Ukraine is losing ground on all fronts, with Russia advancing in the Donbass and massing for an assault on Zaporizhia city. Russian airstrikes on Ukrainian electricity infrastructure are causing widespread blackouts and suffering, affecting morale. Politically, there's uncertainty with Trump's incoming administration and potential pressure on Ukraine to enter peace talks.
Ukraine fears that any ceasefire that lifts sanctions on Russia could allow Putin to regroup and attack again, similar to previous broken ceasefires since 2014. Zelensky insists on NATO membership as a security guarantee to prevent future invasions.
Some Ukrainians view Kellogg's appointment positively as he is familiar with the situation in Ukraine and not naive about Russian intentions. They hope he can help negotiate a peace deal that doesn't just benefit Russia and allow them to regroup.
The supply of ATAKOMs and Storm Shadow missiles has provided a significant morale boost to Ukrainian troops, particularly those in Kharkiv. These weapons offer new capabilities to strike Russian air bases and strategic targets further from the front line.
Foreign fighters, like a young Scottish lad, are attracted to the HARTIA Brigade because it operates under NATO command and control structures, offering a more democratic and organized approach to warfare. This method is seen as more respectful of soldiers' lives and more effective in combat.
Transitioning to a NATO-style command structure is challenging due to the ongoing war and the need to maintain operational effectiveness. The Ukrainian army is still based on Soviet doctrine, and changing this requires time and training, especially during active combat.
Winter conditions typically slow down military operations due to harsh, freezing conditions and the threat of FPV drones. However, the looming possibility of peace talks in January might prompt both sides to jockey for better positions before negotiations begin.
In this extended Frontline conversation, James Hanson speaks to Times man in Ukraine, Maxim Tucker, who analyses how the war is going from on the ground.
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