cover of episode The Future of Clean Energy

The Future of Clean Energy

2024/12/20
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Foreign Policy Live

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John Podesta
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Ravi Agrawal
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Ravi Agrawal:拜登政府在气候变化问题上投入了大量政治资本,推动了一项大胆的气候议程,但仍面临一些批评,例如石油和天然气产量以及对发展中国家的援助不足。 《通货膨胀削减法案》为清洁能源投资创造了巨大激励,但未来政府可能会逆转这一进展。 美国对中国电动汽车征收关税,这在一定程度上是为了保护本国产业,但也引发了关于是否应该让中国利用其规模和力量来解决气候问题的争议。 John Podesta:美国在清洁能源方面的投资已经非常稳固,难以逆转,因为这些投资遍布全国各地,并创造了大量就业机会。 试图取消《通货膨胀削减法案》将是一个错误,因为清洁能源投资已经深入人心,并得到了两党支持,且逆转这些投资在经济和政治上都将非常困难。 拜登政府在实施《通货膨胀削减法案》时,有意将投资导向传统能源社区和弱势群体,以促进能源转型和经济复苏。 《通货膨胀削减法案》的影响需要时间才能被民众感受到,虽然通货膨胀等其他经济问题掩盖了其影响,但清洁能源政策仍然拥有强大的公众支持。 全球范围内,人们对清洁能源和减少碳排放的需求越来越强烈,这使得逆转清洁能源政策变得非常困难。 美国将继续减少碳排放,即使面临来自联邦政府的阻力,因为经济因素已经推动了向清洁能源的转型。 美国对中国电动汽车征收关税是为了保护本国产业,而不是为了阻碍全球绿色技术转型,因为中国使用了非市场手段来控制市场。 尽管美中关系紧张,但在气候变化问题上保持开放对话仍然很重要,双方需要在减少排放方面展现更多雄心。 特朗普过渡团队在过渡工作方面进展缓慢,缺乏专业性和规划性。 John Podesta: 美国在清洁能源领域的投资已经非常稳固,并且得到了两党支持,这使得逆转这些投资在经济和政治上都将非常困难。拜登政府的政策旨在将投资导向传统能源社区和弱势群体,以促进能源转型和经济复苏,并确保美国在清洁能源技术领域的竞争力。尽管面临来自其他经济问题的挑战,清洁能源政策仍然拥有强大的公众支持。全球范围内,向清洁能源的转型已经势不可挡,这使得即使面临来自联邦政府的阻力,美国仍将继续减少碳排放。对中国电动汽车征收关税是为了保护美国的产业,而不是为了阻碍全球绿色技术转型。美中两国需要在气候变化问题上保持开放对话,并展现更多雄心,以应对气候变化的挑战。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What impact has the Inflation Reduction Act had on clean energy investments in the U.S.?

The Inflation Reduction Act has spurred nearly $500 billion in investments and created over 330,000 jobs in clean energy industries across the U.S., with significant growth in solar power, electric vehicles, and battery production.

Why does John Podesta believe the Inflation Reduction Act's progress is difficult to reverse?

Podesta argues that the Act's investments are deeply rooted, with bipartisan support and widespread economic benefits, making it politically and economically challenging to undo.

How has the Biden administration targeted clean energy investments in red states?

The administration strategically focused on deploying subsidies and job creation in red states and traditional energy communities, aiming to revitalize manufacturing and ensure economic inclusion in the clean energy transition.

Why did the Biden administration impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles?

The tariffs were implemented to protect U.S. industrial capacity and economic security, countering China's non-market practices and ensuring a strong domestic supply chain for clean technologies.

What is the Biden administration's stance on U.S.-China climate cooperation?

Despite broader tensions, the administration maintains an open dialogue with China on climate issues, encouraging ambition and cooperation, particularly in areas like non-CO2 emissions and global climate finance.

What challenges does the Trump transition team face according to John Podesta?

Podesta notes that the Trump transition team has been slow to access agency information and lacks clear strategy, raising concerns about their ability to execute policy effectively.

What is the Biden administration's goal for U.S. emissions reductions under the Paris Agreement?

The administration aims to reduce U.S. emissions by 50-52% compared to 2005 levels, with an updated nationally determined contribution expected to reflect current trends and investments.

How does John Podesta view the global response to the U.S. clean energy policies?

Podesta believes the U.S. policies have inspired other countries to adopt similar investment-led strategies, positioning the U.S. as a global leader in clean energy innovation.

What role do subnational governments play in U.S. climate policy?

Subnational governments, including states and cities, have been key in advancing climate action, even during periods of federal resistance, demonstrating broad public support for clean energy initiatives.

What is the significance of the Inflation Reduction Act's impact on solar power?

The Act has driven solar power to become the largest source of new electricity generation in the U.S., with the solar supply chain returning to the country and significant deployment across states.

Chapters
This chapter explores the potential impact of a Trump presidency on the Biden administration's clean energy initiatives, focusing on the Inflation Reduction Act and its economic and political implications. The discussion highlights the significant investments and job creation already underway and assesses the feasibility of reversing this progress.
  • Inflation Reduction Act as the largest investment in clean energy in history
  • Significant investments and job creation already underway
  • Political challenges of reversing the act
  • Trump's climate skepticism and potential policy reversals

Shownotes Transcript

The incoming Trump administration is expected to gut a key piece of President Biden’s climate legacy: the Inflation Reduction Act. How will rolling this law back shape energy policy in the future? And what does this mean for the Paris Climate Accords? The Biden administration’s top climate diplomat, John Podesta, joins FP Live to discuss. 

Suggested reading (FP links are paywall-free):**      **

Transcript: Will Trump Dismantle Biden’s Clean Energy Initiative)

Cameron Abadi and Adam Tooze: The Complicated Legacy of Biden’s Climate Legislation)

Tim Hirschel-Burns: On Climate, Paying Now Is Cheaper Than Paying Later)

Jason Bordoff and David R. Hill: The Key to a Successful Trump Energy Agenda Is Electricity)

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