cover of episode Pardons, Prosecutions, and Perfume: Trump Unveils 100 Day Agenda

Pardons, Prosecutions, and Perfume: Trump Unveils 100 Day Agenda

2024/12/10
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J
Jon Favreau
J
Jon Lovett
T
Tommy Vietor
特朗普
美国企业家、政治人物及媒体名人,曾任第45任和第47任美国总统。
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Jon Favreau, Jon Lovett, Tommy Vietor: 特朗普的移民计划包含大规模驱逐出境和取消出生公民权,但他同时表示愿意与民主党合作解决“梦想者”问题。这在宪法和最高法院的判决方面都存在争议。特朗普在采访中拒绝被明确限定立场,关于出生公民权问题也是如此。最高法院在1898年已经裁定出生公民权是宪法第十四修正案的一部分。宪法第十四修正案中关于出生公民权的条款中,“受其管辖”的限定只适用于拥有外交豁免权的外交官。一位特朗普任命的第五巡回法院法官在2015年裁定,该条款涵盖了绝大多数合法和非法的外国人。特朗普在保护“梦想者”和取消出生公民权之间存在认知冲突。特朗普在谈到“梦想者”时,其措辞比以往任何时候都更具同情心。特朗普在谈论出生公民权和“梦想者”时,其关注点不同,前者针对的是新近入境者,后者则承认长期居住者的存在。特朗普是一个骗子,如果他真的想保护“梦想者”,他可以立即与民主党达成协议。特朗普支持一项激进的移民议程,包括大规模驱逐出境,但他不想在电视上看到难民的画面。特朗普的移民政策体现了一种过去与未来的区分:保护现有“梦想者”,但不允许未来非法的儿童获得公民身份。特朗普希望设定一个日期,在此日期之后,他可以驱逐任何人,而无需考虑在此日期后出生在美国的儿童的公民身份。取消出生公民权的后果将是巨大的,因为这将导致大量人口失去公民身份。特朗普政府可能会试图通过行政命令取消出生公民权,但其结果尚不明确。特朗普在采访中反复强调自己说过的话,但在其他问题上又使用了温和的措辞,使得其立场难以捉摸。特朗普的驱逐计划将首先针对犯罪移民,但最终将扩大到所有无证移民,民主党应如何应对这一挑战?民主党可以通过法律挑战、城市拒绝与ICE合作以及讲述受驱逐影响的个人故事来对抗特朗普的驱逐计划。特朗普在采访中提到了无证移民对农业的影响,这表明他开始考虑如何应对大规模驱逐带来的负面影响。尽管特朗普的驱逐计划在法律上站得住脚,但民主党仍可以通过强调其残酷性和对国家的不利影响来进行反击。无证移民为美国经济和社会做出了贡献,驱逐他们是不必要的且有害的。特朗普声称美国是唯一一个实行出生公民权的国家,这是一个谎言。特朗普政府将首先驱逐犯有罪行的无证移民,然后可能会扩大到其他无证移民,这将给民主党带来挑战。由于缺乏与移民来源国的遣返协议以及寻找和遣返移民的实际困难,特朗普政府的驱逐计划将面临诸多挑战。特朗普政府将面临寻找和遣返无证移民的巨大挑战,这需要地方警方的配合。民主党应该明确提出替代方案,即支持打击犯罪分子,但同时允许长期居住的无证移民获得公民身份。民主党应该利用特朗普的言论,要求其履行对“梦想者”的承诺。 特朗普: 特朗普认为一月六日事件委员会成员应该入狱,但他表示不会指示卡什·帕特尔对他们进行调查。特朗普的言论体现了法西斯主义倾向。特朗普在采访中前后矛盾,一方面表示不干预调查,另一方面又强烈要求将一月六日事件委员会成员送入监狱。宪法保障立法者免受行政部门的干扰。特朗普选择卡什·帕特尔和帕姆·邦迪担任职务,是因为他们会主动打击他的敌人。特朗普可能真的不想进行调查,但他一旦被激怒,就会失去控制。卡什·帕特尔和帕姆·邦迪可能会利用特朗普的言论,对他的政治对手进行调查和起诉。特朗普在采访中对丽兹·切尼的攻击可能是为了诱导拜登进行赦免。特朗普容易被激怒,特别是当提到丽兹·切尼和2020年大选时。拜登应该考虑对一月六日事件委员会成员和调查特朗普的人员进行预防性赦免。对相关人员进行赦免比事后补救更好。特朗普计划在就职第一天赦免一月六日事件的抗议者和暴动者。公众对赦免一月六日事件参与者的支持率较低,民主党应该利用这一事实进行反击。民主党应该突出特朗普赦免的暴力犯罪者的具体案例,以激起公众的反感。公众普遍反对赦免一月六日事件的暴动者。特朗普对袭击警察者的态度前后矛盾。特朗普对自身支持者的犯罪行为表现出宽容。特朗普赦免哪些人将是一个重要的问题,如果他赦免了袭击警察的人,将会引发持续的争议。民主党应该利用特朗普赦免暴力犯罪者这一事实进行攻击。特朗普的经济计划包括延长对富人有利的减税政策,以及可能提高最低工资,但对关税的影响不确定。特朗普的优先事项是为富人减税和释放袭击警察的人,民主党应该以此为攻击点。2017年特朗普减税政策并没有带来就业增长,反而使大型制药公司节省了数十亿美元的税款。2017年特朗普减税政策对富人有利,而对穷人几乎没有好处,这与民粹主义背道而驰。民主党应该突出那些从减税中获益的富人和大型企业,以反驳共和党的宣传。共和党可能会将减税政策包装成中产阶级减税,民主党应该揭露其真相。每次企业因关税而涨价,民主党都应该大肆宣传。民主党应该强调特朗普违背了其降低生活成本的承诺。民主党不应该责备那些投票给特朗普的人。企业利用关税涨价,这表明富人和大型企业正在合谋提高物价。特朗普对医疗保健改革的态度不明确,他既想为自己对《平价医疗法案》的贡献邀功,又不想再次触及这一敏感话题。特朗普表示自己有更好的医疗保健计划,但不反对疫苗,但对某些疫苗表示怀疑。特朗普对医疗政策的关注可能不如他对奥巴马的仇恨。特朗普声称自己让《平价医疗法案》发挥作用,但这并不属实,他曾试图破坏该法案。目前没有足够的政治意愿来废除《平价医疗法案》,但共和党可能会削减医疗补助计划的资金。共和党可能会利用预算案削减医疗保健项目,以支付减税的费用。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What is Donald Trump's stance on birthright citizenship?

Trump wants to end birthright citizenship for children of undocumented immigrants, despite it being guaranteed by the 14th Amendment of the Constitution. He has suggested using an executive order to attempt this, though it is likely unconstitutional.

How does Trump plan to handle deportations of undocumented immigrants?

Trump's plan includes starting with immigrants who have committed crimes in the U.S., but will extend to include long-term undocumented immigrants with jobs, families, and no criminal record. He aims to use the military for deportations if local authorities refuse to cooperate.

What is Trump's position on the Dreamers?

Trump has expressed a more compassionate stance on the Dreamers, acknowledging their contributions and suggesting he wants to work with Democrats to find a solution for them. However, his broader immigration agenda includes mass deportations and ending birthright citizenship.

What are Trump's priorities for his second term in terms of economics?

Trump's top economic priorities include extending the Trump tax cuts, which primarily benefit the wealthy, and implementing tariffs that could raise prices for consumers. He is less enthusiastic about raising the minimum wage.

What is Trump's plan for healthcare reform?

Trump wants to repeal the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and replace it with a plan that he claims will be better, though he did not provide specifics. He also expressed skepticism about certain vaccines, aligning with RFK Jr.'s views, which could lead to public health policy changes.

What is Trump's stance on pardons for January 6th rioters?

Trump plans to issue pardons for January 6th rioters on his first day in office. He believes those who participated in the Capitol attack committed a major crime and should not have pled guilty under pressure.

How does Trump view his political enemies?

Trump believes members of the January 6th committee, including Liz Cheney, should go to jail for their actions. However, he claims he will not direct investigations into them, leaving it to officials like Kash Patel to decide.

What does the fall of Assad's regime in Syria mean for Tulsi Gabbard's nomination?

The fall of Assad's regime highlights concerns about Tulsi Gabbard's past meetings with Assad and her controversial views on Syria. Critics argue her history of defending Assad and questioning his use of chemical weapons raises questions about her fitness for the role of Director of National Intelligence.

What is the public's reaction to the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson?

The public reaction has been mixed, with some celebrating the murder and others criticizing the celebration. Social media reactions included 75,000 laughing emojis on Facebook, reflecting widespread frustration with the healthcare system and insurance companies.

What is Trump's new fragrance called and what does it represent?

Trump's new fragrance is called 'Fight, Fight, Fight.' It is marketed as a symbol of winning, strength, and success, aimed at both men and women who want to 'smell like a winner.'

Shownotes Transcript

Donald Trump sits down for his first big interview since winning the election and unveils his plans for mass deportations, pardons for January 6th rioters, and revenge against his political enemies. Jon, Lovett, and Tommy explains what they’re watching for when his second term begins, the social media frenzy over the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, and how the end of Syria’s dictator Bashar Assad’s regime could impact Tulsi Gabbard’s nomination for Director of National Intelligence. Oh, and just in time for the holidays, Trump is launching a new fragrance: Fight, Fight, Fight—the perfect gift for anyone who wants to smell like grievance and power!