cover of episode The Path to Defeat Donald Trump (Ep. 1)

The Path to Defeat Donald Trump (Ep. 1)

2024/5/26
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People
A
Adisu Demissie
E
Eitan Hirsch
J
Jen Palmieri
J
Jon Favreau
L
Liz Cheney
L
Lynn Vavreck
R
Ron Brownstein
S
Simon Rosenberg
Topics
Jon Favreau:特朗普再次当选的风险极高,他可能会滥用权力,对美国造成严重损害。阻止特朗普再次当选需要全民参与,不仅依靠拜登及其团队。选民的参与对竞选成功至关重要,因为媒体的影响力下降。投票不仅仅是奖励或惩罚候选人,更是关乎美国的未来。 Ron Brownstein:特朗普计划利用联邦权力压制蓝州,并对蓝州城市采取强硬措施,这可能导致严重的社会冲突。 Jen Palmieri:特朗普的第二个任期将比第一个任期更糟糕,因为制度制衡将被削弱。 Lynn Vavreck:美国政治的“钙化”现象导致选民立场固化,选举结果难以预测。新冠疫情导致民众幸福感下降,加剧了政治环境的严峻性。 Addisu Demissie:尽管拜登有优势,但由于选民群体分布和总统身份的特殊性,此次选举将非常胶着。现任总统的政治优势正在减弱。特朗普作为挑战者同时拥有前任总统的优势。 Simon Rosenberg:对特朗普和MAGA的恐惧是当前政治中最强大的力量。特朗普可能在选举中失利,民主党应争取大胜以彻底击败MAGA。“1月6日事件”和堕胎权案判决对特朗普的竞选造成负面影响。民主党在吸引高参与度选民方面取得成功,这将增强其竞选实力。 Eitan Hirsch:关系型组织和深度游说能够有效地影响选民。许多人参与政治讨论,但很少真正参与政治活动。 Liz Cheney: 特朗普拒绝遵守法院裁决,对美国构成威胁。

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Political analyst Ron Brownstein argues that a second Trump term would see the federal government imposing a red state vision on blue America through policies like national abortion bans and voter ID laws. Brownstein also highlights Trump's concerning rhetoric about using federal force in blue cities for issues like homelessness and crime, along with potentially enacting a massive deportation drive. The segment raises concerns about who would hold a vengeful two-term president accountable, especially given Trump's history of undermining democratic norms and institutions.

Shownotes Transcript

Welcome back to The Wilderness. Jon talks about what it will take to rebuild 2020’s anti-Trump coalition with political analyst Ron Brownstein, political scientist Lynn Vavreck, Democratic strategist Addisu Demissie, Democratic strategist Jen Palmieri, and Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg. They’ll talk about the  risks of a second Trump term and how you can help prevent it.  It may be a challenging road ahead, but by taking the time to persuade the persuadables in your life it’s possible to finally break Trump’s stranglehold on our politics.

Take action with Vote Save America: Visit votesaveamerica.com/2024 

Pre-order Democracy or Else: How to Save America in 10 Easy Steps at crooked.com/books) or wherever books are sold. Out June 25th.