Deep Dive
Why did the rebels in Syria manage to seize Damascus and oust President Bashar al-Assad?
The rebels, spearheaded by Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), launched a lightning advance that quickly seized Aleppo and then Damascus, ending five decades of Assad family rule. The Syrian army's disintegration and the rebels' strategic momentum played crucial roles.
How did the people of Damascus react to the rebel advance?
Initially, there was fear and uncertainty, with supermarkets emptying and people stocking up on essentials. When the rebels entered, there was widespread celebration, with gunfire and the toppling of Assad statues. Many were elated but also confused, with inmates being released from jails.
What immediate actions did the rebels take after seizing Damascus?
The rebels focused on restoring security and order, implementing a security plan to return life to normal. They also aimed to show they could function as a state, transitioning from a rebel group to a governing entity.
How does the fall of Damascus impact the regional balance of power in the Middle East?
Syria's fall disrupts Iran's axis of resistance, cutting off a key route for weapons transport to Hezbollah in Lebanon. This shift potentially alters the balance of power in the region, affecting Iran, Hezbollah, and other players.
What is the U.S. response to the fall of Damascus and the rise of HTS?
The U.S. is cautious, with HTS still designated as a terrorist group. President Biden aims to facilitate peace but faces challenges due to limited ties with HTS and other rebel groups. The U.S. plans to maintain its troop presence in eastern Syria.
What are the implications for U.S. troops in Syria after the fall of Damascus?
The U.S. plans to keep its 900 troops in eastern Syria, focusing on maintaining a geopolitical presence rather than securing chemical weapons. The future approach under President-elect Trump remains uncertain.
How have global markets reacted to the overthrow of the Syrian regime?
Markets have reacted relatively calmly, with modest increases in gold and oil prices. However, oil gains are limited by weak demand outlooks and OPEC+ production cuts.
What is the situation in South Korea and Taiwan regarding regional security?
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces calls to step down after a failed martial law attempt. Taiwan has raised its alert level due to increased Chinese military presence, with nearly 90 Navy and Coast Guard ships nearby.
- Rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) seized Damascus.
- Assad family rule ended after five decades.
- Initial chaos followed by efforts to restore order.
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