cover of episode Inside Russia's secret Libyan airbase

Inside Russia's secret Libyan airbase

2024/12/6
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Battle Lines

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James Rothwell
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Safiya Yan
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Safiya Yan 通过分析卫星图像,揭示了俄罗斯在利比亚军事存在扩张的证据,这表明俄罗斯正在加紧其在非洲的军事行动,并试图在利比亚获得战略资源和政治影响力。俄罗斯与哈夫塔尔将军的合作关系对其实现这一目标至关重要。俄罗斯在利比亚的军事扩张可能与叙利亚局势有关,但目前尚不清楚利比亚是否会成为俄罗斯在叙利亚局势恶化后的替代据点。美国可能正在密切关注俄罗斯在利比亚的活动,并试图利用叙利亚的局势变化来影响利比亚的哈夫塔尔将军。 James Rothwell 报道了瑞典日益严重的帮派暴力问题,特别是儿童被招募参与帮派杀戮的现象。这与瑞典法律的漏洞以及社会问题有关。瑞典政府正在采取一些措施来解决这个问题,包括改革法律、加强国际合作以及改善对证人的保护。然而,批评人士认为,这些措施只是治标不治本,更雄心勃勃的改革是必要的。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Russia significantly ramping up its military presence in Libya?

Russia is expanding its military presence in Libya to establish a strategic foothold in Africa, gain access to key natural resources, and counter Western isolation following the invasion of Ukraine.

What specific changes have been observed in Russian-controlled Libyan airbases?

Satellite images show upgraded runways, bolstered perimeter defenses, and new buildings at four Libyan airbases under Russian control, indicating significant military expansion.

How does Russia's involvement in Libya impact its broader geopolitical strategy?

Russia's presence in Libya forms part of a strategic arc from the eastern Mediterranean through Syria to the southern Mediterranean, positioning Russia to challenge European influence.

Who is General Haftar and what role does he play in Libya's current political landscape?

General Haftar is a warlord who controls much of eastern and southern Libya. He has a beneficial relationship with Russia, providing them access to strategic oil fields and military bases.

What is the significance of Russia's relationship with both Haftar and the UN-recognized government in Tripoli?

Russia maintains ties with both Haftar and the UN-recognized government to ensure continued access to Libya regardless of which faction gains more power, highlighting Libya's strategic importance.

How has the death of Prigozhin and the reorganization of Wagner affected Russia's operations in Africa?

Following Prigozhin's death, Russia refocused on long-term strategic interests in Africa, including ramping up military presence in Libya, indicating a pivot away from short-term gains in Ukraine.

What are the potential implications if Syria were to collapse for Russia's strategic position in the Mediterranean?

If Syria collapses, Russia could lose its original Mediterranean foothold, making Libya even more crucial as a backup strategic location and potentially weakening its influence in the region.

How have other global powers responded to Russia's increased activity in Libya?

The U.S. has conducted naval drone patrols near Libyan coasts and sent a delegation to meet with Haftar, indicating an opportunistic approach to counter Russia's growing influence.

Why are children being recruited by gangs to carry out contract killings in Sweden?

Children are recruited due to their vulnerability, economic hardship, and the legal loophole that prevents prosecution for those under 15, making them ideal for carrying out violent crimes without legal repercussions.

What is the extent of child involvement in gang-related murders in Sweden?

In the first eight months of 2023, there were 102 cases of child-involved murder cases, a significant increase from 31 cases in the same period of the previous year.

What are the main gangs involved in the turf war in Sweden and what are they fighting over?

The main gangs are Foxtrot and Dalen, fighting over drug territory and engaging in retaliatory violence. Foxtrot is led by Rawar Majid (Kurdish Fox) and Dalen by Michael Tenesos (The Greek).

How do Swedish authorities plan to address the rising gang violence and child recruitment?

Swedish authorities are implementing reforms such as longer sentences, international cooperation, witness protection, and random police spot checks in safe zones to combat the issue.

Shownotes Transcript

Roland Oliphant speaks with The Telegraph’s senior correspondent Sophia Yan about her analysis of satellite images )showing Russia ramping up its military presence in the African state. Plus: The Telegraph’s James Rothwell on how children are being recruited to carry out gang killings in Sweden). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy) for more information.