lebanese border, which has killed thousands of people since it was ignited by the war in Gaza last year.
  • The ceasefire was brokered by the U.S. and France and announced by President Biden.
  • Celebratory gunfire erupted across Lebanon as people celebrated the ceasefire.
  • Many people may find their homes destroyed, and the scale of recovery will take years, perhaps even decades.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
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A sixty days ceasefire between israel and lebanon has gone .

to the effect this conflict between real IT has in decades. So what happens .

now for people display by war?

I'm rubs. Hz, that's a Martinez. And this is up first from M.

P. R. news. Security forces disperse thousands of protesters in pakistan's capital.

Last night, you could see was, dear gas, I IT was just a lot of chaos.

They are demanding, jailed former prime minister iron can be released.

Will they get their way? And president like trump has refs against canada, mexico and china final and authorize migrants.

That is an another go. No country will accomplished that.

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A gunfire was heard in lebanon's capital this morning, marking the start of the israel .

lebanon ceasefire. The deal aims to end the fighting across the israeli lebanese border that has killed thousands of people since I was ignited by the war. Gaz, last year, IT was brokered by the U. S. And france and announced by president .

biden for more on the deal, were joined now by mp. Laun fye in sight in southern levon as a lot, and people were celebrate the fire in barea, all the scene. Like.

yeah, I was going to set my alarm for A M. Turns out I didn't need to. I was awoken by this celebratory gunfire erupting across the city, sort of mixed with the dawn call to prayer from mosques across the city.

Dog started howling into the night, even before the first light of vacation started heading south to try to see if their homes are still there. I'm on the coastal highway. There are minivans packed with families, belongings tide on car roof, people blasting music, beeing their horns, cheering.

A Young boy knocked on my car window and handed me a poster of husson. This rolla has bolo leader who was killed in an israeli air strike in late september. So the mood is definitely festive here, but a lot of these people may find that they don't have homes standing anymore.

Have you been able to talk to people the way I me? How are they? I mean, at least Scotto feel like a relief of some kind.

Here's one woman I spoke with. Her name is Patricia talib. She's twenty four. SHE had stopped on the shoulder of the highway to let one of her children p on the side of the road.

They're from a village in the south that saw fierce ground battles, and the israeli military warned people not to return to some of these areas because israeli troops are still there. They are in retreat, but they are still in this country. And I asked petri a if she's worried about finding is soldiers you know, in her house .

to begin with, people weren't are not really a intimidated by the entity. We know that this is the end days of the war, and we know that ultimately it's going to be okay. We personally, we stayed for the first week of the, so we didn't really want to leave our village to begin with. This was only because we were in the way of the resistance that we actually ended a leaving her village.

You can hear her kids there in the background when he says.

resistance SHE means has bola fighters. Now, I know it's new, but can you fill the details with this agreement?

yes. So this is a sixty day truth, which would take us up to Donald trump s. inauguration.

Incidentally, during which israel withdraws its ground troops from lebanon, IT holds air strikes in in turn, hezbollah ves its fighters and weapons north of the latini river that's about twenty miles away from the israeli border. The lebanese army is deploying down into southern lebanon alongside U. N.

Peacekeepers who are already here, and an international committee will be monitoring implementation of this. As for whether this is holding IT apparently seems to be so far. There was one incident in which israeli military says IT identified what IT says where hezbollah Operates. Returning to areas near the border, IT opened fire on them that doesn't appear to have kicked off anything Whiter.

Now many the targets of israeli strikes in lebanon were either in the nation's south or in and around the root. What's the scale of recovery? yeah. I mean.

parts of lebanon, on particularly in the south and by root, southern suburbs, look like gaza. They've been completely destroyed. This is orders of magnitude compared to the last war here in two thousand and six.

And IT will take years, perhaps even decades, to rebuild. I'm inside in an ancient port city on the meditation, ian. And this is sort of the boundary of southern lebanon on so people, the mood has been very jubilant here as people heads out and celebrate the ceasefire. But I suspect the mood will really change going south from here.

Now, the ceasefire aims to put an end of husband of militant attacks on israel, which have displaced tens of thousands of people in the nation north. What's the situation after them?

So israel is still not calling on its residents to return to their abandoned homes in the north of that country. Officials there say there will be a one to two month period of rebuilding before they initiate that return. It's worth mentioning, many mayors inside is very particular along that opposed the ceasefire, one called IT, a shameful agreement. They have real security concerns, not only the fear of a resumption of hezbollah cat attacks, but also A A possible october seventh like attack.

Pr, Lawrence freer, Lawrence, thanks.

You're welcome.

Security forces disperse protesters in the capital of pakistan .

overnight that they marched to islam to demand the release of the jail former prime minister in iran. Kon, hundreds of protesters have been .

rest in sunday with me. Now is in paris, dia head, which covers pakistan from her base in mumba. Good morning, a good morning.

rob.

So bring us up to video, what happened with these protests and where do things stand.

right? While t protesters had reached downtown islamabad, they defied tear gas and climbed over shipping containers to get there. There was also violent.

Six people were killed on tuesday, including four security personnel. Joel, as covering the march, said. Protesters also attacked them, including an associated press camera man who was taken to hospital.

And once protesters had made IT to the city center, they announced a city in until the former prime minister rankin is released. But overnight, paramilitary forces pushed them out. Video shared by con supporters showed smoke, flashing lights, people running, the sound of guns firing.

I spoke to a Young woman who was there. SHE requested anonymity. She's worried about being detained, identified because there's being crackdowns on can't supporters.

You could see tear gas. And I was just a lot, of course, I was between the crowd at that time. My dad and I saw a body fall in front of us when the firing started. IT was all pish dark, but I could hear bullets being short at people.

Wa, that sounds terrifying.

yeah. K's media teams say dozens of people were injured and another two people were killed. And following that crackdown, kant called off the protest for now, and the governments interpreted that as a Victory for them. The information minister even told local media that protesters are like cow wards. He said the'd even left their shoes behind.

So that sounds like the government is taking a very tough line in all this. What can we expect in the coming days?

Well, the coming days may well reflect what we've seen in the past eighteen months since in rang han was jailed, a cycle of increasingly violent encounters. I spoke to Michael google man. He is the director of the south asia institute, the wills and senta, and he says this violence reflects a crisis of legitimacy. At the very top.

you have a critical math of the public that has essentially lost confidence in public institutions, and that includes the army.

It's important tonight. The army is pakistan's most powerful institution. IT was largely sacrosanct among pakistani's, and that's change. Now many of con supporters see the army is having redelegations is february to propel this current government to power. So for now, it's an intractable crisis, the army against khan and his supporters. And now that theyve deployed against civilians in the capital, which is quite unusual in pakistan, IT could happen again because nothing is actually been resolved.

But for now, the protests have been dispersed.

right? Yeah, the government says lice returning to Normal cars are on the road where the crackdown happened. It's unclear what protesters will do next.

Two people I spoke to said they were angry at their protest leaders because they appeared to have fled as a crackdown began. That includes k's wife, wisha. B, B.

Journey appears in a White gown in a face. Fail presents itself as a spiritual gou. Now the government's playing on that anger, one minister told local media that these events .

were the fault of one woman that P.

S, D. Dear, thank you.

President ec, Donald trump is threatening a twenty five percent year on goods from canada and mexico, an extra ten percent terf maybe put on items from china.

According to trump, those nations are not doing enough to stop undocumented migrants or fenno from crossing into the us. While the rest of migrants have been on the rise at the northern border, they're fraction of those at the southern border where comprehensions are at a four year low.

Mp brian man covers a venal crisis. Joins is not to take a look at trumps promise now, brian, it's a social media post right now now policy quite yet. But what has done to trust, say he hopes to accomplish with this thread yeah.

you're write. It's not clear trumps going to follow through on this. He doesn't take office for a couple months. A lot of negotiations are going to happen before then.

What truth said in social media post monday is that these countries aren't doing enough to solve what he describes as two of the biggest problems hitting the us. Illegal immigration and file, which is still killing tens of thousands of people every year. According to trump, canada, china and mexico could collectively easily solve these problems. He added that once imposed, these terrifying would remain in place until drugs, including fetal and illegal aliens, as are his words, stop this invasion of our country.

But could china and mexico really just shut down? But no, smugly just like that.

Yeah, experts I talked to say, no, it's just not possible. JoNathan calkins and drug policy expert at carnegie mellon's university says that is just really easy to make and smuggle.

Unfortunately, it's quite difficult to control function because it's so easy for the illegal supply chains to produce and distributed.

Funda fell back. Brown is a drug policy expert of the broken and institution, and he agrees what trump is demanding here and just is going to happen.

That is uneasy to go. No country will accomplish that.

What experts says the best case scenario is the trumps threats here, prompting negotiations that maybe lead to Better CoOperation on migrants and final with more realistic goals. I'm sure they're .

all going to be talking at some point. So how are these countries responding so far?

Well, first, it's important to say most federal does enter the us. From mexico, typically passing through official border crossing. Mexico president coddy shang bomb responded by saying yesterday that was primarily A U.

S. Problem, one that requires a health care and treatment response, he says, to reduce addiction. That's been mexico's position for years. He also suggested us terabits linked to fetch could trigger a full blown trade war. One other concern i'm hearing from drug policy experts is that a trade fight could unravel what has been growing international CoOperation targeting drug traffickers. Again, here is want to fill bm Brown at bookings .

that A S chinese officials have told me that the company tics CoOperation would not be able to survive an imposition of substantial active.

So if this power move by trump doesn't work, we could see china and mexico backing away from intelligence sharing and other CoOperation with the U. S. Law enforcement that could mean less pressure on these gangs that are smuggling. Final.

no brand. You've been reporting that the federal crisis has been easing in recent months with the lock, fewer people dying. So what has done trumpy about that?

Trump hasn't actually acknowledging that progress. Writing on social media, he said, we're still seeing drugs coming across the border, and i'm quoting here at levels never seen before. In fact, there has been a huge positive shift over the last twelve months. Fatal overdoses, including federal, are dropping fast, about sixteen thousand fewer deaths. Most experts I talk to you credit Better health care and treatment, and they worry that trumps threat here of an international drug and trade war could be a distraction, pulling focus away from a public health response that appears to be helping.

So let's brought in the scope. And of these countries cannot meet, Donald romps, big demands on final and migrants. I mean, how could a terror then play out for workers and consumers? Here in the us.

the most economists agree tariff s basically work as attacks on goods. This kind of trade fight could boost Prices for american consumers at a time when inflation is still a problem. More broadly, we're talking about what could be a messy trade conflict disrupting simultaneously between the us. And three countries that are all deeply and retrained with american companies in their supply chains. So if truth does pull the triggers on these terrorists, the disruption could be enormous.

That's pr addiction. Corresponded brian. Man, brian, thanks.

Thank you.

And that's the first for wednesday, november twenty seven.

the me Martinez and i'm optimates for your next listen why not try consider this from N T R former german chancer Angela miracle has gone to to toe with world leaders SHE LED germany through times of turmoil and became a role model for women. What does he have to say about her legacy? Listen to consider .

this from M P R. Today's episode of first was edited by detrick in key ryland barta andred's on lisa tomson and mohammed Albert dc was produce by the a button s and leos we engineering support from carly strange and our technical director is nisha inness choice again tomorrow.

Take a moment to unwind and give things. This week within P. S, all songs considered as listening ers share their favorite songs of gratitude.

This song speaks to me, and the basic thing is everybody turns, turns in land, in the place they need to be.

Download new episodes of all songs considered every tuesday. Wherever you get podcasts.

It's almost thanksgiving. And if you're hosting this year, how well do you know how to cook the main event, a turkey in the grand of things?

Not actually that hard. There's just a couple little things you have to keep in mind requires a little bit of planning ahead .

on a new episode life kit. We talked turkey. Listen, wherever you get your podcast.