cover of episode Russian general assassinated by Ukraine: is Putin at risk?

Russian general assassinated by Ukraine: is Putin at risk?

2024/12/17
logo of podcast World in 10

World in 10

People
H
Hamish de Bretton-Gordon
Topics
Alex Stibble和James Hansen:报道了俄罗斯将军伊戈尔·基里洛夫在莫斯科遇刺事件,乌克兰安全局声称对此负责,认为基里洛夫是战犯。事件发生在莫斯科市中心,一枚炸弹绑在停放在附近的电动滑板车上爆炸。此次暗杀是自乌克兰战争开始以来,被暗杀的级别最高的俄罗斯官员。克里姆林宫官员表示,乌克兰将面临报复。 Hamish de Bretton-Gordon: 基里洛夫将军是俄罗斯核生化部队负责人,在萨里索尔比毒气袭击事件和叙利亚化学武器袭击事件中扮演关键角色。他和谢尔久科夫将军共同制定了攻击平民基础设施的策略。基里洛夫将军还是普京的亲信和发言人,此次暗杀事件发生在克里姆林宫附近,对克里姆林宫造成了巨大冲击,可能让普京感到不安。暗杀行动的复杂性表明,其策划和执行需要数周甚至数月的时间。乌克兰能够在克里姆林宫附近成功实施暗杀,这引发了人们对普京安全的担忧,也凸显了俄罗斯缺乏可靠的外部安全支持。克里姆林宫的报复可能包括发射更多导弹袭击平民目标。最后,Hamish de Bretton-Gordon 指出,俄罗斯非法使用化学武器,需要英国和北约加强CBIRN防御,并强调乌克兰军队缺乏足够的防毒面具。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why was General Igor Kirillov a prime target for Ukraine?

Kirillov was the head of Russia's nuclear, biological, and chemical protection troops, responsible for ordering chemical attacks on Ukrainian soldiers. He was also linked to the Novichok attack in Salisbury and the development of tactics targeting civilian infrastructure in Syria and Ukraine, making him a key figure in Russia's offensive strategy.

How was General Kirillov assassinated?

A bomb strapped to a kick scooter exploded near Kirillov as he left his apartment. The bomb, containing up to 300 grams of TNT equivalent, was likely activated by a radio signal or a mobile phone call.

What is the significance of Kirillov's assassination for Putin?

Kirillov was one of Putin's closest and most trusted generals, involved in key operations like the Novichok attack and the development of Russia's offensive tactics. His assassination, carried out within spitting distance of the Kremlin, likely has Putin concerned about his own safety and the security of his inner circle.

How long might the assassination of Kirillov have been planned?

The operation likely took weeks, if not months, to plan, involving the placement of explosives on a scooter and precise timing to coincide with Kirillov's movements.

Could Vladimir Putin be at risk following Kirillov's assassination?

Putin is likely feeling vulnerable, as Russia's security apparatus failed to protect one of its most senior officials. With no strong allies to rely on, Putin may be increasingly concerned about his own safety.

What form might Russia's revenge for Kirillov's assassination take?

Russia may retaliate with missile attacks on civilian targets like schools and hospitals, or attempt to assassinate Ukrainian officials. However, their previous attempts to target Ukrainian leadership have been unsuccessful.

What can Ukraine's allies do to help counter Russia's chemical weapons threat?

Ukraine's allies can provide better gas masks and respirators to protect against chemical agents like chloropicrin. NATO and the UK also need to recognize the ongoing threat posed by Russia's chemical weapons capabilities and strengthen their defenses accordingly.

Shownotes Transcript

Ukraine has claimed responsibility for the assassination of a leading Russian general in Moscow. The former British Army officer and chemical weapons expert Hamish de Bretton-Gordon explains why Igor Kirillov was such a prime target for Ukraine and why Vladimir Putin will now be seriously worried about his own safety.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

Watch more: www.youtube.com/@ListenToTimesRadio 

Read more: www.thetimes.com) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy) for more information.