The collapse was due to the weakening of key supporters: Iran and Russia. Israel's destruction of Hezbollah, Iran's proxy in Lebanon, and Russia's struggles in Ukraine left Assad without crucial backing.
Israel significantly weakened Hezbollah, a major supporter of Assad, by destroying its war-making capabilities. Additionally, Israel's air force interdicted Iranian shipments through Syria, further destabilizing Assad's regime.
Turkey is making incursions into northern Syria to create a buffer zone and encroach on Kurdish territory. Israel maintains control over the Golan Heights and has expanded its buffer zone in Syria.
Christians, who make up about 10% of Syria's population, face a more fraught existence. Assad's regime was not favorable to them, and the new Sunni-led government could pose additional risks.
The collapse signifies the end of Iran's Shia crescent, a strategic territorial control from Iran through Iraq, Syria, and into Lebanon. This significantly weakens Iran's regional influence.
The civil war, ongoing since 2011, has pitted Assad's regime, backed by Iran and Russia, against Sunni militants and various rebel groups. It has resulted in over 300,000 deaths and 12 million refugees, making it a significant global humanitarian crisis.
The new government is led by Abu Mohammed Al-Jolani, a Sunni Islamist rebel with a $10 million U.S. bounty on his head. His group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, espouses conservative Sunni Islamist ideology similar to the Taliban.
Syria is strategically located between major regional powers: west of Iraq, east of Lebanon, northeast of Israel, and north of Jordan. This makes it a focal point for regional conflicts and influences.
The situation highlights the internal weaknesses of Russia and Iran. Their inability to sustain support for Assad's regime and their struggles in Ukraine and with Israel respectively, show their declining influence and capabilities.
Ben Shapiro reacts to the breaking news of Bashar al-Assad’s regime being forced out of Syria—With terrorist rebels, and a region still plagued by risk and uncertainty, the situation is far from simple. Ben unpacks the power vacuum left behind, what this means for Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia.
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