If you have never seen Dumb and Dumber, please go treat yourself!
“There is no sin except stupidity.”-Oscar Wilde
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Show Notes
Summary of the day
There is some debate if Rothschild was attributable to this quote, “Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes it's laws".
But whoever did utter these words, they were correct.
The selloff got reversed somewhat into the close. The DOW was down over 300 pts during the day. The Nasdaq was down over 100 at one point, but closed down only 32 points.
The Magnificent 7 saved the day from getting much worse. How sad is it that the worlds economy rests on the whims of 1 man who controls the fate of rates and monetary policy.
If you are new to trading or were too young to trade 15 years ago during the Great Financial Crisis, here is a blast from the past, when our Fed began the journey to zero.
There was a report that Elon Musk told Benjamin Netanyahu that X/Twitter is considering charging ALL users a monthly subscription fee in efforts to rid the platform of bots. The theory is it cost fraudsters a few cents to create bots. If that cost increases to above and beyond a subscription fee, there wouldn’t be an ROI for them anymore. Chris’s Substack) Hamish McNeilly) I just hope that doesn’t push the trash off X and onto other platforms.
Play by play
10:30am It took very little down volume to crack the market. Look At breadth and volume of breadth to see if this selloff is a fakeout or early selling.
Oil and 10 yr
12:35pm a lot of hoopla regarding Instacart ipo ticker CART. They are expecting trading to open at $42.61? A 40 percent rise in the intended offering price. A warning to the public…all ipo’s eventually fall back to the ipo price. 1 session, 10 days, 10 yrs…eventually it always does.
See ARM.
Klavio goes public later today. My hunch is they are desperately coming to public markets.
Breadth
114 new highs
402 new lows
34% advancing 60% declining
72% below 50 day ma
Stuck out
1pm someone pressed the buy button on the Magnificent 7. They all fought back hard into the close
CART closed up 12% on the IPO but down 23% from the 1st hour pop!
ARM recent semi-conductor ipo, (2nd time btw) down 4.88%
Strong
LYFT +3.3%
ETSY +2.96%
KRUS +2.59%
CROX +2.35%
Weak
CVNA - 8.57%
SG -6.67%
COIN -4.26%
DKNG -3.7%
DIS -3.62%
HOV -3.57%
CAVA -3.08%
SQ -2.83%
MGM - 2.71%
What to watch
Wednesday 2pm FED Rate decision
Wednesday 2:30pm Jerome Powell speaks in front of a microphone and will hem and haw This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nyugrad.substack.com/subscribe)