cover of episode EP29 The Handmaidens of the Apocalypse

EP29 The Handmaidens of the Apocalypse

2024/4/5
logo of podcast Dan Carlin's Hardcore History: Addendum

Dan Carlin's Hardcore History: Addendum

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Annie Jacobson
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Dan Carlin
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Dan Carlin: 我认为核武器是人类面临的最重要的问题之一,我们应该更多地讨论它,而不是像现在这样忽视它。我们应该记住冷战时期那种随时可能爆发核战争的恐惧感。Jacobson的新书以一种引人入胜的方式展现了核战争的恐怖,这让我们更直观地理解了它的严重性。这本书并非虚构,而是基于作者对大量核武器专家的采访,以及对现有资料的分析。 我认为这本书最大的价值在于,它让我们直面核战争的残酷现实,而不是停留在枯燥的数字和理论分析上。它提醒我们,核战争不仅仅是人员伤亡的问题,更是对人类文明的毁灭性打击。虽然历史上曾有人设想过可以控制核战争,但Jacobson的书有力地驳斥了这种观点,指出一旦核武器被使用,就很难控制局势的进一步恶化。 Annie Jacobson: 我是一名调查记者,长期关注战争、武器和国家安全领域。在目睹了前总统特朗普的核威胁言论后,我开始思考如果威慑失败会发生什么。我采访了众多高级别人士,他们提供了关于核战争可能性的第一手资料,这些信息让我能够构建一个基于事实的核战争场景。 我的书旨在以令人震惊的细节展现核战争的恐怖程度,帮助读者理解这种难以想象的现实。书中描述的场景并非凭空想象,而是基于我与一百多位接近核武器秘密的人士的访谈,以及对现有资料的分析。这些信息真实可靠,部分信息甚至从未公开。 书中揭示了美国先进的太空卫星系统SIBRS可以在不到一秒钟内探测到洲际弹道导弹发射,以及美国总统在接到来袭核导弹通知后,只有大约6分钟的时间下达反击命令。这些细节突显了核战争发生速度之快,以及决策时间之短。 此外,我还探讨了核武器的威力、核潜艇的隐蔽性以及电磁脉冲的破坏性等问题。我采访了众多专家,他们提供了关于这些问题的专业见解。 最后,我还讨论了核扩散问题,以及如何防止核武器落入更多国家手中。我认为,核扩散是核战争的最大威胁之一,我们必须采取措施来防止这种情况发生。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What is the main focus of Annie Jacobsen's book 'Nuclear War, A Scenario'?

Annie Jacobsen's book 'Nuclear War, A Scenario' focuses on a dramatic narrative that outlines how a nuclear war might unfold, starting one second after a nuclear weapon is launched. It uses insider and expert information to provide a realistic and horrifying scenario of the potential consequences of nuclear war.

Why did Annie Jacobsen choose to write about nuclear war?

Annie Jacobsen chose to write about nuclear war because, as an investigative journalist specializing in war, weapons, and national security, she was struck by the recurring theme in her interviews with high-level sources who dedicated their lives to preventing nuclear World War III. The nuclear saber-rattling rhetoric during the Trump administration further motivated her to explore what would happen if deterrence failed.

What is the significance of the six-minute decision-making window in a nuclear scenario?

The six-minute decision-making window is the time the U.S. president has to decide on a counterattack after being notified of an incoming nuclear missile. This short timeframe, sourced from President Reagan's memoir, highlights the irrational pressure and urgency involved in making a decision that could lead to Armageddon.

What role do submarines play in nuclear warfare according to Jacobsen's book?

Submarines, particularly nuclear-armed ones, are referred to as 'handmaidens of the apocalypse' because they are nearly impossible to detect and can launch ballistic missiles in as little as 14 minutes. Their stealth and destructive capability make them a critical and terrifying component of the nuclear triad.

What is the potential impact of an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) from a nuclear detonation?

An EMP from a nuclear detonation, especially one detonated in space, could cause catastrophic failure of nearly all electronic systems, including power grids, transportation, communication, and even modern vehicles. This 'electric Armageddon' would result in widespread chaos and a collapse of infrastructure.

Why did Jacobsen choose North Korea as the initiator of a nuclear attack in her scenario?

Jacobsen chose North Korea as the initiator of a nuclear attack because it is the only nuclear-armed nation that flagrantly violates international norms, such as announcing missile tests. Its unpredictable and nihilistic behavior, combined with its ability to launch missiles without warning, makes it a plausible and dangerous candidate for a 'bolt out of the blue' attack.

What is the concept of nuclear winter, and how does it relate to nuclear war?

Nuclear winter refers to the climatic effects of a nuclear war, where the soot from massive fires caused by nuclear explosions blocks sunlight, leading to a significant drop in global temperatures. This would result in the collapse of agriculture, forcing humanity into a hunter-gatherer state and causing long-term devastation to civilization.

What is the 'Reagan reversal' mentioned in the context of nuclear weapons?

The 'Reagan reversal' refers to President Ronald Reagan's shift in attitude toward nuclear weapons after watching the 1983 ABC miniseries 'The Day After,' which depicted a nuclear war. This led to the Reykjavik summit with Mikhail Gorbachev, resulting in significant reductions in nuclear arsenals from 70,000 to approximately 12,500 warheads.

What is the significance of the term 'mutual assured destruction' (MAD) in nuclear strategy?

Mutual assured destruction (MAD) is the doctrine that the possession of large nuclear arsenals by opposing powers ensures that any nuclear attack would result in the total annihilation of both the attacker and the defender. While intended to deter nuclear war, Jacobsen and others argue that it is fundamentally irrational and precarious, as it relies on the assumption that systems and humans will never fail.

What is the potential legacy loss for humanity in the event of a nuclear war?

In the event of a nuclear war, humanity would lose not only millions of lives but also its cultural, historical, and scientific legacy. Monuments, art, knowledge, and technological advancements built over millennia would be destroyed, leaving future generations without access to the achievements of human civilization.

Chapters
The podcast opens by discussing the ever-present threat of nuclear war and introduces Annie Jacobson's book, "Nuclear War: A Scenario." The book uses a dramatic narrative to illustrate the terrifying speed and devastation of a nuclear conflict, which is highlighted in the podcast's discussion.
  • Nuclear weapons are an ever-present threat, capable of causing apocalyptic outcomes.
  • Jacobson's book uses a dramatic narrative to illustrate the potential for a nuclear war.
  • The podcast will discuss the topic in more detail with the author.

Shownotes Transcript

Investigative journalist Annie Jacobsen joins Dan to discuss the contents of her new book which, using insider and expert information, dramatically outlines how a nuclear war might unfold.