Sullivan argued that U.S. politicians, both Republicans and Democrats, were not effectively leading on foreign policy, leading to frequent miscalculations and unpreparedness for potential conflicts.
The meeting was significant as it was a rare face-to-face encounter between the two leaders, but it failed to address the looming threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, which Putin had already decided to pursue.
The chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 was seen by Putin as a sign of American weakness and fecklessness, emboldening him to proceed with the invasion of Ukraine.
Sullivan noted that Trump viewed international relationships purely from a transactional economic standpoint, similar to Putin, which led to an undisciplined and unconventional foreign policy.
The Russian government devoted significant resources to annoy, provoke, criticize, frustrate, embarrass, and compromise Sullivan, reflecting their view of the U.S. as an enemy.
The Russian Orthodox Church became an instrument of the Kremlin under Putin, promoting Russian nationalism and supporting the regime's goals.
Sanctions were necessary to hold Russia accountable for actions like election interference, cyberattacks, and assassinations, even if they did not directly influence Russia's military actions in Ukraine.
Sullivan believed that a second Trump term could lead to reduced U.S. support for Ukraine, potentially resulting in Ukrainian capitulation to Russia's demands.
Sullivan described the Russian economy as facing significant inflation and economic strain due to heavy spending on the war effort and defense industrial base, similar to the U.S. economy in the 1970s.
Sullivan criticized the UN as being ineffective and toothless, citing its inability to prevent Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the UN Secretary General's interactions with Putin.
John J. Sullivan, a former State Department official and U.S. ambassador, says yes: “Our politicians aren’t leading — Republicans or Democrats.” He gives a firsthand account of a fateful Biden-Putin encounter, talks about his new book Midnight in Moscow, and predicts what a second Trump term means for Russia, Ukraine, China — and the U.S.
SOURCES:
John Sullivan), former U.S. Deputy Secretary of State and former U.S. Ambassador to Russia.
RESOURCES:
Midnight in Moscow: A Memoir from the Front Lines of Russia's War Against the West,)* *by John Sullivan (2024).
"The ‘Deathonomics’ Powering Russia’s War Machine)," by Georgi Kantchev and Matthew Luxmoore (*The Wall Street Journal, *2024).
War)*, *by Bob Woodward (2024).
"On the Record: The U.S. Administration’s Actions on Russia)," by Alina Polyakova and Filippos Letsas (*Brookings, *2019).
"Why Economic Sanctions Still Do Not Work)," by Robert A. Pape (*International Security, *1998).
EXTRAS:
"The Suddenly Diplomatic Rahm Emanuel)," by *Freakonomics Radio *(2023).