cover of episode Boz and Effect

Boz and Effect

2019/12/20
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The Information's 411

People
A
Alex Heath
K
Kevin McLaughlin
N
Nick Bastone
Topics
Alex Heath: Facebook对AR/VR的投资巨大,拥有数千名员工和数十亿美元的年度投资。这源于对未来计算平台的预测和对失去控制权的担忧,他们希望避免重蹈移动时代依赖苹果和谷歌的覆辙。Facebook选择Andrew Bosworth领导AR/VR项目,因为他曾在Facebook移动广告变现的关键时期发挥了重要作用。Facebook积极收购AR/VR相关公司,显示其在硬件领域的巨大投资意愿,Oculus Quest表现超出预期,为Facebook的AR发展提供了技术积累。Facebook将AR作为硬件领域的优先方向,旨在控制未来计算平台,并正在从操作系统层面构建AR/VR生态系统。Facebook主动对外公布其AR/VR投资和高管信息,意在提升行业地位和吸引人才。Facebook预计在未来三到五年内推出AR眼镜,早期采用者将首先体验。 Nick Bastone & Kevin McLaughlin: Google内部曾讨论过退出云计算市场,但最终被否决。Google Cloud的成立时间比许多人意识到的要早,但直到2014年才真正开始全力以赴地挑战市场领导者。Google Cloud落后于竞争对手的原因之一是缺乏企业级经验和销售人才。Google Cloud要在五年内超越微软和亚马逊,除非进行重大收购,否则几乎不可能。Google Cloud的进展缓慢,令公司内部其他部门感到沮丧。外界对Google Cloud的担忧源于Google此前关闭产品的记录。Google Cloud需要解决Alphabet内部的业务问题,并证明其盈利能力,才能在云计算市场获得更大的份额。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Facebook heavily investing in AR and VR technologies?

Facebook is investing heavily in AR and VR to avoid repeating its late adoption of mobile technology, which caused an existential crisis for the company. They aim to control the next major computing platform shift, potentially replacing mobile dominance with AR and VR. Mark Zuckerberg and other leaders believe this is the future, and they are spending billions annually to develop hardware and software for these technologies.

What lessons from the mobile era are influencing Facebook's AR and VR strategy?

Facebook's late adoption of mobile technology taught them the importance of early platform control. They now aim to be pioneers in AR and VR to avoid being at the mercy of other companies, as they are with Apple and Google in the mobile space. This drives their aggressive investments and acquisitions in AR and VR hardware and software.

What acquisitions has Facebook made to advance its AR and VR ambitions?

Facebook has acquired Control Labs, a mind-reading technology startup, for nearly $1 billion, and considered buying Fitbit and Cirrus Logic, a chipmaker. These acquisitions highlight their focus on developing input mechanisms, wearables, and hardware components for AR and VR devices.

How successful has Facebook's Oculus been in the VR market?

Oculus has performed better than expected, with Facebook selling every unit it can produce. The Oculus Quest, released in 2019, is a cordless, standalone device with features like six degrees of freedom and hand tracking, making VR more accessible and functional. Despite VR's niche status, Facebook remains a leader in the space due to continued investment.

Why is AR considered the long-term priority for Facebook over VR?

AR is seen as the next major computing platform, with potential to overlay virtual objects onto the real world. Facebook has shifted its focus to AR, dedicating hundreds of engineers to developing AR glasses. Mark Zuckerberg and other leaders believe AR will eventually replace mobile as the dominant platform, and they aim to control this shift.

What challenges does Facebook face in recruiting talent for its hardware initiatives?

Facebook's reputation for privacy issues and data collection makes it challenging to recruit top talent, especially from companies like Apple. Despite being a major player, they are seen as an underdog in the AR and VR race, which complicates efforts to attract experienced hardware engineers and developers.

When are AR glasses expected to become mainstream?

AR glasses are expected to reach early adopters within five years, with Facebook and Apple targeting 2023 for their first releases. The technology is projected to become more accessible and functional by then, appealing to tech-savvy users and knowledge workers.

Why did Google consider exiting the cloud market in 2018?

In 2018, Google discussed exiting the cloud market due to its third-place position behind Amazon and Microsoft. However, the idea was dismissed, and Google Cloud remains committed to becoming a top player by 2023. The discussion highlights the challenges Google faces in competing with established cloud leaders.

What is Google's strategy to compete with Amazon and Microsoft in cloud computing?

Google aims to become a top-two cloud provider by 2023, focusing on enterprise sales and marketing. They have hired experienced professionals from companies like VMware and Oracle to build enterprise expertise. However, without a major acquisition, it is unlikely they will surpass Amazon or Microsoft in the near term.

What cultural challenges does Google face in its cloud business?

Google's cloud business struggles with a lack of enterprise DNA, as the company is traditionally consumer-focused. Shifting to enterprise sales and long-term contracts has caused internal friction, particularly among teams accustomed to building consumer products like Gmail. This cultural shift is a significant hurdle for Google Cloud.

Chapters
This chapter explores Facebook's significant investments in AR/VR, driven by a desire to avoid repeating past mobile mistakes. It details the scale of their commitment—thousands of employees, billions in spending—and examines key acquisitions like Control Labs and near misses like Fitbit and Cirrus Logic.
  • Facebook's $2 billion Oculus acquisition marked a shift towards hardware.
  • Thousands of employees and billions of dollars are invested in AR/VR.
  • Facebook aims to avoid past mobile platform adoption mistakes.
  • Oculus Quest headset is considered a successful product, exceeding expectations.

Shownotes Transcript

Alex dives into Facebook's massive hardware plans in AR and VR and the executive, Andrew "Boz" Bosworth, who's heading the endeavor. Nick and Kevin talk about Google Cloud and the long-shot effort to beat Amazon and Microsoft.