Deep Dive
Why was President Yoon Suk-hyol impeached?
Yoon was impeached for his failed attempt to impose martial law, which sparked mass protests and led to a second impeachment vote where 12 of his own lawmakers broke ranks, meeting the two-thirds threshold required for impeachment.
What is the next step in the impeachment process?
The impeachment case will now go to the Constitutional Court, which has 180 days to decide whether to uphold or overturn the impeachment. During this time, Yoon is suspended from his presidential duties, and Prime Minister Han Duk-soo is acting president.
How long could the impeachment process take?
The process could take up to eight months, but previous impeachment cases in South Korea were resolved within two to three months. The court may aim to rule before two justices' terms expire in April.
What are the potential outcomes of the Constitutional Court's decision?
If the court upholds the impeachment, new presidential elections must be held within 60 days. If the court overturns the impeachment, Yoon will be reinstated as president.
What challenges does South Korea face during Yoon's suspension?
South Korea faces challenges such as potential tariffs from the U.S. under Trump's administration and increased military costs, which could strain relations without a stable leadership in place.
Who is likely to win the next presidential election if it is held?
Left-leaning opposition leader Lee Jae-myung is considered the favorite to win, having narrowly lost to Yoon in the 2022 election. However, his eligibility to run is uncertain due to a recent conviction for violating electoral law.
How did South Koreans respond to Yoon's martial law attempt?
South Koreans mobilized quickly and effectively, with lawmakers bypassing military barriers, protesters facing down soldiers, and citizens continuing protests using tactics like K-pop light sticks and funeral flowers.
What is Ground News, and how does it help with media bias?
Ground News is a platform that aggregates news stories from various sources, providing a visual breakdown of political bias, factuality, and ownership. It helps users understand how different outlets report on the same story and tracks personal news consumption habits.
- President Yoon Suk-hyol impeached by the National Assembly
- Impeachment follows failed attempt to impose martial law
- Two-thirds threshold met due to support from within Yoon's party
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https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/south-koreas-constitutional-court-decide-impeached-presidents-fate-2024-12-14/ https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20241216002352315?section=national/politics
https://www.reuters.com/markets/south-korean-trade-minister-sees-firms-investing-more-us-if-trump-imposes-2024-11-06/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-15/yoon-s-fall-gives-nemesis-surprise-path-back-to-lead-south-korea https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2024/12/113_388495.html https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20241215-south-korea-s-yoon-impeached-what-happens-next
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/dec/12/south-korea-martial-law-protests-k-pop-and-glow-sticks https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-protesters-photo-gallery-yoon-b17f96063a2635ebc87f35ed9ab5ac5b https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2024/12/113_388213.html</context> <raw_text>0 本视频由Ground News提供。上周六，韩国总统尹锡悦被国会弹劾，这是在他两周前试图实施戒严失败后，发生的一系列戏剧性事件中的最新进展。因此，在本视频中，我们将解释弹劾的过程、接下来会发生什么，以及为什么韩国的政治动荡还将持续一段时间。
在开始之前，如果你还没有，请考虑订阅并按铃，以便及时了解我们发布的新视频。
我们将从一些非常简短的背景开始，但如果你想了解更多，可以查看我们关于整个事件的第一部视频。链接在描述中。简而言之，在12月3日星期二的深夜，尹总统宣布他将对国家实施戒严，这是自四十年前军事统治结束以来的第一次。他谴责反对派控制的国会对政府官员的多次弹劾尝试和预算阻挠。
作为他震惊举动的辩解。抗议活动很快爆发，军队被部署以试图阻止立法者推翻尹的声明。足够的立法者聚集在一起，他们迅速投票撤销戒严，并在宣布戒严后的六小时内，失败的尹被迫解除命令。第一次弹劾尹的尝试失败，因为来自他保守的人民力量党的立法者没有足够的人反水。
然而，随着大规模抗议活动在接下来的一周持续进行，而尹拒绝辞职，上周六又举行了一次弹劾投票。当尹的12名立法者反水时，达到了三分之二的门槛，尹被弹劾。但这次弹劾投票远非终点，这场政治动荡还将持续一段时间。那么接下来会怎样？
现在，问题将提交给宪法法院，法院必须在180天内决定是否维持弹劾。在法院审理期间，尹将被暂停总统的权力和职责。
韩国总理韩德洙现在代行总统职务。如果法院推翻弹劾，尹将被恢复职务。然而，如果法院维持弹劾，必须在裁决后的60天内举行新的总统选举。因此，整个过程可能会持续长达八个月，尽管有一些因素表明时间表可能会更短。
首先，在韩国之前的两起弹劾案件中，法院的行动相对迅速。2017年，法院在三个月后维持了对朴槿惠的弹劾。而在2004年，法院在两个月后推翻了对卢武铉总统的弹劾。
其次，由于目前法院的九个席位中只有六个被填补，其中两名法官的任期将在四月到期，路透社报道法律专家预测法院可能会在这些任期到期之前作出裁决。要维持弹劾，九名法官中需要有六名投票支持。因此，只有六名法官在职的情况下，必须由这六名法官一致决定维持尹的弹劾。
现在，对于法院如何以及是否会继续进行弹劾审判，曾经存在一些不确定性，因为有三个空缺席位。然而，周一，法院表示尽管有空缺，仍然可以开始审判，并将于12月27日安排第一次听证会。
国会也表示将迅速采取行动填补空缺，目标是在年底之前完成填补职位的过程。尽管如此，独立于这一宪法程序之外，尹还因叛乱和滥用职权而受到刑事调查，这可能比弹劾更具直接威胁。
无论如何，在我们讨论如果弹劾被维持可能会发生什么之前，让我们看看韩国的近期未来，这看起来相当动荡。从纯粹的时间角度来看，现在正是总统被暂停并由临时代理人取代的糟糕时机。像几乎所有其他国家一样，尤其是作为美国的关键盟友，韩国正在努力应对唐纳德·特朗普的回归。