cover of episode The Voters Who Can Make or Break the Election

The Voters Who Can Make or Break the Election

2024/11/4
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A
Aaron Zittner
A
Arian Campo-Flores
B
Belle Lin
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Aaron Zittner: 我关注到大约三分之一的选民每年都不一样,因为许多人并非每次选举都投票。真正需要争取的是那些并非每次都投票的人群,他们虽然倾向于某个政党,但尚未决定是否投票。这些选民可以分为几类,他们对投票的参与度不同,但总人数非常庞大。几乎所有这些选民都倾向于某个政党,他们并非对候选人没有决定,而是对是否投票犹豫不决。因此,竞选活动需要找出那些倾向于自己候选人的选民,并在最后几天努力争取他们。如果只有习惯性投票的人投票,卡马拉·哈里斯很可能会获胜;而唐纳德·特朗普需要争取那些不经常投票的人来弥补差距。习惯性投票者主要通过传统媒体获取新闻,而那些不经常投票的人则更多地依赖网络,因此竞选活动也相应地调整了策略,更多地利用数字媒体进行宣传,例如通过YouTube上的定向广告等方式。 Tracie Hunte: 根据报道,在2024年美国总统大选中,候选人正在努力争取那些并非每次都参加投票的边缘选民。这些选民的投票行为并不稳定,对选举结果具有重大影响。竞选活动正在利用数字媒体等方式,有针对性地接触这些选民,试图影响他们的投票决定。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are Kamala Harris and Donald Trump focusing on occasional voters?

Occasional voters make up over 25% of the electorate and are undecided on whether to vote, not whom to vote for. They lean towards one party but need motivation to vote, making them crucial for closing gaps in the election.

How do the campaigns reach occasional voters?

Campaigns use digital outreach, such as targeted ads on streaming platforms like YouTube, rather than traditional media like cable TV, to reach occasional voters who are more likely to consume news online.

Why is there tension between older and newer Venezuelan immigrants in the U.S.?

The tension stems from a class divide; older Venezuelan immigrants are often affluent professionals who fled authoritarianism, while newer arrivals include poorer migrants fleeing extreme poverty, leading to feelings of resentment and wariness among the established community.

What is Russia suspected of planning regarding U.S.-bound planes?

Russia is suspected of plotting to place incendiary devices on cargo and passenger aircraft bound for the U.S. and Canada, as part of an expanding sabotage campaign against Washington and its allies.

How are U.S. semiconductor companies responding to Washington's directives on China?

U.S. semiconductor companies like Applied Materials and Lam Research are seeking alternatives to components sourced from China to comply with Washington's directives aimed at suppressing China's involvement in sensitive next-generation technology.

Chapters
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are targeting occasional voters, who are undecided on whether they will vote rather than who to vote for. These voters can significantly impact the election outcome.
  • Occasional voters account for over 25% of the voter pool.
  • They lean towards one party but are undecided on voting.
  • Campaigns use digital outreach and targeted ads to motivate them.

Shownotes Transcript

P.M. Edition for Nov. 4. WSJ reporter Aaron Zitner) discusses how Kamala Harris and Donald Trump hope to reach the elusive, occasional voters). And Venezuelan-Americans who arrived in the country years ago haven’t exactly been welcoming to newer Venezuelan arrivals). The Journal’s Arian Campo-Flores) tells us why. Plus, Russia is suspected) of plotting to place incendiary devices on aircraft bound for North America. Tracie Hunte hosts.

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