cover of episode New Podcast Spotlight: The Interconnect

New Podcast Spotlight: The Interconnect

2025/2/14
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Why It Matters

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Mark Horowitz
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@Mark Horowitz : 我认为摩尔定律的成本效益已经不再像过去那样显著。虽然我们仍然可以增加晶体管的数量,但每个晶体管的成本并没有下降,甚至可能略有上升。这与过去指数级下降的趋势大相径庭。这意味着我们不能再期望以相对恒定的成本获得越来越多的计算能力或数据存储能力。我们需要更加努力地优化整个技术栈,从应用到硬件,以提高计算效率,因为硬件成本不再像以前那样快速下降。 @Sebastian Elbaum : 我认为摩尔定律是对科学或工程进步的观察,而不仅仅是物理进步,这一点非常有趣。它不仅预测了未来会发生什么,还在某种程度上设定了行业的发展路线图和期望。现在,我们似乎真的触及了物理极限,很难制造出比原子还细的导线。随着我们越来越接近这个极限,克服物理限制的成本也在增加。硬件和软件之间存在着一种阴阳关系,硬件的进步推动了软件的进步。但如果硬件的成本不再下降,我们是否会为电子产品支付更多的费用?

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Emerging technologies are transforming international relations and our country’s economy. So how do we connect science and engineering labs with Washington and the world of business? 

The Interconnect, a new podcast series from the Council on Foreign Relations and the Stanford Emerging Technology Review, brings together leading minds in cutting-edge technology and foreign policy to explore recent ground-breaking developments, what's coming over the horizon, and the implications for U.S. innovation leadership.

In this featured episode, Stanford Emerging Technology Review Faculty Council Member Mark Horowitz and CFR’s technologist-in-residence Sebastian Elbaum discuss where chip manufacturing is heading, how hardware advances are powering the new artificial intelligence (AI) era, and what the United States should prioritize in order to sustain its leadership in this crucial domain.

Host

Martin Giles, Managing Editor of the Stanford Emerging Technology Review

Guests

Mark Horowitz, chair of the Electrical Engineering Department at Stanford University

Sebastian Elbaum, the Technologist in Residence at the Council on Foreign Relations