cover of episode If Abortion Access Wins on the Ballot, Will Democrats?

If Abortion Access Wins on the Ballot, Will Democrats?

2024/11/4
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Ken Thomas
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Laura Casisto
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Luke Vargas
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Michelle Hackman
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Michelle Hackman:本届中期选举,性别成为决定选民投票行为的关键因素。特朗普专注争取男性选民,哈里斯则侧重争取温和及独立女性选民。堕胎问题是影响女性选民投票的重要因素,哈里斯的竞选策略也围绕此展开。特朗普通过参加男性感兴趣的活动,例如运动赛事和播客节目,来争取男性选民的支持。 Ken Thomas:哈里斯利用选民对国家发展方向的担忧和通货膨胀问题来争取选民支持。特朗普的高负面评价和一些不当言论使其难以扩大选民基础。哈里斯的团队认为她在经济问题上缩小了与特朗普的差距,而特朗普的团队则认为其在白宫的工作表现是关键指标。 Luke Vargas:除了总统选举,堕胎权利问题也在多个州的公投中成为焦点。 Laura Casisto:自罗诉韦德案被推翻以来,所有涉及堕胎的公投都以支持堕胎权利一方获胜告终,这表明反对堕胎的阵营低估了公众的反对情绪。佛罗里达州的公投结果将对美国南部地区的堕胎获取产生重大影响。堕胎问题与总统选举密切相关,但并非所有支持堕胎权利的选民都会投票给民主党候选人。共和党在堕胎问题上的信息传递存在分歧。 Michelle Hackman: 本届中期选举,性别成为决定选民投票行为的关键因素。特朗普专注争取男性选民,哈里斯则侧重争取温和及独立女性选民。堕胎问题是影响女性选民投票的重要因素,哈里斯的竞选策略也围绕此展开。特朗普通过参加男性感兴趣的活动,例如运动赛事和播客节目,来争取男性选民的支持。 Ken Thomas: 哈里斯利用选民对国家发展方向的担忧和通货膨胀问题来争取选民支持。特朗普的高负面评价和一些不当言论使其难以扩大选民基础。哈里斯的团队认为她在经济问题上缩小了与特朗普的差距,而特朗普的团队则认为其在白宫的工作表现是关键指标。 Luke Vargas: 除了总统选举,堕胎权利问题也在多个州的公投中成为焦点。 Laura Casisto: 自罗诉韦德案被推翻以来,所有涉及堕胎的公投都以支持堕胎权利一方获胜告终,这表明反对堕胎的阵营低估了公众的反对情绪。佛罗里达州的公投结果将对美国南部地区的堕胎获取产生重大影响。堕胎问题与总统选举密切相关,但并非所有支持堕胎权利的选民都会投票给民主党候选人。共和党在堕胎问题上的信息传递存在分歧。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are abortion rights supporters likely to win in several states on the ballot?

Polling data and fundraising data indicate strong support for abortion rights measures, with supporters outraising opponents by significant margins in some states.

How has the issue of abortion influenced the presidential race?

Abortion has become a key issue, particularly for female voters, with Kamala Harris heavily emphasizing it and using female surrogates to appeal to this demographic.

What are the key states to watch for abortion-related ballot measures?

Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Missouri, and South Dakota are critical states where the outcomes could significantly impact abortion access and political dynamics.

How do anti-abortion candidates and activists plan to counter the pro-abortion rights momentum?

They are attempting to frame the measures as extreme and unlawful, but face challenges in getting widespread support from Republican leaders.

What are the potential implications of a Trump presidency on abortion access?

Trump could potentially roll back access to mail-order abortion pills, which would significantly impact access across the country, even without a full ban.

What is the significance of Florida's abortion measure in the broader context?

Florida had one of the highest numbers of abortions before its six-week ban, and restoring access could shift the landscape significantly, especially in the South.

How has fundraising influenced the abortion rights ballot measures?

Pro-abortion rights groups have outraised their opponents by a significant margin, suggesting strong financial backing and momentum.

What is the potential long-term impact of these ballot measures on abortion access?

If successful, these measures could reshape abortion access in the U.S., particularly in conservative states, making it more difficult for strict abortion laws to be passed.

Chapters
The podcast discusses the potential impact of abortion rights measures on the ballot and whether they can translate to wins for Democrats in other races.
  • Ten states are set to vote on abortion rights measures.
  • Polling and fundraising data suggest abortion rights supporters are likely to win.
  • The issue of abortion is intertwined with the presidential race, but not necessarily in a straightforward manner.

Shownotes Transcript

A.M. Edition for Nov. 4. Ten states are set to vote) on whether to restore constitutional protections for abortion tomorrow. Those efforts are polling well, but the WSJ’s Laura Kusisto) says it’s not clear whether that will translate to wins for Democrats elsewhere on the ballot. Plus, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tailor their closing arguments) to men and women in a race defined by a stark gender gap. And oil prices rise after Iran warns of a stronger response) to Israel’s latest attack. Luke Vargas hosts.

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