cover of episode Yahya Sinwar Rests in Pieces

Yahya Sinwar Rests in Pieces

2024/10/17
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Foreign Podicy
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C
Cliff May
J
John Schanzer
M
Mark Dubowitz
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Cliff May认为Yahya Sinwar是哈马斯领导人，策划了10月7日袭击以色列事件，犯下大屠杀罪行，手上沾满美国人和以色列人的鲜血，被美国认定为恐怖分子。Sinwar之死是多方势力长期战争中的重要胜利，而这些势力背后是伊朗。 Mark Dubowitz认为Sinwar之死是由于高级指挥官的疏忽和以色列情报能力，以及美国政府对以色列行动的阻挠。他认为Sinwar的目标是生存和成为英雄，而不是殉道。哈马斯的领导层已被削弱，但加沙的低级别冲突可能会持续存在。他认为美国应该向卡塔尔施压，要求其引渡或迫使米沙尔投降，甚至允许摩萨德在卡塔尔暗杀米沙尔。 John Schanzer认为Sinwar之死是由于以色列士兵在巡逻时发现Sinwar，并通过坦克袭击将其击毙。他认为在Sinwar被击毙现场发现的UNRWA证件可能是伪造的，Sinwar被击毙的地点在拉法，而不是此前人们认为的汗尤尼斯。美国政府曾多次阻止以色列进入拉法，这延缓了以色列的军事行动。他认为Sinwar的兄弟穆罕默德·辛瓦尔可能接替他的位置，但他缺乏Sinwar的领导才能，哈马斯目前状况不佳，但并未完全被消灭。 Hussein Abdul-Hussain认为美国应该停止感谢卡塔尔，并利用其在卡塔尔的军事基地和经济影响力向卡塔尔施压，迫使其采取行动。他认为伊朗是帝国主义国家，控制着黎巴嫩，并直接管理着真主党的事务。他认为以色列应该利用机会打击在黎巴嫩的伊朗指挥官。他认为美国应该向卡塔尔施压，要求其迫使米沙尔释放人质。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter discusses the circumstances surrounding the death of Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas. Initial reports suggest that Israeli soldiers, including a young sergeant, were involved in a tank strike that led to Sinwar's death. The event is described as a "lucky strike", but also highlights the role of Israeli soldiers on the ground.
  • Yahya Sinwar's death confirmed after Israeli tank strike.
  • A 19-year-old sergeant played a key role in identifying and eliminating Sinwar.
  • The strike happened in Rafah, a flashpoint in the war.
  • The incident involved a mixed unit of secular and ultra-Orthodox Israeli soldiers.

Shownotes Transcript

Yahya Sinwar is dead.

He was the leader of Hamas, the architect of the October 7 attack on Israel — the largest massacre of Jewish people since the Holocaust.

He has the blood of many Americans on his hands, too, and was designated as a terrorist by the U.S.


For Israel, this is a significant battle won in a long and multi-front war.

What’s next? Host Cliff May discusses with his FDD colleagues Mark Dubowitz, Jonathan Schanzer, and Hussain Abdul-Hussain.