cover of episode Outcomes of China’s Third Plenum: A Conversation with Scott Kennedy

Outcomes of China’s Third Plenum: A Conversation with Scott Kennedy

2024/8/1
logo of podcast ChinaPower

ChinaPower

People
B
Bonnie Lin
S
Scott Kennedy
Topics
斯科特·肯尼迪认为,中国共产党第三中全会延续了既定路线,未采取激进的经济措施。他强调,中共的国家主义方法可能会给解决国内问题带来更多挑战。他还讨论了中国国家安全与经济进步之间的联系,以及中国转向高科技发展以增强韧性、减少对外依赖。肯尼迪预测,未来两年的中国经济增长率将在3%到5%之间。 邦妮·林就中国共产党第三中全会的主要内容和习近平提出的优先事项,以及中国如何应对当前经济逆风等问题,对斯科特·肯尼迪进行了访谈。她还探讨了美国专家对这次会议的看法,以及中国能否维持其雄心勃勃的对外政策和国防开支等问题。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Scott Kennedy joins us to discuss the major themes from China's long-anticipated Third Plenum and what it signaled for China’s economic trajectory in the coming decade. Dr. Kennedy highlights the continuity that the Third Plenum presented, with no drastic economic measures introduced. However, he underscores the idea that Chinese leadership’s statist approach may pose additional challenges in addressing domestic issues. Dr. Kennedy also discusses China’s linkage between national security and economic progress and its shift toward high-tech development to build resilience and decrease foreign reliance. Finally, Dr. Kennedy provides predictions on where China’s economic growth will be in the next two years. 

Dr. Scott Kennedy is senior adviser and Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). A leading authority on Chinese economic policy and U.S.-China commercial relations, Dr. Kennedy has traveled to China for 36 years. Ongoing focuses include China’s innovation drive, Chinese industrial policy, U.S.-China relations, and global economic governance. His articles have appeared in a wide array of publications, including the *New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, *and China Quarterly. Kennedy hosts the China Field Notes podcast, featuring on-the-ground voices from China, and the Trustee Chair co-runs the Big Data China initiative, which introduces pathbreaking scholarly research to the policy community.