Caleb Williams has a high sack rate of 11%, which is partly due to the Bears' offensive line, but also his tendency to stay in the pocket longer than necessary. He has a 31% pressure-to-sack rate, indicating that not all sacks can be attributed to the line. His stubbornness in progressing through reads and reluctance to throw into tighter windows contribute to his struggles.
Positives include his arm strength, accuracy, and ability to handle protections like a veteran. Negatives include his hesitancy to pull the trigger on throws, taking too many sacks, and sometimes trying to make plays too clean for himself. The Bears' disorganized offense and poor surroundings have also hindered his development.
Jayden Daniels has been impressive, ranking 7th in EPA per dropback and 10th in dropback success rate. He has a strong connection with Terry McLaurin and shows good football IQ. However, he has a high scramble rate when pressured, which raises concerns about long-term viability. He also needs to improve his aggressiveness outside of go-balls and his pocket presence under pressure.
Drake Maye has had to operate in a challenging environment with a poor offensive line and limited talent around him. Despite this, he has shown consistency, ranking 18th in EPA per dropback and 13th in dropback success rate. His ability to scramble and make plays under pressure has been a bright spot, but the lack of reliable pass catchers limits his deep ball opportunities.
Bo Nix's standout quality is his willingness to push the ball down the middle of the field, especially against cover-2 defenses. He has a strong connection with Cortland Sutton and has shown impressive arm strength and accuracy on intermediate routes. However, he can be skittish in the pocket and struggles with decision-making under pressure.
The rookie receiver class has had mixed results. While some top picks like Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, and Ladd McConkey have shown promise, others like Xavier Worthy and Jermaine Burton have been inconsistent. The class has been affected by poor quarterback play and crowded receiver rooms, making it difficult for some players to stand out.
Brock Bowers has been one of the best pass-catching tight ends this season, ranking in the top five in most statistical categories for rookie tight ends. He has been used creatively in the Raiders' offense, often serving as a deep route option while Michael Mayer handles the underneath routes. His versatility and pass-catching ability have been key highlights.
Several offensive linemen have impressed, including Joe Alt (Chargers), Chase Latham (Titans), Zach Frazier (Steelers), and Graham Barton (Bucs). These players have shown potential as starters and have contributed to improved run games and pass protection for their teams. The class has been one of the most impressive among rookies this year.
Chop Robinson (Dolphins) has emerged as a strong pass rusher, recording 20 pressures since Week 11. Quinion Mitchell (Bengals) has been excellent in zone coverage, and Malik Mustafa (49ers) has been a fun player to watch as a safety. Other notable defenders include Austin Booker (Bears) and Jonah Ellis (Broncos).
In this episode of Football 301, Nate Tice and Matt Harmon take a deep dive into the 2024 NFL rookie class, breaking down the highs, lows, and everything in between. From quarterbacks like Caleb Williams, whose start with the Chicago Bears has been filled with ups and downs, to offensive lineman like Joe Alt, the guys evaluate how these rookies are performing and what we can expect moving forward.
Nate and Matt analyze Caleb Williams’ struggles with pressure and sacks in Chicago, acknowledging that the Bears’ disastrous season makes it hard to fully evaluate him. Meanwhile, Jayden Daniels has been a revelation for the Washington Commanders, impressing with his football IQ and his blossoming connection with Terry McLaurin. Nate and Matt also dive into the impressive start from Drake Maye, despite a lack of talent around him, and Bo Nix, who’s been aggressive with the deep ball but still has room to improve his pocket presence.
The guys also look at the receiver class, noting that while Ladd McConkey has been the most consistent performer, it’s still early for many of the top draft picks. Despite some growing pains, they remain cautiously optimistic about the potential of late-round guys like Xavier Worthy and some slot receivers who haven’t quite hit their stride yet.
Additionally, the guys highlight standout rookies at tight end, including Brock Bowers, who’s already making waves in the Las Vegas Raiders’ offense, and the impressive rookie offensive linemen, including JC Latham and Zach Frazier, who are living up to their first-round billing. The duo finish up with some rapid fire shoutouts on the defensive side of the ball.
(3:50) - Caleb Williams
(15:40) - Jayden Daniels
(26:20) - Drake Maye
(36:15) - Bo Nix
(48:45) - Wide receivers
(1:03:35) - Tight ends
(1:08:20) - Running backs
(1:13:00) - Offensive line
(1:22:50) - Defense
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