cover of episode NATO and Europe’s new ‘Cold War’

NATO and Europe’s new ‘Cold War’

2024/12/7
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Reuters World News

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Christopher Waljesper
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Sabine Siebold
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克里斯托弗·沃尔杰斯珀概述了俄罗斯在欧洲的破坏活动以及北约内部对支持乌克兰的意见分歧,并指出如果普京成功地将乌克兰降为附庸国,他不会就此止步,这将危及欧洲和跨大西洋的安全。他还提到了一个新的铁幕可能降临欧洲的时刻。 萨宾·西博尔德分析了德国和法国在协调北约内部不同利益方面的挑战,以及美国在北约中的作用。她指出,美国军事力量的重心转向亚洲,特别是中国,这使得欧洲国家需要更多地依靠自身防御能力,并增加国防开支。她还讨论了北约秘书长延斯·斯托尔滕贝格为保持美国参与而采取的措施,以及北约成员国为应对潜在的俄罗斯升级而做出的准备,包括在波罗的海国家和波兰部署多国战斗群。此外,她还详细阐述了俄罗斯发动的混合战争,包括网络攻击、宣传活动和破坏活动等,并分析了特朗普的潜在影响以及对北约稳定性的担忧。她还讨论了北约防空系统的差距以及当前局势类似于冷战时期的观点。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is NATO facing a new reality on the European continent?

Russian aggression and hybrid warfare tactics are forcing NATO members to confront heightened security threats.

How has the political landscape in Europe changed since the war in Ukraine began?

The war has led to increased defense spending and a more urgent NATO mandate, with 23 out of 32 allies now meeting the 2% military spending goal.

What challenges do Germany and France pose to NATO's unity?

Domestic political turmoil in both countries has weakened their ability to lead and realign NATO's diverse interests.

How are EU NATO members preparing for a potential second term of Donald Trump?

They are increasing defense investments and preparing to rely more on their own military capabilities due to the possibility of a scaled-back US presence.

What role does the US play in NATO's defense strategy?

The US is the dominant military power within NATO, providing the backbone of the alliance's defense capabilities and nuclear protection for many European countries.

How are Baltic states like Estonia and Latvia preparing for potential Russian escalation?

They have established multinational battle groups and are fortifying defenses, but face significant logistical challenges due to their geographical position.

What types of hybrid warfare are NATO nations currently facing?

NATO has reported increased cyber attacks, disinformation campaigns, arson attempts, and acts of sabotage, primarily attributed to Russia.

How is Russia responding to accusations of hybrid warfare?

Russia denies all accusations, claiming the West is gripped by Russophobia and unjustly blames Russia for various incidents.

What impact might Donald Trump's second term have on NATO?

There is concern over potential peace negotiations with Russia, which could allow Russia to regroup and strengthen its forces, and a possible shift in US focus towards Asia.

How has NATO's air defense capability evolved since the Cold War?

NATO scaled down air defense units after the Cold War, assuming a limited missile threat from non-peer adversaries. The invasion of Ukraine has highlighted gaps in this strategy.

Why does the launch of the Oreshnik missile pose a significant threat to NATO?

The Oreshnik missile's short flight time reduces warning and response time, making it difficult for NATO to discern its target and trajectory accurately.

Is Europe in a new Cold War, and why?

Yes, the resurgence of military threats, hybrid warfare, and the collapse of arms control treaties create an atmosphere similar to the Cold War, but with more immediate and direct threats.

Shownotes Transcript

As the war between Russia and Ukraine rages, trouble is brewing for NATO’s EU countries. Beyond Russia’s aggression, subtle acts of hybrid warfare are forcing divided NATO members to confront a new reality: is Europe in a new ‘Cold War?’ Senior European Security and Diplomatic correspondent Sabine Siebold joins the Reuters World News podcast to answer that question.

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