cover of episode 2024 analysed: Netanyahu's year

2024 analysed: Netanyahu's year

2024/12/26
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Gabrielle Weiniger
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James Hansen 和 Alex Dibble:2024年对内塔尼亚胡而言是充满事件的一年。他成功维持了脆弱的联合政府,并因暗杀哈马斯和真主党关键领导人而获得国内赞誉。然而,他同时也面临腐败指控和国际刑事法院发出的逮捕令。 Gabrielle Weiniger:尽管面临腐败指控和国际逮捕令,内塔尼亚胡在2024年的处境比年初要好得多。民调显示,他的支持率并没有大幅下降,他仍然可能赢得下次选举。他成功地削弱了真主党和伊朗,对叙利亚采取了先发制人的行动。然而,许多以色列民众,特别是那些家园被毁的人们,并不感到安全,他们认为冲突只是被暂时压制,而非真正解决。内塔尼亚胡未能归还所有被扣留在加沙的人质,部分原因是他不愿与哈马斯达成协议,以免危及其政府的稳定。他对国内腐败指控和国际逮捕令采取了回避态度,并试图将国际刑事法院的指控描述为反犹太主义的迫害。展望2025年,内塔尼亚胡的主要目标是继续执政,避免入狱,并可能寻求与美国合作打击伊朗。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What were the key challenges Benjamin Netanyahu faced in 2024?

Netanyahu faced significant challenges, including managing the aftermath of the October 2023 Hamas attacks, which resulted in 1,200 deaths and 240 kidnappings. He was also bogged down in conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon, with tens of thousands of Israelis evacuated from their homes. Additionally, he ended the year on trial for corruption and faced an International Criminal Court arrest warrant for alleged war crimes in Gaza.

How did Netanyahu's reputation as 'Mr. Security' change in 2024?

Netanyahu's reputation as 'Mr. Security' was severely undermined by the October 7th Hamas attacks. Despite Israel's success in targeting Hamas and Hezbollah leadership and weakening Iran, many Israelis, especially those displaced from the North and South, do not feel safer. They believe the conflicts are merely postponed, not resolved.

What is the status of the hostages still held in Gaza, and how has Netanyahu addressed this issue?

As of the end of 2024, 101 hostages remain in Gaza. Families of the hostages feel Netanyahu has not done enough to secure their release, and some believe he avoids deals with Hamas to maintain his hard-right coalition government. Despite several proposed deals, including one backed by Biden, Netanyahu has not acted, prioritizing his political position over the hostages' return.

How has Netanyahu responded to his domestic and international legal challenges?

Netanyahu has taken steps to avoid his domestic corruption trial, including relocating the court for safety reasons. He dismisses the International Criminal Court arrest warrant as anti-Semitic and denies allegations of war crimes in Gaza. He continues to focus on maintaining power and avoiding jail, while also tightening control over media and the Supreme Court.

What are Netanyahu's main objectives for 2025?

Netanyahu's primary goals for 2025 are to remain in power, avoid jail, and maintain a military presence in Gaza, potentially mirroring the occupation of the West Bank. He also hopes for U.S. support, particularly from Trump, for a joint Israeli-American attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, aiming to topple the Iranian regime.

Chapters
The year 2024 started with a devastating attack on Israel, leaving the country reeling from the scale of violence and casualties. Netanyahu's government faced immense challenges in dealing with the conflict, marked by the loss of lives and displacement of citizens. This unprecedented attack on multiple borders shocked the nation and the world.
  • Unprecedented attacks on Israel's borders from multiple fronts
  • 1200 people murdered, 240 kidnapped
  • Tens of thousands of Israeli citizens evacuated

Shownotes Transcript

What has 2024 meant for Benjamin Netanyahu? The Times' Israel Correspondent Gabrielle Weiniger joins us to assess the Israeli Prime Minister's year.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

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